Nacional da Madeira vs Penafiel: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 July

Nacional da Madeira

W W L W D

3rd place in Group A

0-0

Pen. 5-3

22/07/2023 10:30

Penafiel

L D L L W

No standing data

Portugal League Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional da Madeira vs Penafiel on 22 July 2023 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional da Madeira vs Penafiel preview before placing your bet.

Nacional da Madeira are currently 3rd with 0 points after 2 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 29%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Nacional da Madeira and Penafiel have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:30

2023-07-22

Nacional da Madeira vs Penafiel - Prediction & Odds

Nacional da Madeira

Penafiel

2023-07-22 10:30

STANDINGS UP TO 22/07/2023

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sporting Braga	4	2	1	1	0	4	2	2
02 Casa Pia AC	4	2	1	1	0	3	2	1
03 Nacional da Madeira	0	2	0	0	2	2	5	-3

Head To Head

16/04/2023 10:30

Penafiel

3 - 0

Nacional da Madeira

POR D2

29/10/2022 07:45

Nacional da Madeira

1 - 1

Penafiel

POR D2

13/02/2022 07:00

Nacional da Madeira

3 - 0

Penafiel

POR D2

12/09/2021 06:00

Penafiel

1 - 0

Nacional da Madeira

POR D2

29/02/2020 11:00

Penafiel

1 - 1

Nacional da Madeira

POR D2

21/09/2019 11:00

Nacional da Madeira

2 - 1

Penafiel

POR D2

Nacional da Madeira

33%

Draw

33%

Penafiel

33%

Nacional da Madeira Last 6 matches

28/05/2023 10:30

Nacional da Madeira 3 - 2 Viseu POR D2

21/05/2023 06:00

Estrela da Amadora 0 - 1 Nacional da Madeira POR D2

14/05/2023 06:00

Nacional da Madeira 0 - 1 SC Farense POR D2

07/05/2023 06:00

SL Benfica B 1 - 2 Nacional da Madeira POR D2

30/04/2023 07:45

Porto B 1 - 1 Nacional da Madeira POR D2

25/04/2023 14:30

Sporting Braga 2 - 2 Nacional da Madeira POR CN

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Penafiel

18/07/2023 13:00

Penafiel 1 - 2 GD Chaves INT CF

15/07/2023 05:00

Pacos de Ferreira 1 - 1 Penafiel INT CF

27/05/2023 06:00

Penafiel 2 - 4 Estrela da Amadora POR D2

21/05/2023 10:30

SCU Torreense 5 - 1 Penafiel POR D2

14/05/2023 09:00

Penafiel 1 - 0 CD Tondela POR D2

07/05/2023 09:00

Viseu 0 - 0 Penafiel POR D2

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal League Cup

Played games

Goals

Scored

329

Avg. per game

1.27

Conceded

364

Avg. per game

1.40

Scored

265

Avg. per game

1.10

Conceded

311

Avg. per game

1.29

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 260 matches

YesNo

182 (70%)78 (30%)

In last 260 matches

NoYes

169 (70%)73 (30%)

Nacional da Madeira

Recent matches

Penafiel

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional da Madeira

Penafiel

Shots

Nacional da Madeira

Total shots

11.67 avg / game

Blocked

323 total

Avg. 3.08

Penafiel

Total shots

10.18 avg / game

Blocked

46 total

Avg. 2.00

Nacional da Madeira Pass Penafiel

Total passes

33435

Avg. 341 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional da Madeira

260

Played games

Penafiel

242

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.31

4.44

1154

Corners

1129

4.67

7.72

2008

Throw-ins

682

2.82

0.87

226

Offsides

137

0.57

2.28

592

GK saves

403

1.67

Nacional da Madeira

DISCIPLINARY

Penafiel

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.40

623

597

2.47

0.14

0.11

10.68

2776

Fouls

2487

10.28

5.16

1341

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Nacional da Madeira vs Penafiel Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional da Madeira vs Penafiel on 22 July 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal League Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional da Madeira vs Penafiel Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional da Madeira's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Penafiel's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal League Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal League Cup standings and the Portugal League Cup form table to understand exactly where Nacional da Madeira and Penafiel sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal League Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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