Mortagua vs Sertanense FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 February

Mortagua
LLWLW
No standing data
X
2-1
FT
18/02/2024 15:00
Sertanense FC
LLDLW
No standing data
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mortagua vs Sertanense FC on 18 February 2024 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mortagua vs Sertanense FC preview before placing your bet.

  • Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 30%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Sertanense FC, who have won 1 of the last 5 meetings. Mortagua have no wins, while 4 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
15:00

2024-02-18

Mortagua vs Sertanense FC - Prediction & Odds

Mortagua
Mortagua
Sertanense FC
Sertanense FC
2024-02-18 15:00
35
30
35
X
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.00
3.00
FT
2-1 1-0
-
weather
STANDINGS UP TO 18/02/2024
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Mortagua and Sertanense FC in the Portugal Campeonato Nacional football standings for the 2023-2024 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
28/10/2023 14:00
Sertanense FC Sertanense FC
4 - 3
Mortagua Mortagua
POR D3
29/01/2023 15:00
Sertanense FC Sertanense FC
1 - 1
Mortagua Mortagua
POR D3
09/10/2022 14:00
Mortagua Mortagua
1 - 1
Sertanense FC Sertanense FC
POR D3
10/03/2021 15:00
Mortagua Mortagua
0 - 0
Sertanense FC Sertanense FC
POR D3
20/09/2020 14:00
Sertanense FC Sertanense FC
1 - 1
Mortagua Mortagua
POR D3
Mortagua
0
0%
Draw
4
80%
Sertanense FC
1
20%
Mortagua Mortagua Last 6 matches
11/02/2024 15:00
Mortagua 0 - 4 UD Santarem POR D3
04/02/2024 15:00
Marinhense 2 - 0 Mortagua POR D3
28/01/2024 15:00
Mortagua 2 - 0 Peniche POR D3
21/01/2024 15:00
Benfica C.Branco 2 - 0 Mortagua POR D3
14/01/2024 15:00
Mortagua 3 - 2 CD Gouveia POR D3
07/01/2024 15:00
GD Vitoria Sernache 1 - 1 Mortagua POR D3
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Sertanense FC Sertanense FC
10/02/2024 15:00
Sertanense FC 0 - 1 Uniao de Coimbra POR D3
04/02/2024 15:00
UD Santarem 2 - 0 Sertanense FC POR D3
28/01/2024 11:00
Sertanense FC 0 - 0 Lusitania Angra Heroismo POR D3
21/01/2024 15:00
Marinhense 1 - 0 Sertanense FC POR D3
14/01/2024 15:59
Rabo Peixe 0 - 2 Sertanense FC POR D3
07/01/2024 15:00
Peniche 2 - 1 Sertanense FC POR D3
Win
17%
Draw
17%
Lost
67%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Portugal Campeonato Na...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Mortagua
Mortagua
34
 Sertanense FC
Sertanense FC
33
Goals
Scored
17
Avg. per game
0.50
Conceded
14
Avg. per game
0.41
Scored
15
Avg. per game
0.45
Conceded
18
Avg. per game
0.55
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
1 (17%)5 (83%)
In last 34 matches
YesNo
14 (41%)20 (59%)
In last 34 matches
NoYes
12 (36%)21 (64%)
Mortagua

Mortagua

Recent matches

Sertanense FC

Sertanense FC

Under /Over

(65%)22 12(35%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)21 12(36%)

Under /Over

(21%)7 27(79%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)8 25(76%)

Under /Over

(38%)13 21(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(24%)8 25(76%)

/Yes

(47%)16 18(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(45%)15 18(55%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Mortagua Mortagua
Sertanense FC Sertanense FC
Shots
Mortagua
Mortagua
Total shots
7.76 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Sertanense FC
Sertanense FC
Total shots
8.27 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Mortagua Mortagua Pass Sertanense FC Sertanense FC
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
50%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
52%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Mortagua
Mortagua
3380
Avg. 99.41 / game
 Sertanense FC
Sertanense FC
3468
Avg. 105.09 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Mortagua
Mortagua
1915
Avg. 56.32 / game
 Sertanense FC
Sertanense FC
1971
Avg. 59.73 / game
OTHERS
Mortagua
Mortagua
34
Played games
Sertanense FC
Sertanense FC
33
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.32
11
Clean sheets
10
0.30
5.00
170
Corners
163
4.94
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.00
0
Offsides
0
0.00
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Mortagua
Mortagua
DISCIPLINARY
Sertanense FC
Sertanense FC
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.50
85
Yellow card
61
1.85
0.09
3
Red card
4
0.12
0.00
0
Fouls
0
0.00
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Mortagua vs Sertanense FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mortagua vs Sertanense FC on 18 February 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Campeonato Nacional fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mortagua vs Sertanense FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mortagua's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Sertanense FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Campeonato Nacional Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Campeonato Nacional standings and the Portugal Campeonato Nacional form table to understand exactly where Mortagua and Sertanense FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Campeonato Nacional predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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