Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Largo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 24 March

Nacional Montevideo

L L W L L

7th place in Apertura

3-0

24/03/2026 23:30

Cerro Largo

D D L L W

12th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Largo on 24 March 2026 (kick-off: 23:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Largo preview before placing your bet.

Nacional Montevideo are currently 7th with 22 points after 15 matches.
Cerro Largo sit 12th with 17 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Nacional Montevideo to win with probability 62%.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Cerro Largo have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

23:30

2026-03-24

Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Largo - Prediction & Odds

Nacional Montevideo

Cerro Largo

2026-03-24 23:30

STANDINGS UP TO 24/03/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Racing Club Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	23	14	9
02 Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	9	2	4	24	16	8
03 Albion FC	28	15	8	4	3	26	16	10
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	23	16	7
05 Central Espanol	24	15	7	3	5	23	22	1
06 Montevideo City Torque	23	15	6	5	4	22	16	6
07 Nacional Montevideo	22	15	7	1	7	26	21	5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	5	6	4	13	11	2
09 Liverpool URU	20	15	5	5	5	20	18	2
10 Wanderers FC	20	15	6	2	7	16	21	-5
11 Danubio FC	18	15	4	6	5	17	21	-4
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	5	2	8	16	19	-3
13 Boston River	17	15	5	2	8	14	20	-6
14 CA Juventud	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5
15 Club Atletico Progreso	10	15	2	4	9	12	23	-11
16 Cerro Montevideo	10	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	13	6	4	1	1	9	3	6
02 Cerro Largo	11	6	3	2	1	7	2	5
03 Cerro Montevideo	9	6	3	0	3	5	8	-3
04 Liverpool URU	8	6	2	2	2	5	5	0
05 Central Espanol	8	6	2	2	2	4	4	0
06 Racing Club Montevideo	7	6	1	4	1	3	3	0
07 Boston River	5	6	1	2	3	5	9	-4
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	3	6	0	3	3	4	8	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Wanderers FC	12	6	3	3	0	10	4	6
02 Montevideo City Torque	12	6	4	0	2	11	9	2
03 Deportivo Maldonado	11	6	3	2	1	12	6	6
04 Nacional Montevideo	10	6	3	1	2	6	7	-1
05 CA Juventud	7	6	2	1	3	8	11	-3
06 Club Atletico Progreso	6	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4
07 Albion FC	5	6	1	2	3	4	6	-2
08 Danubio FC	3	6	0	3	3	3	7	-4
09 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Head To Head

17/01/2026 23:00

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 1

Cerro Largo

UCL

04/10/2025 21:00

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 1

Cerro Largo

URU D1

06/04/2025 20:30

Cerro Largo

0 - 4

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

13/10/2024 19:00

Cerro Largo

0 - 1

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

23/06/2024 18:00

Cerro Largo

0 - 4

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

06/04/2024 21:00

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 0

Cerro Largo

URU D1

Nacional Montevideo

83%

Draw

17%

Cerro Largo

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

21/03/2026 00:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 2 - 1 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

13/03/2026 22:55

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 0 Wanderers FC URU D1

08/03/2026 20:00

CA Juventud 3 - 1 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

01/03/2026 22:30

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 1 CA Penarol URU D1

21/02/2026 23:30

Club Atletico Progreso 0 - 1 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

14/02/2026 23:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Racing Club Montevideo URU D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Cerro Largo

20/03/2026 21:00

Cerro Largo 3 - 1 Deportivo Maldonado URU D1

15/03/2026 13:00

Central Espanol 1 - 3 Cerro Largo URU D1

09/03/2026 21:30

Cerro Largo 0 - 1 Montevideo City Torque URU D1

01/03/2026 12:45

Liverpool URU 2 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1

21/02/2026 00:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 1 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1

13/02/2026 22:00

Cerro Largo 1 - 2 Wanderers FC URU D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Played games

Goals

Scored

499

Avg. per game

1.66

Conceded

292

Avg. per game

0.97

Scored

252

Avg. per game

0.99

Conceded

284

Avg. per game

1.12

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

235 (78%)65 (22%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

158 (62%)96 (38%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

Cerro Largo

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

Cerro Largo

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

Cerro Largo

Total shots

7.94 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 2.83

Nacional Montevideo Pass Cerro Largo

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

3288

Avg. 274 / game

Accurate

65%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

300

Played games

Cerro Largo

254

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

119

Clean sheets

0.35

4.50

1351

Corners

1014

3.99

1.04

312

Throw-ins

184

0.72

0.26

Offsides

0.09

1.49

447

GK saves

459

1.81

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

Cerro Largo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.35

704

644

2.54

0.14

0.13

2.12

636

Fouls

217

0.85

2.42

727

Tackles

194

0.76

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Largo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Largo on 24 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Largo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Cerro Largo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and Cerro Largo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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