Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 03 May

Nacional Montevideo

W W W W W

2nd place in Apertura

4-0

03/05/2025 20:30

Cerro Montevideo

D L L L L

12th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Montevideo on 03 May 2025 (kick-off: 20:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

Nacional Montevideo are currently 2nd with 31 points after 15 matches.
Cerro Montevideo sit 12th with 14 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Nacional Montevideo to win with probability 63%.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Cerro Montevideo have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:30

2025-05-03

Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

Nacional Montevideo

Cerro Montevideo

2025-05-03 20:30

STANDINGS UP TO 03/05/2025

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	32	15	9	5	1	22	9	13
02 Nacional Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	35	16	19
03 CA Juventud	30	15	9	3	3	23	15	8
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	17	12	5
06 Racing Club Montevideo	23	15	6	5	4	14	10	4
07 Boston River	22	15	6	4	5	16	17	-1
08 Cerro Largo	21	15	5	6	4	15	16	-1
09 Plaza Colonia	19	15	5	4	6	13	13	0
10 Montevideo City Torque	17	15	4	5	6	16	22	-6
11 Club Atletico Progreso	15	15	3	6	6	17	27	-10
12 Cerro Montevideo	14	15	3	6	6	13	20	-7
13 Danubio FC	12	15	1	9	5	12	17	-5
14 Wanderers FC	12	15	2	6	7	12	17	-5
15 Miramar Misiones FC	12	15	3	3	9	16	24	-8
16 CA River Plate	10	15	2	4	9	10	20	-10

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	35	15	11	2	2	30	12	18
02 Nacional Montevideo	27	15	8	6	1	25	11	14
03 Montevideo City Torque	27	15	8	3	4	28	17	11
04 Boston River	26	15	6	8	1	26	10	16
05 Cerro Largo	25	15	7	4	4	19	14	5
06 Liverpool URU	25	15	7	4	4	19	16	3
07 Cerro Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	13	13	0
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	23	15	7	2	6	13	16	-3
09 Danubio FC	21	15	6	3	6	18	13	5
10 Club Atletico Progreso	18	15	5	3	7	17	23	-6
11 Racing Club Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	14	22	-8
12 CA Juventud	16	15	4	4	7	8	13	-5
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	12	18	-6
14 Miramar Misiones FC	13	15	3	4	8	17	26	-9
15 Plaza Colonia	8	15	2	2	11	9	26	-17
16 Wanderers FC	7	15	1	4	10	7	25	-18

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	15	5	10
02 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	14	7	4	2	1	12	10	2
03 Wanderers FC	12	7	3	3	1	6	5	1
04 Plaza Colonia	8	7	1	5	1	6	7	-1
05 Liverpool URU	8	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2
06 Cerro Montevideo	8	7	2	2	3	7	9	-2
07 CA River Plate	5	7	1	2	4	6	10	-4
08 Cerro Largo	3	7	0	3	4	7	11	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	21	7	7	0	0	16	6	10
02 CA Juventud	15	7	5	0	2	14	11	3
03 Racing Club Montevideo	13	7	4	1	2	11	6	5
04 Danubio FC	10	7	3	1	3	11	11	0
05 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	8	12	-4
06 Club Atletico Progreso	6	7	2	0	5	4	10	-6
07 Montevideo City Torque	5	7	1	2	4	10	12	-2
08 Miramar Misiones FC	4	7	1	1	5	2	8	-6

Head To Head

02/11/2024 22:00

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 0

Cerro Montevideo

URU D1

09/06/2024 21:00

Cerro Montevideo

3 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

28/04/2024 21:00

Cerro Montevideo

1 - 2

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

15/10/2023 21:30

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 1

Cerro Montevideo

URU D1

03/06/2023 18:00

Cerro Montevideo

1 - 1

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

04/03/2023 20:00

Cerro Montevideo

2 - 2

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

Nacional Montevideo

50%

Draw

33%

Cerro Montevideo

17%

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

14/04/2025 21:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 3 - 2 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

06/04/2025 13:00

Cerro Montevideo 0 - 0 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

31/03/2025 22:00

Cerro Montevideo 2 - 1 Wanderers FC URU D1

28/03/2025 00:15

Miramar Misiones FC 1 - 1 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

23/03/2025 20:45

Cerro Montevideo 1 - 1 Danubio FC URU D1

17/03/2025 22:00

Cerro Largo 0 - 0 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Last 6 matches Cerro Montevideo

18/04/2025 19:00

Miramar Misiones FC 1 - 3 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

13/04/2025 20:30

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 0 Danubio FC URU D1

09/04/2025 22:00

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 1 Bahia CON CLA

06/04/2025 20:30

Cerro Largo 0 - 4 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

03/04/2025 02:00

Atletico Nacional Medellin 3 - 0 Nacional Montevideo CON CLA

30/03/2025 18:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 2 CA Juventud URU D1

Win

Draw

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

Cerro Montevideo

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.93

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored

Avg. per game

0.46

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.51

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 40 matches

YesNo

22 (55%)18 (45%)

In last 40 matches

NoYes

15 (41%)22 (59%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

Cerro Montevideo

Under /Over

(75%)30 10(25%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(59%)22 15(41%)

Under /Over

(45%)18 22(55%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(30%)11 26(70%)

Under /Over

(50%)20 20(50%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(32%)12 25(68%)

/Yes

(58%)23 17(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(46%)17 20(54%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

Cerro Montevideo

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

9.43 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Cerro Montevideo

Total shots

5.16 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Nacional Montevideo Pass Cerro Montevideo

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

Played games

Cerro Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.38

Clean sheets

0.38

5.13

205

Corners

113

3.05

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.03

1.35

GK saves

1.95

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

Cerro Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.48

102

2.76

0.08

0.22

0.00

Fouls

0.27

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

NEXT MATCHES

08/03

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Cerro Montevideo

URU

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Montevideo on 03 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Cerro Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and Cerro Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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