Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – March 01

Nacional Montevideo

L L W L L

7th place in Apertura

0-1

01/03/2026 18:30

CA Penarol

W L D L D

4th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol on March 01, 2026 (kick-off: 18:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol preview before placing for you.

Nacional Montevideo are currently 7th with 22 points after 15 matches.
CA Penarol sit 4th with 27 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Nacional Montevideo to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors CA Penarol, who have won 1 of the last 6 meetings. Nacional Montevideo have no wins, while 5 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:30

2026-03-01

Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol - Prediction & Odds

Nacional Montevideo

CA Penarol

2026-03-01 18:30

STANDINGS UP TO 01/03/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Racing Club Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	23	14	9
02 Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	9	2	4	24	16	8
03 Albion FC	28	15	8	4	3	26	16	10
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	23	16	7
05 Central Espanol	24	15	7	3	5	23	22	1
06 Montevideo City Torque	23	15	6	5	4	22	16	6
07 Nacional Montevideo	22	15	7	1	7	26	21	5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	5	6	4	13	11	2
09 Liverpool URU	20	15	5	5	5	20	18	2
10 Wanderers FC	20	15	6	2	7	16	21	-5
11 Danubio FC	18	15	4	6	5	17	21	-4
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	5	2	8	16	19	-3
13 Boston River	17	15	5	2	8	14	20	-6
14 CA Juventud	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5
15 Club Atletico Progreso	10	15	2	4	9	12	23	-11
16 Cerro Montevideo	10	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Albion FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
02 Boston River	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
03 Danubio FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
04 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
05 Liverpool URU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
06 Deportivo Maldonado	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
07 Wanderers FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
08 Racing Club Montevideo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
09 CA Penarol	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10 Club Atletico Progreso	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11 Cerro Montevideo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12 Cerro Largo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13 Montevideo City Torque	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14 Nacional Montevideo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15 Central Espanol	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16 CA Juventud	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	12	3	9
02 Cerro Largo	11	7	3	2	2	7	5	2
03 Racing Club Montevideo	10	7	2	4	1	4	3	1
04 Liverpool URU	9	7	2	3	2	5	5	0
05 Central Espanol	9	7	2	3	2	4	4	0
06 Cerro Montevideo	9	7	3	0	4	6	10	-4
07 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	6	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3
08 Boston River	5	7	1	2	4	5	10	-5

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Wanderers FC	15	7	4	3	0	12	4	8
02 Nacional Montevideo	13	7	4	1	2	8	8	0
03 Deportivo Maldonado	12	7	3	3	1	12	6	6
04 Montevideo City Torque	12	7	4	0	3	11	11	0
05 CA Juventud	8	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
06 Albion FC	6	7	1	3	3	6	8	-2
07 Club Atletico Progreso	6	7	2	0	5	6	11	-5
08 Danubio FC	4	7	0	4	3	5	9	-4

Head To Head

01/02/2026 19:00

CA Penarol

0 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

Uruguay SC

30/11/2025 15:30

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 0

CA Penarol

URU D1

23/11/2025 15:45

CA Penarol

2 - 2

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

09/08/2025 14:00

CA Penarol

3 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

06/07/2025 14:00

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 0

CA Penarol

URU D1

09/02/2025 18:30

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

Nacional Montevideo

Draw

83%

CA Penarol

17%

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

21/02/2026 19:30

Club Atletico Progreso 0 - 1 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

14/02/2026 19:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Racing Club Montevideo URU D1

08/02/2026 19:30

Boston River 1 - 2 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

01/02/2026 19:00

CA Penarol 0 - 0 Nacional Montevideo Uruguay SC

24/01/2026 20:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 0 D. Concepcion INT CF

22/01/2026 19:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso UCL

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Last 6 matches CA Penarol

22/02/2026 19:30

CA Penarol 2 - 1 Deportivo Maldonado URU D1

15/02/2026 19:30

Central Espanol 2 - 1 CA Penarol URU D1

07/02/2026 19:30

CA Penarol 3 - 1 Montevideo City Torque URU D1

01/02/2026 19:00

CA Penarol 0 - 0 Nacional Montevideo Uruguay SC

23/01/2026 19:30

CA Penarol 2 - 2 Boston River UCL

21/01/2026 20:00

CA Penarol 1 - 1 Colo Colo INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

274

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

161

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored

264

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

124

Avg. per game

0.41

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

183 (61%)117 (39%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

180 (60%)120 (40%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

CA Penarol

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

CA Penarol

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

CA Penarol

Total shots

8.84 avg / game

Blocked

81 total

Avg. 2.89

Nacional Montevideo Pass CA Penarol

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

14455

Avg. 329 / game

Accurate

66%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

300

Played games

CA Penarol

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

119

Clean sheets

135

0.45

4.53

1358

Corners

1368

4.56

1.04

312

Throw-ins

472

1.57

0.26

Offsides

0.29

1.49

447

GK saves

423

1.41

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

CA Penarol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.35

704

609

2.03

0.14

0.10

2.12

636

Fouls

620

2.07

2.42

727

Tackles

725

2.42

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Montevideo City Torque

CA Penarol

URU

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol on 01 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CA Penarol's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and CA Penarol sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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