Monterrey vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 May

Monterrey

W L W L W

7th place in Autumn

3-2

07/05/2025 18:00

Toluca

W W W W W

1st place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Monterrey vs Toluca on 07 May 2025 (kick-off: 18:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Monterrey vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Monterrey will face Toluca in Primera Division de Mexico on May 7, 2025 at 18:00.
Monterrey are currently 7th with 28 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 1st with 37 points from 17 matches.
Current model prediction leans yellow with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 2.28.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:00

2025-05-07

Monterrey vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Monterrey

Toluca

2025-05-07 18:00

STANDINGS UP TO 07/05/2025

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	41	22	19
02 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	34	10	24
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	26	16	10
04 Tigres UANL	33	17	10	3	4	24	14	10
05 Necaxa	31	17	10	1	6	36	29	7
06 Club Leon	30	17	9	3	5	24	21	3
07 Monterrey	28	17	8	4	5	32	23	9
08 Pachuca	28	17	8	4	5	29	23	6
09 FC Juarez	24	17	6	6	5	16	21	-5
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	6	3	8	23	26	-3
11 Chivas Guadalajara	21	17	5	6	6	18	21	-3
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	17	24	-7
13 Club Tijuana	19	17	6	1	10	29	35	-6
14 Atlas	18	17	4	6	7	25	32	-7
15 Atletico San Luis	18	17	6	0	11	20	33	-13
16 Mazatlan FC	17	17	4	5	8	16	26	-10
17 Puebla	9	17	2	3	12	12	25	-13
18 Santos Laguna	7	17	2	1	14	15	36	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CDSyC Cruz Azul	42	17	13	3	1	39	12	27
02 Toluca	35	17	10	5	2	38	16	22
03 Tigres UANL	34	17	10	4	3	25	15	10
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	31	17	9	4	4	21	13	8
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	26	19	7
06 Atletico San Luis	30	17	9	3	5	27	19	8
07 Club Tijuana	29	17	8	5	4	24	25	-1
08 Club America	27	17	8	3	6	27	21	6
09 Chivas Guadalajara	25	17	7	4	6	24	15	9
10 Atlas	22	17	5	7	5	17	23	-6
11 Club Leon	18	17	3	9	5	21	23	-2
12 FC Juarez	17	17	5	2	10	22	36	-14
13 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	20	26	-6
14 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	10	19	-9
15 Puebla	14	17	4	2	11	17	31	-14
16 Pachuca	13	17	3	4	10	20	29	-9
17 Queretaro FC	12	17	3	3	11	13	31	-18
18 Santos Laguna	10	17	2	4	11	12	30	-18

Head To Head

18/01/2025 18:00

Toluca

1 - 1

Monterrey

MEX D1

31/08/2024 18:00

Monterrey

1 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

18/02/2024 19:10

Monterrey

0 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

30/08/2023 18:00

Toluca

1 - 0

Monterrey

MEX D1

05/02/2023 18:10

Monterrey

2 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

17/08/2022 17:00

Toluca

1 - 1

Monterrey

MEX D1

Toluca

33%

Draw

50%

Monterrey

17%

Monterrey Last 6 matches

04/05/2025 18:30

Monterrey 2 - 0 Pumas U.N.A.M.

MEX D1

27/04/2025 18:30

Monterrey 1 - 2 Pachuca

MEX D1

20/04/2025 18:05

Club Leon 0 - 2 Monterrey

MEX D1

16/04/2025 18:00

Monterrey 1 - 0 Club America

MEX D1

12/04/2025 18:00

Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Monterrey

MEX D1

05/04/2025 18:05

Monterrey 3 - 1 Chivas Guadalajara

MEX D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Toluca

19/04/2025 18:05

Toluca 2 - 2 CDSyC Cruz Azul

MEX D1

16/04/2025 19:00

Atletico San Luis 0 - 1 Toluca

MEX D1

12/04/2025 18:05

Atlas 2 - 3 Toluca

MEX D1

06/04/2025 17:00

Toluca 2 - 1 Santos Laguna

MEX D1

29/03/2025 16:00

Toluca 3 - 2 Pachuca

MEX D1

14/03/2025 20:00

Puebla 0 - 3 Toluca

MEX D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Played games

Monterrey

Toluca

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.96

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.22

Scored

Avg. per game

2.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.90

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 23 home matches

YesNo

20 (87%)3 (13%)

In last 23 home matches

NoYes

20 (95%)1 (5%)

Monterrey

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(78%)18 5(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(95%)20 1(5%)

Under /Over

(39%)9 14(61%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(52%)11 10(48%)

Under /Over

(57%)13 10(43%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(62%)13 8(38%)

/Yes

(65%)15 8(35%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(57%)12 9(43%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Monterrey

Toluca

Shots

Monterrey

Total shots

15.74 avg / game

Blocked

32 total

Avg. 3.56

Toluca

Total shots

12.52 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 1.70

Monterrey Pass Toluca

Total passes

10882

Avg. 495 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

8348

Avg. 398 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Monterrey

Played games

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

0.38

5.35

123

Corners

3.81

17.48

402

Throw-ins

284

13.52

1.91

Offsides

0.95

2.70

GK saves

1.90

Monterrey

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.43

1.43

0.13

0.10

10.39

239

Fouls

184

8.76

12.39

285

Tackles

259

12.33

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Monterrey vs Toluca on 07 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Monterrey vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Monterrey's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Monterrey and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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