NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

NEC Nijmegen

W D D D L

3rd place in Holland Eredivisie

2-1

28/09/2025 06:15

AZ Alkmaar

W W D D D

7th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar on 28 September 2025 (kick-off: 06:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar preview before placing your bet.

NEC Nijmegen will face AZ Alkmaar in Holland Eredivisie on September 28, 2025 at 06:15.
NEC Nijmegen are currently 3rd with 59 points after 34 matches.
AZ Alkmaar sit 7th with 52 points from 34 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 2.00.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

06:15

2025-09-28

NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar - Prediction & Odds

NEC Nijmegen

AZ Alkmaar

2025-09-28 06:15

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	84	34	27	3	4	101	45	56
02 Feyenoord	65	34	19	8	7	70	44	26
03 NEC Nijmegen	59	34	16	11	7	77	53	24
04 FC Twente Enschede	58	34	15	13	6	59	40	19
05 AFC Ajax	56	34	14	14	6	62	41	21
06 FC Utrecht	53	34	15	8	11	55	42	13
07 AZ Alkmaar	52	34	14	10	10	58	51	7
08 SC Heerenveen	51	34	14	9	11	57	53	4
09 Groningen	48	34	14	6	14	49	45	4
10 Sparta Rotterdam	43	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22
11 Fortuna Sittard	39	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14
12 Go Ahead Eagles	38	34	8	14	12	54	53	1
13 Excelsior SBV	38	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13
14 SC Telstar	37	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6
15 PEC Zwolle	37	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27
16 Volendam	32	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20
17 NAC Breda	29	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23
18 Heracles Almelo	19	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50

Head To Head

29/03/2025 16:00

NEC Nijmegen

3 - 3

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

17/08/2024 14:00

AZ Alkmaar

1 - 0

NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

28/04/2024 06:15

NEC Nijmegen

0 - 3

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

06/12/2023 14:00

AZ Alkmaar

1 - 2

NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

21/05/2023 08:30

NEC Nijmegen

0 - 3

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

01/09/2022 14:00

AZ Alkmaar

1 - 1

NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

NEC Nijmegen

17%

Draw

33%

AZ Alkmaar

50%

NEC Nijmegen Last 6 matches

21/09/2025 08:30

SC Heerenveen 3 - 2 NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

13/09/2025 12:45

NEC Nijmegen 3 - 5 PSV Eindhoven

HOL D1

31/08/2025 06:15

Fortuna Sittard 3 - 2 NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

24/08/2025 08:30

NEC Nijmegen 3 - 0 NAC Breda

HOL D1

16/08/2025 14:00

Heracles Almelo 1 - 4 NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

09/08/2025 10:30

NEC Nijmegen 5 - 0 Excelsior SBV

HOL D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches AZ Alkmaar

24/09/2025 14:00

AZ Alkmaar 2 - 2 PEC Zwolle

HOL D1

21/09/2025 10:45

AZ Alkmaar 3 - 3 Feyenoord

HOL D1

14/09/2025 08:30

Heracles Almelo 1 - 2 AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

31/08/2025 10:45

NAC Breda 0 - 1 AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

28/08/2025 13:30

AZ Alkmaar 4 - 1 Levski Sofia

UEFA ECL

21/08/2025 14:00

Levski Sofia 0 - 2 AZ Alkmaar

UEFA ECL

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

NEC Nijmegen

AZ Alkmaar

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.38

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 34 matches

YesNo

30 (88%)4 (12%)

In last 34 matches

NoYes

20 (59%)14 (41%)

NEC Nijmegen

Recent matches

AZ Alkmaar

Under /Over

(97%)33 1(3%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)28 6(18%)

Under /Over

(56%)19 15(44%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(62%)21 13(38%)

Under /Over

(65%)22 12(35%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)16 18(53%)

/Yes

(82%)28 6(18%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(65%)22 12(35%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

NEC Nijmegen

AZ Alkmaar

Shots

NEC Nijmegen

Total shots

17.03 avg / game

Blocked

165 total

Avg. 4.85

AZ Alkmaar

Total shots

15.76 avg / game

Blocked

140 total

Avg. 4.38

NEC Nijmegen Pass AZ Alkmaar

Total passes

14599

Avg. 429 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

15554

Avg. 457 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

NEC Nijmegen

Played games

AZ Alkmaar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.15

Clean sheets

0.26

6.12

208

Corners

196

5.76

20.79

707

Throw-ins

568

16.71

2.00

Offsides

1.21

3.41

116

GK saves

105

3.09

NEC Nijmegen

DISCIPLINARY

AZ Alkmaar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.79

1.85

0.09

0.03

11.91

405

Fouls

347

10.21

10.09

343

Tackles

378

11.12

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess NEC Nijmegen's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AZ Alkmaar's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where NEC Nijmegen and AZ Alkmaar sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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