Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 10 May

Nacional Montevideo

L L W L L

7th place in Apertura

4-0

10/05/2026 18:25

Cerro Montevideo

W D D L L

16th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Montevideo on 10 May 2026 (kick-off: 18:25) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

Nacional Montevideo are currently 7th with 22 points after 15 matches.
Cerro Montevideo sit 16th with 10 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Nacional Montevideo to win with probability 67%.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Cerro Montevideo have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:25

2026-05-10

Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

Nacional Montevideo

Cerro Montevideo

2026-05-10 18:25

STANDINGS UP TO 10/05/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Racing Club Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	23	14	9
02 Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	9	2	4	24	16	8
03 Albion FC	28	15	8	4	3	26	16	10
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	23	16	7
05 Central Espanol	24	15	7	3	5	23	22	1
06 Montevideo City Torque	23	15	6	5	4	22	16	6
07 Nacional Montevideo	22	15	7	1	7	26	21	5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	5	6	4	13	11	2
09 Liverpool URU	20	15	5	5	5	20	18	2
10 Wanderers FC	20	15	6	2	7	16	21	-5
11 Danubio FC	18	15	4	6	5	17	21	-4
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	5	2	8	16	19	-3
13 Boston River	17	15	5	2	8	14	20	-6
14 CA Juventud	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5
15 Club Atletico Progreso	10	15	2	4	9	12	23	-11
16 Cerro Montevideo	10	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	13	6	4	1	1	9	3	6
02 Cerro Largo	11	6	3	2	1	7	2	5
03 Cerro Montevideo	9	6	3	0	3	5	8	-3
04 Liverpool URU	8	6	2	2	2	5	5	0
05 Central Espanol	8	6	2	2	2	4	4	0
06 Racing Club Montevideo	7	6	1	4	1	3	3	0
07 Boston River	5	6	1	2	3	5	9	-4
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	3	6	0	3	3	4	8	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Wanderers FC	15	7	4	3	0	12	4	8
02 Deportivo Maldonado	12	7	3	3	1	12	6	6
03 Montevideo City Torque	12	7	4	0	3	11	11	0
04 Nacional Montevideo	10	6	3	1	2	6	7	-1
05 CA Juventud	8	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
06 Albion FC	6	7	1	3	3	6	8	-2
07 Club Atletico Progreso	6	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4
08 Danubio FC	4	7	0	4	3	5	9	-4
09 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Head To Head

01/11/2025 18:00

Cerro Montevideo

0 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

03/05/2025 16:30

Nacional Montevideo

4 - 0

Cerro Montevideo

URU D1

02/11/2024 18:00

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 0

Cerro Montevideo

URU D1

09/06/2024 17:00

Cerro Montevideo

3 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

28/04/2024 17:00

Cerro Montevideo

1 - 2

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

15/10/2023 17:30

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 1

Cerro Montevideo

URU D1

Nacional Montevideo

67%

Draw

17%

Cerro Montevideo

17%

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

06/05/2026 22:00

Deportes Tolima 3 - 0 Nacional Montevideo CON CLA

03/05/2026 18:55

Albion FC 3 - 2 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

29/04/2026 22:00

Universitario De Deportes 4 - 2 Nacional Montevideo CON CLA

25/04/2026 18:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 2 Danubio FC URU D1

19/04/2026 18:30

Liverpool URU 1 - 3 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

14/04/2026 18:00

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 Deportes Tolima CON CLA

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Cerro Montevideo

02/05/2026 14:30

Cerro Montevideo 0 - 1 Deportivo Maldonado URU D1

26/04/2026 09:00

Central Espanol 3 - 1 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

19/04/2026 09:00

Cerro Montevideo 1 - 1 Montevideo City Torque URU D1

10/04/2026 19:00

Cerro Largo 1 - 1 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

05/04/2026 14:25

Cerro Montevideo 1 - 0 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

28/03/2026 15:00

Wanderers FC 3 - 0 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Played games

Goals

Scored

499

Avg. per game

1.66

Conceded

292

Avg. per game

0.97

Scored

205

Avg. per game

0.93

Conceded

261

Avg. per game

1.19

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

235 (78%)65 (22%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

142 (65%)78 (35%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

Cerro Montevideo

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(38%)17 28(62%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

Cerro Montevideo

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

Cerro Montevideo

Total shots

6.36 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Nacional Montevideo Pass Cerro Montevideo

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

300

Played games

Cerro Montevideo

220

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

119

Clean sheets

0.33

4.50

1351

Corners

853

3.88

1.04

312

Throw-ins

0.00

0.26

Offsides

0.01

1.49

447

GK saves

240

1.09

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

Cerro Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.35

704

572

2.60

0.14

0.16

2.12

636

Fouls

0.19

2.42

727

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

NEXT MATCHES

08/03

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Cerro Montevideo

URU

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Montevideo on 10 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Cerro Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and Cerro Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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