Napoli vs Genoa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Betiball's prediction for Napoli vs Genoa on 11 May 2025 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Napoli vs Genoa preview before placing your bet.

Napoli vs Genoa: Starting Lineups Time : 11/05/2025 14:45

Napoli
2 - 2
Finished
Genoa
89' event Phillip Billing
88' event David Neres Campos / Matteo Politano
80' event Phillip Billing / Giacomo Raspadori
64' event Giacomo Raspadori
15' event Romelu Lukaku
13' event Billy Gilmour / Stanislav Lobotka
event 84' Johan Felipe Vasquez Ibarra
event 78' Lorenzo Venturino / Honest Ahanor
event 78' Alessandro Zanoli / Stefano Sabelli
event 69' Mattia Bani / Sebastian Otoa
event 69' Lior Kasa / Vitor Oliveira
event 59' Aaron Caricol / Junior Messias
event 58' Vitor Oliveira
event 45' Johan Felipe Vasquez Ibarra
event 32' Alex Meret
89' event Phillip Billing
event 84' Johan Felipe Vasquez Ibarra
88' event David Neres Campos / Matteo Politano
event 78' Lorenzo Venturino / Honest Ahanor
80' event Phillip Billing / Giacomo Raspadori
event 78' Alessandro Zanoli / Stefano Sabelli
64' event Giacomo Raspadori
event 69' Mattia Bani / Sebastian Otoa
15' event Romelu Lukaku
event 69' Lior Kasa / Vitor Oliveira
13' event Billy Gilmour / Stanislav Lobotka
event 59' Aaron Caricol / Junior Messias
event 58' Vitor Oliveira
event 45' Johan Felipe Vasquez Ibarra
event 32' Alex Meret
Napoli Napoli
Substitutions
#7 David Neres Campos
#15 Phillip Billing
#6 Billy Gilmour
#18 Giovanni Pablo Simeone
#26 Cyril Ngonge
#14 Nikita Contini
#96 Simone Scuffet
#29 Luis Hasa
#30 Pasquale Mazzocchi
#16 Rafa Marin
#9 Noah Okafor
Napoli Napoli Genoa Genoa
22Shots8
11Shots on Goal2
12Fouls14
8Corner Kick0
14Free kick12
1Offside1
1Yellow card2
39Aerial31
0Save9
10Successful Tackles7
8Interceptions9
24Long pass20
2Assist1
3Substitution5
5Shots off goal4
20Head Success15
6Blocked2
10Tackle7
12Dribbles4
26Throw-in17
514Passes351
89Attacks81
34Dangerous attacks26
3Corner Kicks(HT)0
Genoa Genoa
Substitutions
#53 Lior Kasa
#59 Alessandro Zanoli
#13 Mattia Bani
#3 Aaron Caricol
#76 Lorenzo Venturino
#4 Koni De Winter
#5 Jean Emile Junior Onana Onana
#47 Milan Badelj
#21 Jeff Ekhator
#1 Nicola Leali
#39 Daniele Sommariva
Commentary
89' Phillip Billing - Napoli receive a yellow card
88' Napoli — substitution: David Neres Campos / Matteo Politano
84' Goal! Johan Felipe Vasquez Ibarra - Genoa
80' Napoli — substitution: Phillip Billing / Giacomo Raspadori
78' Genoa — substitution: Lorenzo Venturino / Honest Ahanor
78' Genoa — substitution: Alessandro Zanoli / Stefano Sabelli
69' Genoa — substitution: Mattia Bani / Sebastian Otoa
69' Genoa — substitution: Lior Kasa / Vitor Oliveira
64' Goal! Giacomo Raspadori - Napoli
59' Genoa — substitution: Aaron Caricol / Junior Messias
58' Vitor Oliveira - Genoa receive a yellow card
45' Johan Felipe Vasquez Ibarra - Genoa receive a yellow card
32' Own goal! Alex Meret - Genoa
15' Goal! Romelu Lukaku - Napoli
13' Napoli — substitution: Billy Gilmour / Stanislav Lobotka

How We Build the Napoli vs Genoa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Napoli vs Genoa on 11 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Napoli vs Genoa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Napoli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Genoa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Napoli and Genoa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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