Nacional Montevideo vs Deportes Tolima: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 April

Nacional Montevideo

L D L W W

3rd place in Group B

3-1

14/04/2026 22:00

Deportes Tolima

L D D W W

2nd place in Group B

Copa Libertadores

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Deportes Tolima on 14 April 2026 (kick-off: 22:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs Deportes Tolima preview before placing your bet.

Nacional Montevideo are currently 3rd with 8 points after 6 matches.
Deportes Tolima sit 2nd with 8 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Nacional Montevideo to win with probability 49%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

22:00

2026-04-14

Nacional Montevideo vs Deportes Tolima - Prediction & Odds

Nacional Montevideo

Deportes Tolima

2026-04-14 22:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/04/2026

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Coquimbo Unido	10	6	3	1	2	8	6	2
02 Deportes Tolima	8	6	2	2	2	7	6	1
03 Nacional Montevideo	8	6	2	2	2	7	9	-2
04 Universitario De Deportes	6	6	1	3	2	5	6	-1

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

11/04/2026 22:00

Deportivo Maldonado 4 - 2 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

08/04/2026 22:00

Coquimbo Unido 1 - 1 Nacional Montevideo CON CLA

03/04/2026 23:30

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 1 Central Espanol URU D1

28/03/2026 22:30

Montevideo City Torque 2 - 3 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

24/03/2026 23:30

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1

21/03/2026 00:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 2 - 1 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Deportes Tolima

11/04/2026 01:05

Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Deportes Tolima COL D1

08/04/2026 02:00

Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Universitario De Deportes CON CLA

05/04/2026 00:30

Deportes Tolima 2 - 2 Independiente Santa Fe COL D1

01/04/2026 01:00

Deportes Tolima 4 - 1 Aguilas Doradas COL D1

28/03/2026 23:10

Deportes Tolima 3 - 1 Jaguares de Cordoba COL D1

23/03/2026 19:00

Boyaca Chico 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima COL D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Copa Libertadores

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

Deportes Tolima

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.17

Scored

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

Deportes Tolima

Under /Over

(67%)4 2(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(50%)5 5(50%)

Under /Over

(17%)1 5(83%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(10%)1 9(90%)

Under /Over

(50%)3 3(50%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(30%)3 7(70%)

/Yes

(50%)3 3(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(10%)1 9(90%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

Deportes Tolima

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

9.83 avg / game

Blocked

14 total

Avg. 2.33

Deportes Tolima

Total shots

10.30 avg / game

Blocked

16 total

Avg. 1.60

Nacional Montevideo Pass Deportes Tolima

Total passes

1683

Avg. 281 / game

Accurate

71%

Ball possession

40%

Total passes

4574

Avg. 457 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

Played games

Deportes Tolima

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.60

5.00

Corners

4.30

21.00

126

Throw-ins

238

23.80

0.33

Offsides

1.40

4.17

GK saves

2.90

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

Deportes Tolima

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.00

2.00

0.33

0.10

8.17

Fouls

114

11.40

9.00

Tackles

7.90

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

NEXT MATCHES

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL

08/09

Deportes Tolima

Internacional de Bogota

COL

08/11

Deportes Tolima

Independiente del Valle

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs Deportes Tolima Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Deportes Tolima on 14 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Copa Libertadores fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs Deportes Tolima Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Deportes Tolima's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Copa Libertadores Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Copa Libertadores standings and the Copa Libertadores form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and Deportes Tolima sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Copa Libertadores predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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