Middlesbrough vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 01 March

Betiball's prediction for Middlesbrough vs Derby County on 01 March 2025 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Middlesbrough vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Middlesbrough vs Derby County: Starting Lineups Time : 01/03/2025 11:00

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Finished
Derby County
84' event Samuel Iling / Tommy Conway
83' event Delano Burgzorg / Finn Azaz
81' event Finn Azaz
80' event Finn Azaz
72' event Kelechi Iheanacho / Marcus Forss
62' event Ryan John Giles / Luke Ayling
event 90+3' Craig Forsyth
event 83' Kemar Roofe / Kayden Jackson
event 76' Kenzo Goudmijn / Marcus Anthony Myers-Harness
event 76' Lars-Jorgen Salvesen / Jerry Yates
event 76' Ben Osborne / Harrison Armstrong
event 65' Liam Thompson / Tom Barkhuizen
event 19' Tom Barkhuizen
84' event Samuel Iling / Tommy Conway
event 90+3' Craig Forsyth
83' event Delano Burgzorg / Finn Azaz
event 83' Kemar Roofe / Kayden Jackson
81' event Finn Azaz
event 76' Kenzo Goudmijn / Marcus Anthony Myers-Harness
80' event Finn Azaz
event 76' Lars-Jorgen Salvesen / Jerry Yates
72' event Kelechi Iheanacho / Marcus Forss
event 76' Ben Osborne / Harrison Armstrong
62' event Ryan John Giles / Luke Ayling
event 65' Liam Thompson / Tom Barkhuizen
event 19' Tom Barkhuizen
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Substitutions
#9 Kelechi Iheanacho
#28 Ryan John Giles
#29 Samuel Iling
#10 Delano Burgzorg
#23 Tom Glover
#4 Daniel Barlaser
#16 Jonathan Howson
#49 Law McCabe
#46 Josh Dede
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough Derby County Derby County
18Shots5
6Shots on Goal1
9Fouls13
5Corner Kick3
13Free kick9
1Offside0
1Yellow card2
20Aerial32
1Save5
16Successful Tackles22
5Interceptions4
15Long pass19
5Shots off goal4
2Hit The Post0
10Head Success16
7Blocked0
16Tackle22
7Dribbles4
36Throw-in17
563Passes301
110Attacks89
66Dangerous attacks29
2Corner Kicks(HT)1
Derby County Derby County
Substitutions
#9 Kemar Roofe
#17 Kenzo Goudmijn
#16 Liam Thompson
#8 Ben Osborne
#15 Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
#12 Nathaniel Phillips
#21 Jake Rooney
#31 Josh Vickers
#38 Charles Agbawodikeizu
Commentary
90+3' Craig Forsyth - Derby County receive a yellow card
84' Middlesbrough — substitution: Samuel Iling / Tommy Conway
83' Middlesbrough — substitution: Delano Burgzorg / Finn Azaz
83' Derby County — substitution: Kemar Roofe / Kayden Jackson
81' Finn Azaz - Middlesbrough receive a yellow card
80' Goal! Finn Azaz - Middlesbrough
76' Derby County — substitution: Kenzo Goudmijn / Marcus Anthony Myers-Harness
76' Derby County — substitution: Lars-Jorgen Salvesen / Jerry Yates
76' Derby County — substitution: Ben Osborne / Harrison Armstrong
72' Middlesbrough — substitution: Kelechi Iheanacho / Marcus Forss
65' Derby County — substitution: Liam Thompson / Tom Barkhuizen
62' Middlesbrough — substitution: Ryan John Giles / Luke Ayling
19' Tom Barkhuizen - Derby County receive a yellow card

How We Build the Middlesbrough vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Middlesbrough vs Derby County on 01 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Middlesbrough vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Middlesbrough's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Middlesbrough and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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