Napoli vs Genoa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Napoli

W W W D D

1st place in Italian Serie A

2-2

11/05/2025 14:45

Genoa

L L L D L

13th place in Italian Serie A

Italian Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Napoli vs Genoa on 11 May 2025 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Napoli vs Genoa preview before placing your bet.

Napoli are currently 1st with 82 points after 38 matches.
Genoa sit 13th with 43 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Napoli to win with probability 71%.
Head-to-head history favors Napoli, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Genoa have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2025-05-11

Napoli vs Genoa - Prediction & Odds

Napoli

Genoa

2025-05-11 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Napoli	82	38	24	10	4	59	27	32
02 Inter Milan	81	38	24	9	5	79	35	44
03 Atalanta	74	38	22	8	8	78	37	41
04 Juventus	70	38	18	16	4	58	35	23
05 AS Roma	69	38	20	9	9	56	35	21
06 Fiorentina	65	38	19	8	11	60	41	19
07 Lazio	65	38	18	11	9	61	49	12
08 AC Milan	63	38	18	9	11	61	43	18
09 Bologna	62	38	16	14	8	57	47	10
10 Como	49	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3
11 Torino	44	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6
12 Udinese	44	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15
13 Genoa	43	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12
14 Verona	37	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32
15 Cagliari	36	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16
16 Parma	36	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14
17 Lecce	34	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31
18 Empoli	31	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26
19 Venezia	29	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24
20 Monza	18	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41

Head To Head

21/12/2024 13:00

Genoa

1 - 2

Napoli

ITA D1

17/02/2024 10:00

Napoli

1 - 1

Genoa

ITA D1

16/09/2023 14:45

Genoa

2 - 2

Napoli

ITA D1

15/05/2022 09:00

Napoli

3 - 0

Genoa

ITA D1

29/08/2021 12:30

Genoa

1 - 2

Napoli

ITA D1

06/02/2021 15:45

Genoa

2 - 1

Napoli

ITA D1

Napoli

50%

Draw

33%

Genoa

17%

Napoli Last 6 matches

03/05/2025 12:00

Lecce 0 - 1 Napoli ITA D1

27/04/2025 14:45

Napoli 2 - 0 Torino ITA D1

19/04/2025 12:00

Monza 0 - 1 Napoli ITA D1

14/04/2025 14:45

Napoli 3 - 0 Empoli ITA D1

07/04/2025 14:45

Bologna 1 - 1 Napoli ITA D1

30/03/2025 14:45

Napoli 2 - 1 AC Milan ITA D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Genoa

27/04/2025 06:30

Como 1 - 0 Genoa ITA D1

23/04/2025 12:30

Genoa 0 - 2 Lazio ITA D1

13/04/2025 09:00

Verona 0 - 0 Genoa ITA D1

04/04/2025 14:45

Genoa 1 - 0 Udinese ITA D1

29/03/2025 13:00

Juventus 1 - 0 Genoa ITA D1

14/03/2025 15:45

Genoa 2 - 1 Lecce ITA D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

288

Avg. per game

0.96

Conceded

184

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored

181

Avg. per game

0.69

Conceded

189

Avg. per game

0.72

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

190 (63%)110 (37%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

132 (50%)130 (50%)

Napoli

Recent matches

Genoa

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Napoli

Genoa

Shots

Napoli

Total shots

14.52 avg / game

Blocked

1014 total

Avg. 4.17

Genoa

Total shots

11.19 avg / game

Blocked

540 total

Avg. 2.73

Napoli Pass Genoa

Total passes

140567

Avg. 541 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

95427

Avg. 403 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Napoli

300

Played games

Genoa

262

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

112

Clean sheets

0.28

5.63

1688

Corners

1079

4.12

16.31

4893

Throw-ins

4270

16.30

1.56

467

Offsides

396

1.51

2.14

642

GK saves

747

2.85

Napoli

DISCIPLINARY

Genoa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.50

450

518

1.98

0.06

0.07

10.12

3037

Fouls

3296

12.58

11.49

3447

Tackles

3478

13.27

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Napoli vs Genoa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Napoli vs Genoa on 11 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Napoli vs Genoa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Napoli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Genoa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where Napoli and Genoa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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