Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 January

Nacional Montevideo

D D D D D

No standing data

1-1

Pen. 1-3

22/01/2026 19:30

Club Atletico Progreso

W L D D L

No standing data

Uruguay Copa de la Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso on 22 January 2026 (kick-off: 19:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso preview before placing your bet.

Nacional Montevideo will face Club Atletico Progreso in Uruguay Copa de la Liga on January 22, 2026 at 19:30.
Current model prediction leans yellow with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.35.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:30

2026-01-22

Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso - Prediction & Odds

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

2026-01-22 19:30

STANDINGS UP TO 22/01/2026

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Nacional Montevideo and Club Atletico Progreso in the Uruguay Copa de la Liga football standings for the 2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

16/08/2025 17:00

Nacional Montevideo

3 - 1

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

23/05/2025 19:30

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 0

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

16/02/2025 16:00

Club Atletico Progreso

1 - 5

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

29/09/2024 19:00

Club Atletico Progreso

0 - 3

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

23/03/2024 17:30

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 0

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

19/09/2021 14:30

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 1

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

Nacional Montevideo

33%

Draw

17%

Club Atletico Progreso

50%

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

17/01/2026 19:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Cerro Largo

UCL

13/01/2026 20:30

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 0 Deportivo Maldonado

UCL

30/11/2025 15:30

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 0 CA Penarol

URU D1

23/11/2025 15:45

CA Penarol 2 - 2 Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

09/11/2025 15:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 1 - 1 Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

01/11/2025 18:00

Cerro Montevideo 0 - 0 Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Last 6 matches Club Atletico Progreso

18/01/2026 20:30

CA Juventud 0 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso

UCL

15/01/2026 17:15

Club Atletico Progreso 1 - 2 Atletico Tucuman

INT CF

11/01/2026 20:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 0 - 0 Club Atletico Progreso

UCL

09/11/2025 15:30

CA Juventud 1 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

01/11/2025 09:00

Club Atletico Progreso 0 - 5 Montevideo City Torque

URU D1

26/10/2025 15:00

Liverpool URU 3 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Copa de la Lig...

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.27

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.27

Scored

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.38

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 33 matches

YesNo

24 (73%)9 (27%)

In last 33 matches

NoYes

15 (58%)11 (42%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

Club Atletico Progreso

Under /Over

(70%)23 10(30%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(65%)17 9(35%)

Under /Over

(33%)11 22(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)10 16(62%)

Under /Over

(42%)14 19(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(23%)6 20(77%)

/Yes

(52%)17 16(48%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(46%)12 14(54%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

7.47 avg / game

Blocked

16 total

Avg. 2.29

Club Atletico Progreso

Total shots

6.96 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Nacional Montevideo Pass Club Atletico Progreso

Total passes

2023

Avg. 289 / game

Accurate

71%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Nacional Montevideo

2353

Avg. 71.30 / game

Club Atletico Progreso

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Club Atletico Progreso

1262

Avg. 48.54 / game

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

Played games

Club Atletico Progreso

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.15

4.39

145

Corners

3.73

4.45

147

Throw-ins

0.00

0.06

Offsides

0.00

0.79

GK saves

0.00

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

Club Atletico Progreso

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.70

2.62

0.27

0.23

2.33

Fouls

0.00

1.94

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso on 22 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Copa de la Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Club Atletico Progreso's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Copa de la Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Copa de la Liga standings and the Uruguay Copa de la Liga form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and Club Atletico Progreso sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Copa de la Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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