Nacional da Madeira vs Penafiel: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 24 February

Nacional da Madeira

D W W W W

2nd place in Portugal Segunda Liga

3-2

24/02/2024 11:30

Penafiel

W D W L L

13th place in Portugal Segunda Liga

Portugal Segunda Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional da Madeira vs Penafiel on 24 February 2024 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional da Madeira vs Penafiel preview before placing your bet.

Nacional da Madeira are currently 2nd with 71 points after 34 matches.
Penafiel sit 13th with 39 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Nacional da Madeira to win with probability 50%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Nacional da Madeira and Penafiel have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:30

2024-02-24

Nacional da Madeira vs Penafiel - Prediction & Odds

Nacional da Madeira

Penafiel

2024-02-24 11:30

STANDINGS UP TO 24/02/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Santa Clara	73	34	21	10	3	48	19	29
02 Nacional da Madeira	71	34	21	8	5	66	35	31
03 AVS Futebol SAD	64	34	20	4	10	50	34	16
04 Maritimo	64	34	18	10	6	52	29	23
05 Pacos de Ferreira	52	34	14	10	10	42	35	7
06 CD Tondela	49	34	12	13	9	46	43	3
07 SCU Torreense	48	34	13	9	12	40	37	3
08 SL Benfica B	45	34	12	9	13	48	48	0
09 CD Mafra	44	34	11	11	12	40	42	-2
10 Porto B	44	34	12	8	14	51	51	0
11 Viseu	43	34	9	16	9	36	38	-2
12 Uniao Leiria	42	34	11	9	14	44	40	4
13 Penafiel	39	34	11	6	17	31	39	-8
14 Leixoes	37	34	7	16	11	29	38	-9
15 Oliveirense	34	34	8	10	16	37	54	-17
16 Feirense	31	34	8	7	19	31	49	-18
17 Vilaverdense	28	34	8	4	22	30	59	-29
18 CF Os Belenenses	26	34	6	8	20	28	59	-31

Head To Head

02/10/2023 13:00

Penafiel

1 - 4

Nacional da Madeira

POR D2

22/07/2023 10:30

Nacional da Madeira

0 - 0

Penafiel

PORLC

16/04/2023 10:30

Penafiel

3 - 0

Nacional da Madeira

POR D2

29/10/2022 07:45

Nacional da Madeira

1 - 1

Penafiel

POR D2

13/02/2022 07:00

Nacional da Madeira

3 - 0

Penafiel

POR D2

12/09/2021 06:00

Penafiel

1 - 0

Nacional da Madeira

POR D2

Nacional da Madeira

33%

Draw

33%

Penafiel

33%

Nacional da Madeira Last 6 matches

10/02/2024 10:00

Nacional da Madeira 3 - 2 Vilaverdense POR D2

28/01/2024 11:30

Nacional da Madeira 2 - 1 SCU Torreense POR D2

21/01/2024 14:00

Maritimo 3 - 1 Nacional da Madeira POR D2

15/01/2024 14:45

CD Mafra 0 - 0 Nacional da Madeira POR D2

11/01/2024 14:00

Santa Clara 0 - 0 Nacional da Madeira POR CN

06/01/2024 14:30

Nacional da Madeira 1 - 1 CD Tondela POR D2

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Penafiel

10/02/2024 07:00

Viseu 1 - 0 Penafiel POR D2

03/02/2024 11:30

Penafiel 1 - 1 Oliveirense POR D2

29/01/2024 14:00

Penafiel 2 - 1 Feirense POR D2

21/01/2024 10:00

Leixoes 0 - 1 Penafiel POR D2

15/01/2024 16:45

SCU Torreense 1 - 0 Penafiel POR D2

11/01/2024 16:15

Vitoria Guimaraes 1 - 0 Penafiel POR CN

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Segunda Liga

Played games

Goals

Scored

329

Avg. per game

1.27

Conceded

364

Avg. per game

1.40

Scored

265

Avg. per game

1.10

Conceded

311

Avg. per game

1.29

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 260 matches

YesNo

182 (70%)78 (30%)

In last 260 matches

NoYes

169 (70%)73 (30%)

Nacional da Madeira

Recent matches

Penafiel

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional da Madeira

Penafiel

Shots

Nacional da Madeira

Total shots

11.67 avg / game

Blocked

323 total

Avg. 3.08

Penafiel

Total shots

10.18 avg / game

Blocked

46 total

Avg. 2.00

Nacional da Madeira Pass Penafiel

Total passes

33435

Avg. 341 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional da Madeira

260

Played games

Penafiel

242

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.31

4.44

1154

Corners

1129

4.67

7.72

2008

Throw-ins

682

2.82

0.87

226

Offsides

137

0.57

2.28

592

GK saves

403

1.67

Nacional da Madeira

DISCIPLINARY

Penafiel

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.40

623

597

2.47

0.14

0.11

10.68

2776

Fouls

2487

10.28

5.16

1341

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Nacional da Madeira vs Penafiel Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional da Madeira vs Penafiel on 24 February 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Segunda Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional da Madeira vs Penafiel Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional da Madeira's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Penafiel's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Segunda Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Segunda Liga standings and the Portugal Segunda Liga form table to understand exactly where Nacional da Madeira and Penafiel sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Segunda Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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