Middlesbrough vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 29 November

Betiball's prediction for Middlesbrough vs Derby County on 29 November 2025 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Middlesbrough vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Middlesbrough vs Derby County: Starting Lineups Time : 29/11/2025 11:00

Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Finished
Derby County
89' event Archie Baptiste / Morgan Whittaker
84' event Morgan Whittaker
75' event Matt Targett
71' event Sverre Halseth Nypan / Delano Burgzorg
71' event Mamadou Kaly Sene / Tommy Conway
54' event David Strelec / Sontje Hansen
54' event Riley Mcgree / Alan Browne
event 88' Liam Thompson / Bobby Clark
event 88' Andreas Weimann / Ben Brereton
event 88' Corey Josiah Paul Blackett-Taylor / Sondre Klingen Langas
event 80' Kayden Jackson / Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
event 80' Ryan Nyambe / Joe Ward
event 67' Callum Elder
event 22' Bobby Clark
event 2' Patrick Agyemang
89' event Archie Baptiste / Morgan Whittaker
event 88' Liam Thompson / Bobby Clark
84' event Morgan Whittaker
event 88' Andreas Weimann / Ben Brereton
75' event Matt Targett
event 88' Corey Josiah Paul Blackett-Taylor / Sondre Klingen Langas
71' event Sverre Halseth Nypan / Delano Burgzorg
event 80' Kayden Jackson / Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
71' event Mamadou Kaly Sene / Tommy Conway
event 80' Ryan Nyambe / Joe Ward
54' event David Strelec / Sontje Hansen
event 67' Callum Elder
54' event Riley Mcgree / Alan Browne
event 22' Bobby Clark
event 2' Patrick Agyemang
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Substitutions
#8 Riley Mcgree
#20 Mamadou Kaly Sene
#13 David Strelec
#19 Sverre Halseth Nypan
#47 Archie Baptiste
#22 Samuel Silvera
#14 Alex Gilbert
#17 Micah Hamilton
#33 Jon McLaughlin
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough Derby County Derby County
21Shots6
4Shots on Goal1
9Fouls13
9Corner Kick8
13Free kick9
1Offside1
0Yellow card2
1Aerial27
0Save2
14Successful Tackles12
4Interceptions10
18Long pass22
2Assist1
5Successful center3
10Shots off goal3
1Hit The Post0
10Head Success18
7Blocked2
12Tackle5
6Dribbles4
17Throw-in20
534Passes179
100Attacks61
61Dangerous attacks33
4Corner Kicks(HT)8
1BigChances2
1BigChancesMissed1
11ShotsInsideBox6
10ShotsOutsideBox0
43DuelsWon39
1.38ExpectedGoals0.92
1.1xGOpenPlay0.4
1.38xGNonPenalty0.92
1.31xGOT0.8
27Touches In Opposition Box14
29AccurateCrosses19
33GroundDuelsWon22
10AerialDuelsWon17
20Clearances41
Derby County Derby County
Substitutions
#14 Andreas Weimann
#24 Ryan Nyambe
#19 Kayden Jackson
#11 Corey Josiah Paul Blackett-Taylor
#16 Liam Thompson
#35 Curtis Nelson
#31 Josh Vickers
#3 Craig Forsyth
#37 Owen Eames
Commentary
89' Middlesbrough — substitution: Archie Baptiste / Morgan Whittaker
88' Derby County — substitution: Liam Thompson / Bobby Clark
88' Derby County — substitution: Andreas Weimann / Ben Brereton
88' Derby County — substitution: Corey Josiah Paul Blackett-Taylor / Sondre Klingen Langas
84' Goal! Morgan Whittaker - Middlesbrough
80' Derby County — substitution: Kayden Jackson / Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
80' Derby County — substitution: Ryan Nyambe / Joe Ward
75' Goal! Matt Targett - Middlesbrough
71' Middlesbrough — substitution: Sverre Halseth Nypan / Delano Burgzorg
71' Middlesbrough — substitution: Mamadou Kaly Sene / Tommy Conway
67' Callum Elder - Derby County receive a yellow card
54' Middlesbrough — substitution: David Strelec / Sontje Hansen
54' Middlesbrough — substitution: Riley Mcgree / Alan Browne
22' Bobby Clark - Derby County receive a yellow card
2' Goal! Patrick Agyemang - Derby County

How We Build the Middlesbrough vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Middlesbrough vs Derby County on 29 November 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Middlesbrough vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Middlesbrough's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Middlesbrough and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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