MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 12 May

MSV Duisburg

D L W L D

18th place in German 3.Liga

2-2

12/05/2024 11:30

Erzgebirge Aue

L W D W D

6th place in German 3.Liga

German 3.Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue on 12 May 2024 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue preview before placing your bet.

MSV Duisburg are currently 18th with 34 points after 38 matches.
Erzgebirge Aue sit 6th with 60 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: MSV Duisburg to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors MSV Duisburg, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Erzgebirge Aue have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:30

2024-05-12

MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue - Prediction & Odds

MSV Duisburg

Erzgebirge Aue

2024-05-12 11:30

STANDINGS UP TO 12/05/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 SSV Ulm 1846	77	38	23	8	7	65	38	27
02 Preuben Munster	67	38	19	10	9	68	49	19
03 Jahn Regensburg	63	38	17	12	9	51	42	9
04 Dynamo Dresden	62	38	19	5	14	58	40	18
05 Saarbrucken	60	38	15	15	8	60	43	17
06 Erzgebirge Aue	60	38	16	12	10	51	47	4
07 Rot-Weiss Essen	59	38	17	8	13	60	53	7
08 SV Sandhausen	56	38	15	11	12	58	57	1
09 Unterhaching	55	38	16	7	15	50	49	1
10 Ingolstadt	54	38	14	12	12	65	51	14
11 Borussia Dortmund (Youth)	54	38	14	12	12	58	53	5
12 SC Verl	53	38	14	11	13	59	56	3
13 Viktoria koln	49	38	13	10	15	59	65	-6
14 Arminia Bielefeld	46	38	11	13	14	48	47	1
15 TSV 1860 Munchen	46	38	13	7	18	40	42	-2
16 SV Waldhof Mannheim	43	38	11	10	17	51	60	-9
17 Hallescher FC	40	38	11	7	20	50	68	-18
18 MSV Duisburg	34	38	8	10	20	41	65	-24
19 VFB Lubeck	32	38	6	14	18	37	77	-40
20 SC Freiburg (Youth)	30	38	8	6	24	37	64	-27

Head To Head

09/12/2023 15:30

Erzgebirge Aue

1 - 1

MSV Duisburg

GER D3

05/05/2023 17:00

MSV Duisburg

3 - 0

Erzgebirge Aue

GER D3

08/11/2022 18:00

Erzgebirge Aue

0 - 2

MSV Duisburg

GER D3

24/02/2019 12:30

Erzgebirge Aue

0 - 0

MSV Duisburg

GER D2

23/09/2018 11:30

MSV Duisburg

1 - 2

Erzgebirge Aue

GER D2

22/04/2018 11:30

Erzgebirge Aue

1 - 3

MSV Duisburg

GER D2

MSV Duisburg

50%

Draw

33%

Erzgebirge Aue

17%

MSV Duisburg Last 6 matches

03/05/2024 17:00

VFB Lubeck 5 - 3 MSV Duisburg GER D3

27/04/2024 12:00

MSV Duisburg 3 - 1 SV Sandhausen GER D3

20/04/2024 14:30

Ingolstadt 2 - 0 MSV Duisburg GER D3

12/04/2024 17:00

MSV Duisburg 1 - 1 SV Waldhof Mannheim GER D3

07/04/2024 14:30

Rot-Weiss Essen 4 - 1 MSV Duisburg GER D3

31/03/2024 17:30

Arminia Bielefeld 2 - 0 MSV Duisburg GER D3

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Erzgebirge Aue

04/05/2024 12:00

Erzgebirge Aue 1 - 0 Arminia Bielefeld GER D3

27/04/2024 12:00

Borussia Dortmund (Youth) 2 - 2 Erzgebirge Aue GER D3

20/04/2024 12:00

Erzgebirge Aue 2 - 1 Unterhaching GER D3

13/04/2024 12:00

SC Verl 3 - 1 Erzgebirge Aue GER D3

06/04/2024 12:00

Erzgebirge Aue 2 - 1 SC Freiburg (Youth) GER D3

30/03/2024 13:00

SSV Ulm 1846 2 - 2 Erzgebirge Aue GER D3

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German 3.Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

MSV Duisburg

Erzgebirge Aue

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored

Avg. per game

0.87

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

16 (42%)22 (58%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

24 (63%)14 (37%)

MSV Duisburg

Recent matches

Erzgebirge Aue

Under /Over

(74%)28 10(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(79%)30 8(21%)

Under /Over

(39%)15 23(61%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(26%)10 28(74%)

Under /Over

(42%)16 22(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)19 19(50%)

/Yes

(55%)21 17(45%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(61%)23 15(39%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

MSV Duisburg

Erzgebirge Aue

Shots

MSV Duisburg

Total shots

9.03 avg / game

Blocked

4 total

Avg. 4.00

Erzgebirge Aue

Total shots

9.58 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 3.40

MSV Duisburg Pass Erzgebirge Aue

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

MSV Duisburg

Played games

Erzgebirge Aue

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.18

Clean sheets

0.26

5.21

198

Corners

223

5.87

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.13

0.00

GK saves

0.18

MSV Duisburg

DISCIPLINARY

Erzgebirge Aue

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.63

100

2.00

0.08

0.05

0.00

Fouls

0.97

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Hertha BSC Berlin Youth

GER

How We Build the MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue on 12 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German 3.Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess MSV Duisburg's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Erzgebirge Aue's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German 3.Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German 3.Liga standings and the German 3.Liga form table to understand exactly where MSV Duisburg and Erzgebirge Aue sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German 3.Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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