Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 01 March

Nacional Montevideo

L L W L L

7th place in Apertura

0-1

01/03/2026 18:30

CA Penarol

W L D L D

4th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol on 01 March 2026 (kick-off: 18:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol preview before placing your bet.

Nacional Montevideo will face CA Penarol in Uruguay Primera Division on March 1, 2026 at 18:30.
Nacional Montevideo are currently 7th with 22 points after 15 matches.
CA Penarol sit 4th with 27 points from 15 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.00.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:30

2026-03-01

Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol - Prediction & Odds

Nacional Montevideo

CA Penarol

2026-03-01 18:30

STANDINGS UP TO 01/03/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Racing Club Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	23	14	9
02 Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	9	2	4	24	16	8
03 Albion FC	28	15	8	4	3	26	16	10
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	23	16	7
05 Central Espanol	24	15	7	3	5	23	22	1
06 Montevideo City Torque	23	15	6	5	4	22	16	6
07 Nacional Montevideo	22	15	7	1	7	26	21	5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	5	6	4	13	11	2
09 Liverpool URU	20	15	5	5	5	20	18	2
10 Wanderers FC	20	15	6	2	7	16	21	-5
11 Danubio FC	18	15	4	6	5	17	21	-4
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	5	2	8	16	19	-3
13 Boston River	17	15	5	2	8	14	20	-6
14 CA Juventud	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5
15 Club Atletico Progreso	10	15	2	4	9	12	23	-11
16 Cerro Montevideo	10	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	13	6	4	1	1	9	3	6
02 Cerro Largo	8	5	2	2	1	6	2	4
03 Central Espanol	8	5	2	2	1	4	3	1
04 Racing Club Montevideo	7	5	1	4	0	3	2	1
05 Cerro Montevideo	6	5	2	0	3	4	8	-4
06 Liverpool URU	5	5	1	2	2	3	4	-1
07 Boston River	5	6	1	2	3	5	9	-4
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	3	5	0	3	2	3	6	-3

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Wanderers FC	12	6	3	3	0	10	4	6
02 Deportivo Maldonado	11	6	3	2	1	12	6	6
03 Nacional Montevideo	10	6	3	1	2	6	7	-1
04 Montevideo City Torque	9	5	3	0	2	10	9	1
05 CA Juventud	7	6	2	1	3	8	11	-3
06 Club Atletico Progreso	6	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4
07 Albion FC	5	6	1	2	3	4	6	-2
08 Danubio FC	3	5	0	3	2	3	6	-3
09 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Head To Head

01/02/2026 19:00

CA Penarol

0 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

Uruguay SC

30/11/2025 15:30

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 0

CA Penarol

URU D1

23/11/2025 15:45

CA Penarol

2 - 2

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

09/08/2025 14:00

CA Penarol

3 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

06/07/2025 14:00

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 0

CA Penarol

URU D1

09/02/2025 18:30

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

CA Penarol

17%

Draw

83%

Nacional Montevideo

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

21/02/2026 19:30

Club Atletico Progreso 0 - 1 Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

14/02/2026 19:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Racing Club Montevideo

URU D1

08/02/2026 19:30

Boston River 1 - 2 Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

01/02/2026 19:00

CA Penarol 0 - 0 Nacional Montevideo

Uruguay SC

24/01/2026 20:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 0 D. Concepcion

INT CF

22/01/2026 19:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso

UCL

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Last 6 matches CA Penarol

22/02/2026 19:30

CA Penarol 2 - 1 Deportivo Maldonado

URU D1

15/02/2026 19:30

Central Espanol 2 - 1 CA Penarol

URU D1

07/02/2026 19:30

CA Penarol 3 - 1 Montevideo City Torque

URU D1

01/02/2026 19:00

CA Penarol 0 - 0 Nacional Montevideo

Uruguay SC

23/01/2026 19:30

CA Penarol 2 - 2 Boston River

UCL

21/01/2026 20:00

CA Penarol 1 - 1 Colo Colo

INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

CA Penarol

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.86

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

Avg. per game

0.90

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.43

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 21 matches

YesNo

12 (57%)9 (43%)

In last 21 matches

NoYes

13 (62%)8 (38%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

CA Penarol

Under /Over

(76%)16 5(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)16 5(24%)

Under /Over

(38%)8 13(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)5 16(76%)

Under /Over

(52%)11 10(48%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)7 14(67%)

/Yes

(57%)12 9(43%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(52%)11 10(48%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

CA Penarol

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

7.25 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

CA Penarol

Total shots

5.65 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Nacional Montevideo Pass CA Penarol

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

Played games

CA Penarol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.33

4.38

Corners

2.52

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

CA Penarol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.90

1.24

0.29

0.05

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

Club Atletico Progreso

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol on 01 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CA Penarol's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and CA Penarol sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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