Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 January

Nacional Montevideo

W L L D W

No standing data

2-1

26/01/2025 19:30

CA Penarol

L L D W W

No standing data

Uruguay Super Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol on 26 January 2025 (kick-off: 19:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol preview before placing your bet.

Nacional Montevideo will face CA Penarol in Uruguay Super Cup on January 26, 2025 at 19:30.
Current model prediction leans yellow with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.90.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:30

2025-01-26

Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol - Prediction & Odds

Nacional Montevideo

CA Penarol

2025-01-26 19:30

STANDINGS UP TO 26/01/2025

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Nacional Montevideo and CA Penarol in the Uruguay Super Cup football standings for the 2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

20/01/2025 20:00

Nacional Montevideo

3 - 1

CA Penarol

INT CF

06/10/2024 15:00

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

04/08/2024 14:00

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

29/03/2024 15:00

CA Penarol

0 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

23/01/2024 20:30

CA Penarol

0 - 2

Nacional Montevideo

INT CF

17/01/2024 20:45

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 1

CA Penarol

INT CF

Nacional Montevideo

33%

Draw

50%

CA Penarol

17%

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

20/01/2025 20:00

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 CA Penarol

INT CF

17/01/2025 21:00

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 2 Olimpia Asuncion

INT CF

13/01/2025 21:00

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 1 San Lorenzo

INT CF

06/12/2024 19:30

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 2 Defensor Sporting Montevideo

U Cup

01/12/2024 17:00

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 Boston River

URU D1

27/11/2024 20:15

Danubio FC 0 - 0 Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches CA Penarol

20/01/2025 20:00

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 CA Penarol

INT CF

16/01/2025 21:00

CA Penarol 0 - 1 San Lorenzo

INT CF

12/01/2025 21:00

CA Penarol 1 - 1 Colo Colo

INT CF

01/12/2024 17:00

CA Penarol 3 - 1 Centro Atletico Fenix

URU D1

26/11/2024 20:00

Club Atletico Progreso 1 - 5 CA Penarol

URU D1

17/11/2024 17:30

CA Penarol 2 - 0 Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Super Cup

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

CA Penarol

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.79

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.02

Scored

Avg. per game

1.60

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.90

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 52 matches

YesNo

38 (73%)14 (27%)

In last 52 matches

NoYes

47 (81%)11 (19%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

CA Penarol

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

CA Penarol

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

9.44 avg / game

Blocked

9 total

Avg. 3.00

CA Penarol

Total shots

9.64 avg / game

Blocked

11 total

Avg. 2.20

Nacional Montevideo Pass CA Penarol

Total passes

1662

Avg. 277 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

2752

Avg. 344 / game

Accurate

67%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

Played games

CA Penarol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.43

4.92

256

Corners

274

4.72

1.94

101

Throw-ins

182

3.14

0.46

Offsides

0.33

1.46

GK saves

1.16

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

CA Penarol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.17

113

112

1.93

0.06

0.12

1.29

Fouls

116

2.00

1.38

Tackles

135

2.33

NEXT MATCHES

Club Atletico Progreso

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol on 26 January 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Super Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CA Penarol's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Super Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Super Cup standings and the Uruguay Super Cup form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and CA Penarol sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Super Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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