Middlesbrough vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 01 March

Middlesbrough

L L W L D

10th place in England Championship

1-0

01/03/2025 11:00

Derby County

D D L W W

19th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Middlesbrough vs Derby County on 01 March 2025 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Middlesbrough vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Middlesbrough are currently 10th with 64 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 19th with 50 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Middlesbrough to win with probability 56%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Middlesbrough and Derby County have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2025-03-01

Middlesbrough vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Middlesbrough

Derby County

2025-03-01 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 01/03/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leeds United	100	46	29	13	4	95	30	65
02 Burnley	100	46	28	16	2	69	16	53
03 Sheffield United	90	46	28	8	10	63	36	27
04 Sunderland A.F.C	76	46	21	13	12	58	44	14
05 Coventry City	69	46	20	9	17	64	58	6
06 Bristol City	68	46	17	17	12	59	55	4
07 Blackburn Rovers	66	46	19	9	18	53	48	5
08 Millwall	66	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2
09 West Bromwich(WBA)	64	46	15	19	12	57	47	10
10 Middlesbrough	64	46	18	10	18	64	56	8
11 Swansea City	61	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5
12 Sheffield Wednesday	58	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9
13 Norwich City	57	46	14	15	17	71	68	3
14 Watford	57	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	56	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10
16 Portsmouth	54	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13
17 Oxford United	53	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16
18 Stoke City	51	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17
19 Derby County	50	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8
20 Preston North End	50	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11
21 Hull City	49	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10
22 Luton Town	49	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24
23 Plymouth Argyle	46	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37
24 Cardiff City	44	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25

Head To Head

17/08/2024 07:30

Derby County

1 - 0

Middlesbrough

ENG LCH

12/02/2022 11:00

Middlesbrough

4 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

21/08/2021 10:00

Derby County

0 - 0

Middlesbrough

ENG LCH

13/02/2021 11:00

Derby County

2 - 1

Middlesbrough

ENG LCH

25/11/2020 15:00

Middlesbrough

3 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

11/01/2020 11:00

Middlesbrough

2 - 2

Derby County

ENG LCH

Middlesbrough

33%

Draw

33%

Derby County

33%

Middlesbrough Last 6 matches

21/02/2025 15:45

Bristol City 2 - 1 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

15/02/2025 11:00

Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Watford ENG LCH

12/02/2025 16:00

Sheffield United 3 - 1 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

03/02/2025 16:00

Middlesbrough 2 - 3 Sunderland A.F.C ENG LCH

25/01/2025 11:00

Preston North End 2 - 1 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

21/01/2025 15:45

Middlesbrough 2 - 0 West Bromwich(WBA) ENG LCH

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Derby County

22/02/2025 08:30

Derby County 0 - 1 Millwall ENG LCH

14/02/2025 16:00

Queens Park Rangers (QPR) 4 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

11/02/2025 15:45

Derby County 0 - 0 Oxford United ENG LCH

08/02/2025 11:00

Norwich City 1 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

01/02/2025 11:00

Derby County 0 - 1 Sheffield United ENG LCH

25/01/2025 11:00

Cardiff City 2 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Played games

Goals

Scored

225

Avg. per game

1.41

Conceded

168

Avg. per game

1.05

Scored

232

Avg. per game

1.40

Conceded

165

Avg. per game

0.99

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 160 home matches

YesNo

117 (73%)43 (27%)

In last 160 home matches

NoYes

134 (81%)32 (19%)

Middlesbrough

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Middlesbrough

Derby County

Shots

Middlesbrough

Total shots

13.36 avg / game

Blocked

604 total

Avg. 4.47

Derby County

Total shots

12.22 avg / game

Blocked

512 total

Avg. 3.76

Middlesbrough Pass Derby County

Total passes

67962

Avg. 472 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

59203

Avg. 400 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Middlesbrough

160

Played games

Derby County

166

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

Clean sheets

0.39

6.19

990

Corners

848

5.11

20.38

3260

Throw-ins

3639

21.92

1.87

299

Offsides

321

1.93

2.04

326

GK saves

323

1.95

Middlesbrough

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.32

211

276

1.66

0.03

0.04

9.23

1476

Fouls

1658

9.99

12.66

2025

Tackles

2083

12.55

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Middlesbrough vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Middlesbrough vs Derby County on 01 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Middlesbrough vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Middlesbrough's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Middlesbrough and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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