Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 February

Nacional Montevideo

W W W W W

2nd place in Apertura

1-1

09/02/2025 18:30

CA Penarol

W W W W W

4th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol on 09 February 2025 (kick-off: 18:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol preview before placing your bet.

Nacional Montevideo are currently 2nd with 31 points after 15 matches.
CA Penarol sit 4th with 27 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Nacional Montevideo to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. CA Penarol have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:30

2025-02-09

Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol - Prediction & Odds

Nacional Montevideo

CA Penarol

2025-02-09 18:30

STANDINGS UP TO 09/02/2025

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	32	15	9	5	1	22	9	13
02 Nacional Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	35	16	19
03 CA Juventud	30	15	9	3	3	23	15	8
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	17	12	5
06 Racing Club Montevideo	23	15	6	5	4	14	10	4
07 Boston River	22	15	6	4	5	16	17	-1
08 Cerro Largo	21	15	5	6	4	15	16	-1
09 Plaza Colonia	19	15	5	4	6	13	13	0
10 Montevideo City Torque	17	15	4	5	6	16	22	-6
11 Club Atletico Progreso	15	15	3	6	6	17	27	-10
12 Cerro Montevideo	14	15	3	6	6	13	20	-7
13 Danubio FC	12	15	1	9	5	12	17	-5
14 Wanderers FC	12	15	2	6	7	12	17	-5
15 Miramar Misiones FC	12	15	3	3	9	16	24	-8
16 CA River Plate	10	15	2	4	9	10	20	-10

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	35	15	11	2	2	30	12	18
02 Nacional Montevideo	27	15	8	6	1	25	11	14
03 Montevideo City Torque	27	15	8	3	4	28	17	11
04 Boston River	26	15	6	8	1	26	10	16
05 Cerro Largo	25	15	7	4	4	19	14	5
06 Liverpool URU	25	15	7	4	4	19	16	3
07 Cerro Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	13	13	0
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	23	15	7	2	6	13	16	-3
09 Danubio FC	21	15	6	3	6	18	13	5
10 Club Atletico Progreso	18	15	5	3	7	17	23	-6
11 Racing Club Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	14	22	-8
12 CA Juventud	16	15	4	4	7	8	13	-5
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	12	18	-6
14 Miramar Misiones FC	13	15	3	4	8	17	26	-9
15 Plaza Colonia	8	15	2	2	11	9	26	-17
16 Wanderers FC	7	15	1	4	10	7	25	-18

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	15	5	10
02 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	14	7	4	2	1	12	10	2
03 Wanderers FC	12	7	3	3	1	6	5	1
04 Plaza Colonia	8	7	1	5	1	6	7	-1
05 Liverpool URU	8	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2
06 Cerro Montevideo	8	7	2	2	3	7	9	-2
07 CA River Plate	5	7	1	2	4	6	10	-4
08 Cerro Largo	3	7	0	3	4	7	11	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	21	7	7	0	0	16	6	10
02 CA Juventud	15	7	5	0	2	14	11	3
03 Racing Club Montevideo	13	7	4	1	2	11	6	5
04 Danubio FC	10	7	3	1	3	11	11	0
05 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	8	12	-4
06 Club Atletico Progreso	6	7	2	0	5	4	10	-6
07 Montevideo City Torque	5	7	1	2	4	10	12	-2
08 Miramar Misiones FC	4	7	1	1	5	2	8	-6

Head To Head

26/01/2025 19:30

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 1

CA Penarol

Uruguay SC

20/01/2025 20:00

Nacional Montevideo

3 - 1

CA Penarol

INT CF

06/10/2024 15:00

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

04/08/2024 14:00

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

29/03/2024 15:00

CA Penarol

0 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

23/01/2024 20:30

CA Penarol

0 - 2

Nacional Montevideo

INT CF

Nacional Montevideo

67%

Draw

33%

CA Penarol

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

02/02/2025 18:30

Montevideo City Torque 1 - 0 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

26/01/2025 19:30

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 1 CA Penarol Uruguay SC

20/01/2025 20:00

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 CA Penarol INT CF

17/01/2025 21:00

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 2 Olimpia Asuncion INT CF

13/01/2025 21:00

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 1 San Lorenzo INT CF

06/12/2024 19:30

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 2 Defensor Sporting Montevideo U Cup

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches CA Penarol

01/02/2025 19:00

Club Atletico Progreso 1 - 3 CA Penarol URU D1

26/01/2025 19:30

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 1 CA Penarol Uruguay SC

20/01/2025 20:00

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 CA Penarol INT CF

16/01/2025 21:00

CA Penarol 0 - 1 San Lorenzo INT CF

12/01/2025 21:00

CA Penarol 1 - 1 Colo Colo INT CF

01/12/2024 17:00

CA Penarol 3 - 1 Centro Atletico Fenix URU D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Played games

Goals

Scored

499

Avg. per game

1.66

Conceded

292

Avg. per game

0.97

Scored

440

Avg. per game

1.47

Conceded

253

Avg. per game

0.84

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

235 (78%)65 (22%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

227 (76%)73 (24%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

CA Penarol

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

CA Penarol

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

CA Penarol

Total shots

8.87 avg / game

Blocked

81 total

Avg. 2.89

Nacional Montevideo Pass CA Penarol

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

14455

Avg. 329 / game

Accurate

66%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

300

Played games

CA Penarol

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

119

Clean sheets

134

0.45

4.50

1351

Corners

1369

4.56

1.04

312

Throw-ins

472

1.57

0.26

Offsides

0.29

1.49

447

GK saves

424

1.41

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

CA Penarol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.35

704

608

2.03

0.14

0.10

2.12

636

Fouls

638

2.13

2.42

727

Tackles

725

2.42

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol on 09 February 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CA Penarol's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and CA Penarol sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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