Napoli vs Bologna: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Betiball's prediction for Napoli vs Bologna on 11 May 2026 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Napoli vs Bologna preview before placing your bet.

Napoli vs Bologna: Starting Lineups Time : 11/05/2026 14:45

Napoli
2 - 3
Finished
Bologna
87' event Pasquale Mazzocchi / Miguel Ortega Gutierrez
84' event Leonardo Spinazzola / Matteo Politano
84' event Matteo Politano
76' event Billy Gilmour / Stanislav Lobotka
76' event Elif Elmas / Giovane
48' event Alisson Santos
45+1' event Giovanni Di Lorenzo
event 90+1' Jonathan Rowe
event 82' Nikola Moro / Tommaso Pobega
event 82' Torbjorn Heggem / Eivind Fauske Helland
event 81' Simon Sohm / Lewis Ferguson
event 73' Jonathan Rowe / Federico Bernardeschi
event 69' Jhon Janer Lucumi
event 64' Nadir Zortea / Joao Mario Neto Lopes
event 58' Eivind Fauske Helland
event 47' Federico Bernardeschi
event 38' Joao Mario Neto Lopes
event 34' Riccardo Orsolini
event 33' Juan Miranda Penalty awarded
event 9' Federico Bernardeschi
87' event Pasquale Mazzocchi / Miguel Ortega Gutierrez
event 90+1' Jonathan Rowe
84' event Leonardo Spinazzola / Matteo Politano
event 82' Nikola Moro / Tommaso Pobega
84' event Matteo Politano
event 82' Torbjorn Heggem / Eivind Fauske Helland
76' event Billy Gilmour / Stanislav Lobotka
event 81' Simon Sohm / Lewis Ferguson
76' event Elif Elmas / Giovane
event 73' Jonathan Rowe / Federico Bernardeschi
48' event Alisson Santos
event 69' Jhon Janer Lucumi
45+1' event Giovanni Di Lorenzo
event 64' Nadir Zortea / Joao Mario Neto Lopes
event 58' Eivind Fauske Helland
event 47' Federico Bernardeschi
event 38' Joao Mario Neto Lopes
event 34' Riccardo Orsolini
event 33' Juan Miranda Penalty awarded
event 9' Federico Bernardeschi
Napoli Napoli
Substitutions
#30 Pasquale Mazzocchi
#37 Leonardo Spinazzola
#20 Elif Elmas
#6 Billy Gilmour
#5 Juan Guilherme Nunes Jesus
#99 Andre Zambo Anguissa
#26 Antonio Vergara
#1 Alex Meret
#14 Nikita Contini
#31 Sam Beukema
#17 Mathias Olivera
Napoli Napoli Bologna Bologna
14Shots10
5Shots on Goal4
10Fouls12
7Corner Kick1
12Free kick9
4Offside0
1Yellow card4
17Aerial17
1Save3
3Successful Tackles8
7Interceptions9
26Long pass22
1Assist1
5Successful center1
4Substitution5
5Shots off goal5
0Hit The Post1
6Head Success11
4Blocked1
3Tackle8
2Dribbles4
18Throw-in10
484Passes458
90Attacks79
53Dangerous attacks20
5Corner Kicks(HT)1
2BigChances1
1BigChancesMissed0
11ShotsInsideBox5
3ShotsOutsideBox5
26DuelsWon41
0.75ExpectedGoals1.32
1.18xGOT1.21
25Touches In Opposition Box11
22AccurateCrosses5
20GroundDuelsWon30
6AerialDuelsWon11
8Clearances24
Bologna Bologna
Substitutions
#6 Nikola Moro
#20 Nadir Zortea
#23 Simon Sohm
#11 Jonathan Rowe
#14 Torbjorn Heggem
#30 Benjamin Dominguez
#21 Jens Odgaard
#22 Charalampos Lykogiannis
#29 Lorenzo De Silvestri
#13 Federico Ravaglia
#24 Thijs Dallinga
#1 Lukasz Skorupski
Commentary
90+1' Goal! Jonathan Rowe - Bologna
87' Napoli — substitution: Pasquale Mazzocchi / Miguel Ortega Gutierrez
84' Napoli — substitution: Leonardo Spinazzola / Matteo Politano
84' Matteo Politano - Napoli receive a yellow card
82' Bologna — substitution: Nikola Moro / Tommaso Pobega
82' Bologna — substitution: Torbjorn Heggem / Eivind Fauske Helland
81' Bologna — substitution: Simon Sohm / Lewis Ferguson
76' Napoli — substitution: Billy Gilmour / Stanislav Lobotka
76' Napoli — substitution: Elif Elmas / Giovane
73' Bologna — substitution: Jonathan Rowe / Federico Bernardeschi
69' Jhon Janer Lucumi - Bologna receive a yellow card
64' Bologna — substitution: Nadir Zortea / Joao Mario Neto Lopes
58' Eivind Fauske Helland - Bologna receive a yellow card
48' Goal! Alisson Santos - Napoli
47' Federico Bernardeschi - Bologna receive a yellow card
45+1' Goal! Giovanni Di Lorenzo - Napoli
38' Joao Mario Neto Lopes - Bologna receive a yellow card
34' Penalty scored! Riccardo Orsolini - Bologna
33' VAR review - Bologna
9' Goal! Federico Bernardeschi - Bologna

How We Build the Napoli vs Bologna Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Napoli vs Bologna on 11 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Napoli vs Bologna Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Napoli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bologna's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Napoli and Bologna sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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