Moreton City Excelsior II vs Logan Lightning: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Moreton City Excelsior II

L D L L L

11th place in QLD Division 1

1-5

11/05/2024 05:00

Logan Lightning

D L W W W

4th place in QLD Division 1

QLD Division 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Moreton City Excelsior II vs Logan Lightning on 11 May 2024 (kick-off: 05:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Moreton City Excelsior II vs Logan Lightning preview before placing your bet.

Moreton City Excelsior II are currently 11th with 12 points after 22 matches.
Logan Lightning sit 4th with 39 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Logan Lightning to win with probability 46%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

05:00

2024-05-11

Moreton City Excelsior II vs Logan Lightning - Prediction & Odds

Moreton City Excelsior II

Logan Lightning

2024-05-11 05:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 St George Willawong FC	53	22	17	2	3	52	24	28
02 Brisbane Strikers	43	22	13	4	5	61	32	29
03 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane	42	22	13	3	6	63	35	28
04 Logan Lightning	39	22	12	3	7	52	32	20
05 Broadbeach United	39	22	12	3	7	50	37	13
06 Caboolture FC	39	22	12	3	7	47	40	7
07 Southside Eagles	32	22	10	2	10	35	36	-1
08 SWQ Thunder	26	22	8	2	12	39	42	-3
09 Ipswich City	24	22	6	6	10	25	42	-17
10 Capalaba Bulldogs	18	22	5	3	14	39	50	-11
11 Moreton City II	12	22	3	3	16	27	77	-50
12 Mitchelton FC	11	22	3	2	17	27	70	-43

Moreton City Excelsior II Last 6 matches

05/05/2024 02:00

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 3 - 4 Moreton City II AUS QPS

27/04/2024 02:45

Mitchelton FC 3 - 4 Moreton City II QLD D1

23/04/2024 05:30

Moreton City II 2 - 2 Caboolture FC AUS QPS

20/04/2024 05:00

Moreton City II 3 - 1 Southside Eagles QLD D1

17/04/2024 06:15

Brisbane Strikers 4 - 1 Moreton City II QLD D1

13/04/2024 05:00

Moreton City II 1 - 1 Ipswich City QLD D1

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Last 6 matches Logan Lightning

03/05/2024 05:30

Logan Lightning 2 - 1 Southside Eagles AUS QPS

27/04/2024 05:00

Logan Lightning 1 - 1 Ipswich City QLD D1

20/04/2024 04:00

Brisbane Strikers 4 - 1 Logan Lightning QLD D1

14/04/2024 05:15

Logan Lightning 2 - 0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane QLD D1

02/04/2024 05:30

Wynnum Wolves 1 - 0 Logan Lightning AUS QPS

23/03/2024 04:30

Logan Lightning 2 - 0 SWQ Thunder QLD D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues QLD Division 1

Played games

Moreton City Excelsior II

Logan Lightning

180

Goals

Scored

155

Avg. per game

2.21

Conceded

166

Avg. per game

2.37

Scored

346

Avg. per game

1.92

Conceded

325

Avg. per game

1.81

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 70 matches

YesNo

59 (84%)11 (16%)

In last 70 matches

NoYes

147 (82%)33 (18%)

Moreton City Excelsior II

Recent matches

Logan Lightning

Under /Over

(91%)41 4(9%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

/Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Moreton City Excelsior II

Logan Lightning

Shots

Moreton City Excelsior II

Total shots

13.32 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Logan Lightning

Total shots

10.75 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Moreton City Excelsior II Pass Logan Lightning

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Moreton City Excelsior II

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Moreton City Excelsior II

OTHERS

Moreton City Excelsior II

Played games

Logan Lightning

180

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.13

Clean sheets

0.20

5.04

353

Corners

853

4.74

0.01

Throw-ins

0.00

0.21

Offsides

0.04

0.00

GK saves

0.04

Moreton City Excelsior II

DISCIPLINARY

Logan Lightning

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.10

306

1.70

0.06

0.11

0.60

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/09

Moreton City Excelsior II

Moreton City Excelsior II

QLD

NEXT MATCHES

08/09

Logan Lightning

St George Willawong FC

How We Build the Moreton City Excelsior II vs Logan Lightning Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Moreton City Excelsior II vs Logan Lightning on 11 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this QLD Division 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Moreton City Excelsior II vs Logan Lightning Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Moreton City Excelsior II's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Logan Lightning's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

QLD Division 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live QLD Division 1 standings and the QLD Division 1 form table to understand exactly where Moreton City Excelsior II and Logan Lightning sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our QLD Division 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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