Mushuc Runa vs Libertad FC Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – August 09

Mushuc Runa

W L W L D

15th place in League

1-2

09/08/2025 19:00

Libertad FC

D W D L D

6th place in League

Primera Division de Ecuador

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mushuc Runa vs Libertad FC on August 09, 2025 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mushuc Runa vs Libertad FC preview before placing for you.

Mushuc Runa are currently 15th with 27 points after 30 matches.
Libertad FC sit 6th with 46 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Mushuc Runa to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Mushuc Runa, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Libertad FC have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2025-08-09

Mushuc Runa vs Libertad FC - Prediction & Odds

Mushuc Runa

Libertad FC

2025-08-09 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 09/08/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	64	30	18	10	2	55	23	32
02 Barcelona SC(ECU)	54	30	16	6	8	46	33	13
03 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	51	30	14	9	7	48	31	17
04 Universidad Catolica	49	30	13	10	7	58	39	19
05 Orense SC	47	30	13	8	9	34	32	2
06 Libertad FC	46	30	12	10	8	42	36	6
07 Deportivo Cuenca	46	30	13	7	10	35	29	6
08 Club Sport Emelec	42	30	11	9	10	30	34	-4
09 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	41	30	11	8	11	38	41	-3
10 Macara	38	30	9	11	10	32	30	2
11 CD El Nacional	34	30	9	7	14	32	46	-14
12 Delfin SC	31	30	6	13	11	26	42	-16
13 Tecnico Universitario	28	30	7	7	16	26	46	-20
14 Vinotinto de Ecuador	27	30	7	6	17	34	43	-9
15 Mushuc Runa	27	30	7	6	17	38	50	-12
16 Manta FC	26	30	5	11	14	34	53	-19

Championship Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	82	10	5	3	2	12	7	5
02 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	69	10	5	3	2	20	10	10
03 Barcelona SC(ECU)	67	10	3	4	3	10	14	-4
04 Universidad Catolica	58	10	1	6	3	9	11	-2
05 Orense SC	58	10	3	2	5	10	16	-6
06 Libertad FC	56	10	2	4	4	12	15	-3

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manta FC	39	6	4	1	1	12	6	6
02 Mushuc Runa	36	6	2	3	1	4	5	-1
03 Tecnico Universitario	33	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3
04 Vinotinto de Ecuador	32	6	1	2	3	6	8	-2

Qualifying Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Macara	62	10	8	0	2	21	5	16
02 Deportivo Cuenca	59	10	4	1	5	16	12	4
03 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	58	10	5	2	3	21	13	8
04 Club Sport Emelec	55	10	4	1	5	12	15	-3
05 CD El Nacional	45	9	3	2	4	12	21	-9
06 Delfin SC	36	9	1	2	6	4	20	-16

Head To Head

19/04/2025 19:00

Libertad FC

2 - 1

Mushuc Runa

ECU D1

26/09/2024 20:00

Mushuc Runa

2 - 1

Libertad FC

ECU CUP

03/08/2024 19:00

Libertad FC

2 - 2

Mushuc Runa

ECU D1

02/03/2024 18:00

Mushuc Runa

2 - 1

Libertad FC

ECU D1

02/09/2023 18:00

Libertad FC

0 - 1

Mushuc Runa

ECU D1

09/04/2023 18:00

Mushuc Runa

2 - 1

Libertad FC

ECU D1

Mushuc Runa

67%

Draw

17%

Libertad FC

17%

Mushuc Runa Last 6 matches

03/08/2025 16:00

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito 2 - 1 Mushuc Runa ECU D1

27/07/2025 18:00

Mushuc Runa 0 - 1 Tecnico Universitario ECU D1

20/07/2025 20:30

Club Sport Emelec 1 - 0 Mushuc Runa ECU D1

13/07/2025 18:00

Vinotinto de Ecuador 1 - 1 Mushuc Runa ECU D1

05/07/2025 19:00

Mushuc Runa 1 - 1 Universidad Catolica ECU D1

28/06/2025 00:00

Deportivo Cuenca 1 - 0 Mushuc Runa ECU D1

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Libertad FC

26/07/2025 00:00

CD El Nacional 2 - 2 Libertad FC ECU D1

22/07/2025 00:00

Libertad FC 1 - 0 Manta FC ECU D1

16/07/2025 20:00

La Cantera FC 0 - 0 Libertad FC ECU CUP

13/07/2025 20:30

Orense SC 0 - 1 Libertad FC ECU D1

05/07/2025 00:00

Libertad FC 2 - 1 Deportivo Cuenca ECU D1

28/06/2025 21:30

Barcelona SC(ECU) 3 - 3 Libertad FC ECU D1

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Ec...

Played games

Mushuc Runa

Libertad FC

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.50

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.56

Scored

Avg. per game

1.60

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.25

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 18 home matches

YesNo

16 (89%)2 (11%)

In last 18 home matches

NoYes

17 (85%)3 (15%)

Mushuc Runa

Recent matches

Libertad FC

Under /Over

(78%)14 4(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(75%)15 5(25%)

Under /Over

(56%)10 8(44%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(25%)5 15(75%)

Under /Over

(33%)6 12(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)10 10(50%)

/Yes

(61%)11 7(39%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(65%)13 7(35%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Mushuc Runa

Libertad FC

Shots

Mushuc Runa

Total shots

15.22 avg / game

Blocked

23 total

Avg. 3.83

Libertad FC

Total shots

13.40 avg / game

Blocked

24 total

Avg. 3.43

Mushuc Runa Pass Libertad FC

Total passes

4898

Avg. 288 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

6190

Avg. 326 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Mushuc Runa

Played games

Libertad FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.20

6.11

110

Corners

102

5.10

9.11

164

Throw-ins

163

8.15

1.22

Offsides

1.35

2.50

GK saves

3.05

Mushuc Runa

DISCIPLINARY

Libertad FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.22

2.05

0.22

0.20

11.28

203

Fouls

230

11.50

10.61

191

Tackles

194

9.70

NEXT MATCHES

08/10

Tecnico Universitario

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

NEXT MATCHES

Sociedad Deportiva Aucas

How We Build the Mushuc Runa vs Libertad FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mushuc Runa vs Libertad FC on 09 August 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Ecuador fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mushuc Runa vs Libertad FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mushuc Runa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Libertad FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Ecuador Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Ecuador standings and the Primera Division de Ecuador form table to understand exactly where Mushuc Runa and Libertad FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Ecuador predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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