Napoli vs Fiorentina: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 May

Betiball's prediction for Napoli vs Fiorentina on 07 May 2023 (kick-off: 11:59) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Napoli vs Fiorentina preview before placing your bet.

Napoli vs Fiorentina: Starting Lineups Time : 07/05/2023 11:59

Napoli
1 - 0
Finished
Fiorentina
84' event Alessio Zerbin / Elif Elmas
78' event Giovanni Pablo Simeone / Victor James Osimhen
74' event Victor James Osimhen
48' event Victor James Osimhen
46' event Piotr Zielinski / Giacomo Raspadori
46' event Stanislav Lobotka / Diego Demme
45' event Khvicha Kvaratskhelia / Hirving Rodrigo Lozano Bahena
event 76' Riccardo Saponara / Riccardo Sottil
event 76' Cristian Kouame / Sofyan Amrabat
event 67' Rolando Mandragora / Joseph Alfred Duncan
event 66' Gaetano Castrovilli / Giacomo Bonaventura
event 46' Lorenzo Venuti / Domilson Cordeiro dos Santos
84' event Alessio Zerbin / Elif Elmas
event 76' Riccardo Saponara / Riccardo Sottil
78' event Giovanni Pablo Simeone / Victor James Osimhen
event 76' Cristian Kouame / Sofyan Amrabat
74' event Victor James Osimhen
event 67' Rolando Mandragora / Joseph Alfred Duncan
48' event Victor James Osimhen
event 66' Gaetano Castrovilli / Giacomo Bonaventura
46' event Piotr Zielinski / Giacomo Raspadori
event 46' Lorenzo Venuti / Domilson Cordeiro dos Santos
46' event Stanislav Lobotka / Diego Demme
45' event Khvicha Kvaratskhelia / Hirving Rodrigo Lozano Bahena
Napoli Napoli
Substitutions
#18 Giovanni Pablo Simeone
#77 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
#23 Alessio Zerbin
#20 Piotr Zielinski
#68 Stanislav Lobotka
#5 Juan Guilherme Nunes Jesus
#31 Karim Zedadka
#91 Tanguy Ndombele Alvaro
#70 Gianluca Gaetano
#1 Alex Meret
#12 Davide Marfella
#21 Matteo Politano
#19 Bartosz Bereszynski
#13 Amir Rrahmani
Napoli Napoli Fiorentina Fiorentina
10Shots15
3Shots on Goal3
12Fouls15
0Corner Kick5
16Free kick13
1Offside3
18Aerial36
3Save2
12Successful Tackles21
6Interceptions5
6Shots off goal6
14Head Success13
1Blocked6
12Tackle21
5Dribbles12
15Throw-in14
423Passes466
73Attacks124
33Dangerous attacks52
0Corner Kicks(HT)4
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Substitutions
#8 Riccardo Saponara
#23 Lorenzo Venuti
#38 Rolando Mandragora
#10 Gaetano Castrovilli
#99 Cristian Kouame
#77 Josip Brekalo
#72 Antonin Barak
#11 Nanitamo Jonathan Ikone
#16 Luca Ranieri
#3 Cristiano Biraghi
#31 Michele Cerofolini
#42 Alessandro Bianco
#51 Tommaso Vannucchi
Commentary
84' Napoli — substitution: Alessio Zerbin / Elif Elmas
78' Napoli — substitution: Giovanni Pablo Simeone / Victor James Osimhen
76' Fiorentina — substitution: Riccardo Saponara / Riccardo Sottil
76' Fiorentina — substitution: Cristian Kouame / Sofyan Amrabat
74' Penalty scored! Victor James Osimhen - Napoli
67' Fiorentina — substitution: Rolando Mandragora / Joseph Alfred Duncan
66' Fiorentina — substitution: Gaetano Castrovilli / Giacomo Bonaventura
48' Penalty missed! Victor James Osimhen - Napoli
46' Napoli — substitution: Piotr Zielinski / Giacomo Raspadori
46' Napoli — substitution: Stanislav Lobotka / Diego Demme
46' Fiorentina — substitution: Lorenzo Venuti / Domilson Cordeiro dos Santos
45' Napoli — substitution: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia / Hirving Rodrigo Lozano Bahena

How We Build the Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Napoli vs Fiorentina on 07 May 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Napoli vs Fiorentina Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Napoli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Fiorentina's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Napoli and Fiorentina sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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