Nacional da Madeira vs FC Porto Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – February 15

Nacional da Madeira

L W W L L

14th place in Portugal Primera Liga

0-1

15/02/2026 15:30

FC Porto

W W W W L

1st place in Portugal Primera Liga

Portugal Primera Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional da Madeira vs FC Porto on February 15, 2026 (kick-off: 15:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional da Madeira vs FC Porto preview before placing for you.

Nacional da Madeira are currently 14th with 34 points after 34 matches.
FC Porto sit 1st with 88 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: FC Porto to win with probability 68%.
Head-to-head history favors FC Porto, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Nacional da Madeira have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:30

2026-02-15

Nacional da Madeira vs FC Porto - Prediction & Odds

Nacional da Madeira

FC Porto

2026-02-15 15:30

STANDINGS UP TO 15/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Porto	88	34	28	4	2	66	18	48
02 Sporting CP	82	34	25	7	2	89	24	65
03 Benfica	80	34	23	11	0	74	25	49
04 Sporting Braga	59	34	16	11	7	64	36	28
05 FC Famalicao	56	34	15	11	8	42	29	13
06 Gil Vicente	50	34	13	11	10	47	38	9
07 Moreirense	43	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12
08 FC Arouca	42	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17
09 Vitoria Guimaraes	42	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12
10 Estoril	39	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3
11 Alverca	39	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17
12 Rio Ave	36	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22
13 Santa Clara	36	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9
14 Nacional da Madeira	34	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8
15 Estrela da Amadora	30	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18
16 Casa Pia AC	30	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26
17 CD Tondela	28	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28
18 AVS Futebol SAD	21	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40

Head To Head

13/09/2025 17:00

FC Porto

1 - 0

Nacional da Madeira

POR D1

17/05/2025 17:00

FC Porto

3 - 0

Nacional da Madeira

POR D1

12/01/2025 15:30

Nacional da Madeira

2 - 0

FC Porto

POR D1

13/07/2024 09:30

FC Porto

4 - 1

Nacional da Madeira

INT CF

18/04/2021 16:30

Nacional da Madeira

0 - 1

FC Porto

POR D1

12/01/2021 18:00

Nacional da Madeira

2 - 2

FC Porto

POR CUP

Nacional da Madeira

17%

Draw

17%

FC Porto

67%

Nacional da Madeira Last 6 matches

01/02/2026 18:00

Sporting CP 2 - 1 Nacional da Madeira POR D1

25/01/2026 15:30

Nacional da Madeira 4 - 0 Rio Ave POR D1

17/01/2026 15:30

Gil Vicente 2 - 1 Nacional da Madeira POR D1

11/01/2026 15:30

Nacional da Madeira 3 - 3 Santa Clara POR D1

02/01/2026 20:45

Vitoria Guimaraes 2 - 1 Nacional da Madeira POR D1

21/12/2025 15:30

AVS Futebol SAD 2 - 2 Nacional da Madeira POR D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches FC Porto

02/02/2026 20:45

Casa Pia AC 2 - 1 FC Porto POR D1

29/01/2026 20:00

FC Porto 3 - 1 Glasgow Rangers UEFA EL

26/01/2026 20:15

FC Porto 3 - 0 Gil Vicente POR D1

22/01/2026 17:45

FC Viktoria Plzen 1 - 1 FC Porto UEFA EL

18/01/2026 20:30

Vitoria Guimaraes 0 - 1 FC Porto POR D1

14/01/2026 20:45

FC Porto 1 - 0 Benfica POR CUP

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Primera Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Nacional da Madeira

FC Porto

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored

Avg. per game

1.09

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.42

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 34 matches

YesNo

15 (44%)19 (56%)

In last 34 matches

NoYes

25 (76%)8 (24%)

Nacional da Madeira

Recent matches

FC Porto

Under /Over

(74%)25 9(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)24 9(27%)

Under /Over

(26%)9 25(74%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)9 24(73%)

Under /Over

(38%)13 21(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(48%)16 17(52%)

/Yes

(47%)16 18(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(39%)13 20(61%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional da Madeira

FC Porto

Shots

Nacional da Madeira

Total shots

12.88 avg / game

Blocked

107 total

Avg. 3.34

FC Porto

Total shots

14.61 avg / game

Blocked

119 total

Avg. 4.10

Nacional da Madeira Pass FC Porto

Total passes

11086

Avg. 336 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

14896

Avg. 451 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional da Madeira

Played games

FC Porto

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.61

4.32

147

Corners

185

5.61

18.68

635

Throw-ins

644

19.52

1.32

Offsides

2.12

3.00

102

GK saves

1.94

Nacional da Madeira

DISCIPLINARY

FC Porto

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.82

2.30

0.21

0.09

14.41

490

Fouls

462

14.00

10.24

348

Tackles

311

9.42

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Nacional da Madeira vs FC Porto Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional da Madeira vs FC Porto on 15 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Primera Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional da Madeira vs FC Porto Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional da Madeira's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FC Porto's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Primera Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Primera Liga standings and the Portugal Primera Liga form table to understand exactly where Nacional da Madeira and FC Porto sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Primera Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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