Necaxa vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 February

Betiball's prediction for Necaxa vs Toluca on 21 February 2026 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Necaxa vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Necaxa vs Toluca: Starting Lineups Time : 21/02/2026 21:00

Necaxa
0 - 3
Finished
Toluca
87' event Franco Rossano / Raul Alejandro Martinez Ruiz
87' event Kevin Russel Gutierrez Gonzalez / Danny Leyva
76' event Tomas Oscar Badaloni / Julian Carranza
57' event Javier Ruiz / Agustin Almendra
57' event Emilio Lara / Alexis Pena
52' event Luis Ezequiel Unsain
29' event Alexis Pena
22' event Ricardo Saul Monreal Morales
9' event Raul Alejandro Martinez Ruiz
event 90+4' Andres Federico Pereira Castelnoble
event 86' Franco Rossi / Joao Paulo Dias Fernandes
event 86' Mauricio Isais / Jesus Daniel Gallardo Vasconcelos
event 86' Luan Garcia Teixeira / Santiago Simon
event 83' Joao Paulo Dias Fernandes
event 79' Joao Paulo Dias Fernandes
event 75' Francisco Sebastian Cordova Reyes / Jesus Angulo
event 62' Jorge Santiago Diaz Mendez / Pavel Perez
event 37' Andres Federico Pereira Castelnoble
event 22' Jesus Daniel Gallardo Vasconcelos
event 14' Marcello Ruiz
87' event Franco Rossano / Raul Alejandro Martinez Ruiz
event 90+4' Andres Federico Pereira Castelnoble
87' event Kevin Russel Gutierrez Gonzalez / Danny Leyva
event 86' Franco Rossi / Joao Paulo Dias Fernandes
76' event Tomas Oscar Badaloni / Julian Carranza
event 86' Mauricio Isais / Jesus Daniel Gallardo Vasconcelos
57' event Javier Ruiz / Agustin Almendra
event 86' Luan Garcia Teixeira / Santiago Simon
57' event Emilio Lara / Alexis Pena
event 83' Joao Paulo Dias Fernandes
52' event Luis Ezequiel Unsain
event 79' Joao Paulo Dias Fernandes
29' event Alexis Pena
event 75' Francisco Sebastian Cordova Reyes / Jesus Angulo
22' event Ricardo Saul Monreal Morales
event 62' Jorge Santiago Diaz Mendez / Pavel Perez
9' event Raul Alejandro Martinez Ruiz
event 37' Andres Federico Pereira Castelnoble
event 22' Jesus Daniel Gallardo Vasconcelos
event 14' Marcello Ruiz
Necaxa Necaxa
Substitutions
#26 Emilio Lara
#35 Javier Ruiz
#9 Tomas Oscar Badaloni
#24 Franco Rossano
#5 Kevin Russel Gutierrez Gonzalez
#12 Luis Ronaldo Jiménez González
#232 Ricardo Alonso
#20 Francisco Mendez
#2 Emilio Martinez Gonzalez
#17 Rogelio Cortez Pineda
Necaxa Necaxa Toluca Toluca
12Shots20
6Shots on Goal6
8Fouls15
3Corner Kick7
15Free kick8
1Offside1
4Yellow card3
0Aerial1
3Save6
15Successful Tackles13
11Interceptions5
27Long pass28
0Assist3
4Successful center9
6Shots off goal7
0Blocked7
14Tackle12
3Dribbles5
22Throw-in34
313Passes374
90Attacks93
30Dangerous attacks42
2Corner Kicks(HT)4
1BigChances7
1BigChancesMissed4
9ShotsInsideBox15
3ShotsOutsideBox5
48DuelsWon40
0.47ExpectedGoals2.22
0.91xGOT2.03
16Touches In Opposition Box32
14AccurateCrosses23
40GroundDuelsWon31
8AerialDuelsWon9
21Clearances15
Toluca Toluca
Substitutions
#29 Jorge Santiago Diaz Mendez
#7 Francisco Sebastian Cordova Reyes
#17 Mauricio Isais
#13 Luan Garcia Teixeira
#27 Franco Rossi
#1 Hugo Alfonso Gonzalez Duran
#3 Antonio Briseno
#4 Bruno Mendez Cittadini
#24 Fernando Arce
#23 Oswaldo Virgen
Commentary
90+4' Goal! Andres Federico Pereira Castelnoble - Toluca
87' Necaxa — substitution: Franco Rossano / Raul Alejandro Martinez Ruiz
87' Necaxa — substitution: Kevin Russel Gutierrez Gonzalez / Danny Leyva
86' Toluca — substitution: Franco Rossi / Joao Paulo Dias Fernandes
86' Toluca — substitution: Mauricio Isais / Jesus Daniel Gallardo Vasconcelos
86' Toluca — substitution: Luan Garcia Teixeira / Santiago Simon
83' Goal! Joao Paulo Dias Fernandes - Toluca
79' Goal! Joao Paulo Dias Fernandes - Toluca
76' Necaxa — substitution: Tomas Oscar Badaloni / Julian Carranza
75' Toluca — substitution: Francisco Sebastian Cordova Reyes / Jesus Angulo
62' Toluca — substitution: Jorge Santiago Diaz Mendez / Pavel Perez
57' Necaxa — substitution: Javier Ruiz / Agustin Almendra
57' Necaxa — substitution: Emilio Lara / Alexis Pena
52' Luis Ezequiel Unsain - Necaxa receive a yellow card
37' Andres Federico Pereira Castelnoble - Toluca receive a yellow card
29' Alexis Pena - Necaxa receive a yellow card
22' Ricardo Saul Monreal Morales - Necaxa receive a yellow card
22' Jesus Daniel Gallardo Vasconcelos - Toluca receive a yellow card
14' Marcello Ruiz - Toluca receive a yellow card
9' Raul Alejandro Martinez Ruiz - Necaxa receive a yellow card

How We Build the Necaxa vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Necaxa vs Toluca on 21 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Necaxa vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Necaxa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Necaxa and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Predictions

Find every upcoming fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less