Neftchi Fargona vs Oktepa Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 14

Neftchi Fargona

W W W L D

1st place in Group D

4-0

14/05/2025 10:15

Oktepa

L L D W L

4th place in Group D

Uzbekistan Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Neftchi Fargona vs Oktepa on May 14, 2025 (kick-off: 10:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Neftchi Fargona vs Oktepa preview before placing for you.

Neftchi Fargona are currently 1st with 7 points after 3 matches.
Oktepa sit 4th with 0 points from 3 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Neftchi Fargona to win with probability 85%.
Head-to-head history favors Oktepa, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Neftchi Fargona have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:15

2025-05-14

Neftchi Fargona vs Oktepa - Prediction & Odds

Neftchi Fargona

Oktepa

2025-05-14 10:15

STANDINGS UP TO 14/05/2025

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Neftchi Fargona	7	3	2	1	0	8	2	6
02 Navbahor Namangan	7	3	2	1	0	5	2	3
03 Fergana University	3	3	1	0	2	5	7	-2
04 Oktepa	0	3	0	0	3	1	8	-7

Head To Head

07/10/2020 06:30

Neftchi Fargona

2 - 1

Oktepa

UZB D1

15/07/2020 09:20

Oktepa

1 - 1

Neftchi Fargona

UZB D1

31/10/2019 06:00

Oktepa

2 - 1

Neftchi Fargona

UZB D1

11/09/2019 07:15

Neftchi Fargona

3 - 0

Oktepa

UZB D1

29/06/2019 09:15

Oktepa

2 - 1

Neftchi Fargona

UZB D1

08/05/2019 08:00

Neftchi Fargona

0 - 1

Oktepa

UZB D1

Neftchi Fargona

33%

Draw

17%

Oktepa

50%

Neftchi Fargona Last 6 matches

09/05/2025 09:00

FK Andijon 0 - 2 Neftchi Fargona UZB D1

04/05/2025 09:00

Neftchi Fargona 2 - 1 Sogdiana Jizak UZB D1

30/04/2025 10:15

Neftchi Fargona 3 - 1 Fergana University UzbC

19/04/2025 11:15

Neftchi Fargona 0 - 4 Pakhtakor UZB D1

15/04/2025 11:15

Navbahor Namangan 1 - 1 Neftchi Fargona UzbC

11/04/2025 09:00

Mashal Muborak 1 - 4 Neftchi Fargona UZB D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Oktepa

06/05/2025 08:00

Oktepa 1 - 2 FC Bunyodkor II Chrichik UZB D1B

30/04/2025 08:00

Oktepa 0 - 1 Navbahor Namangan UzbC

26/04/2025 07:30

Sirdaryo FA 1 - 1 Oktepa UZB D1B

20/04/2025 08:00

Oktepa 5 - 0 Jizzax FA UZB D1B

15/04/2025 08:00

Fergana University 3 - 1 Oktepa UzbC

11/04/2025 07:00

FK Chigatoy 2 - 1 Oktepa UZB D1B

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uzbekistan Cup

Played games

Neftchi Fargona

Oktepa

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

2.33

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

Avg. per game

0.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (67%)1 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

0 (0%)1 (100%)

Neftchi Fargona

Recent matches

Oktepa

Under /Over

(67%)2 1(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(0%)0 1(100%)

Under /Over

(33%)1 2(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(0%)0 1(100%)

Under /Over

(67%)2 1(33%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(0%)0 1(100%)

/Yes

(33%)1 2(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(0%)0 1(100%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Neftchi Fargona

Oktepa

Shots

Neftchi Fargona

Total shots

15.00 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Oktepa

Total shots

9.00 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Neftchi Fargona Pass Oktepa

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

63%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

—

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Neftchi Fargona

Played games

Oktepa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.00

11.00

Corners

2.00

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

1.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Neftchi Fargona

DISCIPLINARY

Oktepa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

1.00

0.00

0.00

4.67

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Neftchi Fargona vs Oktepa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Neftchi Fargona vs Oktepa on 14 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uzbekistan Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Neftchi Fargona vs Oktepa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Neftchi Fargona's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Oktepa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uzbekistan Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uzbekistan Cup standings and the Uzbekistan Cup form table to understand exactly where Neftchi Fargona and Oktepa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uzbekistan Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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