Mexico vs Ecuador: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 June

Prediction Match Centre
Mexico
No standing data
1
2-0
Mexico
Win Probability 45%
30/06/2026 22:00
Ecuador
No standing data
FIFA World Cup
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mexico vs Ecuador on 30 June 2026 (kick-off: 22:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mexico vs Ecuador preview before placing your bet.

  • Mexico will face Ecuador in FIFA World Cup on June 30, 2026 at 22:00.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.01.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
22:00

2026-06-30

Mexico vs Ecuador - Prediction & Odds

#
Mexico
#
Ecuador
2026-06-30 22:00
45
29
26
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
2.01
FT
2-0 2-0
-
#
16℃～17℃
STANDINGS UP TO 30/06/2026
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Mexico and Ecuador in the FIFA World Cup football standings for the 2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Mexico Mexico Last 6 matches
01/07/2026 09:00
Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador
FIFA World Cup
25/06/2026 08:00
Czech Republic 0 - 3 Mexico
FIFA World Cup
19/06/2026 08:00
Mexico 1 - 0 South Korea
FIFA World Cup
12/06/2026 02:00
Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa
FIFA World Cup
05/06/2026 09:00
Mexico 5 - 1 Serbia
International Friendly
31/05/2026 09:00
Mexico 1 - 0 Australia
International Friendly
Win
100%
Draw
0%
Lost
0%
Last 6 matches Ecuador Ecuador
01/07/2026 09:00
Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador
FIFA World Cup
26/06/2026 03:00
Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany
FIFA World Cup
21/06/2026 07:00
Ecuador 0 - 0 Curacao
FIFA World Cup
15/06/2026 06:00
Ivory Coast 1 - 0 Ecuador
FIFA World Cup
08/06/2026 03:10
Ecuador 3 - 0 Guatemala
International Friendly
31/05/2026 07:00
Ecuador 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia
International Friendly
Win
50%
Draw
17%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues FIFA World Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Mexico
4
Ecuador
4
Goals
Scored
5
Avg. per game
1.25
Conceded
0
Avg. per game
0.00
Scored
1
Avg. per game
0.25
Conceded
1
Avg. per game
0.25
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (75%)1 (25%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
1 (25%)3 (75%)

Mexico

Recent matches

Ecuador

Under /Over

(75%)3 1(25%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(50%)2 2(50%)

Under /Over

(25%)1 3(75%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(50%)2 2(50%)

Under /Over

(25%)1 3(75%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(0%)0 4(100%)

/Yes

(0%)0 4(100%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(25%)1 3(75%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Mexico
Ecuador
Shots
Mexico
Total shots
12.50 avg / game
Blocked
11 total
Avg. 2.75
Ecuador
Total shots
11.75 avg / game
Blocked
5 total
Avg. 1.25
Mexico Pass Ecuador
Total passes
1650
Avg. 413 / game
Accurate
84%
Ball possession
49%
Total passes
1718
Avg. 430 / game
Accurate
86%
Ball possession
57%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Mexico
357
Avg. 89.25 / game
Ecuador
396
Avg. 99.00 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Mexico
121
Avg. 30.25 / game
Ecuador
212
Avg. 53.00 / game
OTHERS
Mexico
4
Played games
Ecuador
4
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.00
4
Clean sheets
1
0.25
1.75
7
Corners
20
5.00
18.50
74
Throw-ins
65
16.25
1.00
4
Offsides
3
0.75
1.50
6
GK saves
7
1.75
Mexico
DISCIPLINARY
Ecuador
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.50
2
Yellow card
7
1.75
0.25
1
Red card
1
0.25
11.00
44
Fouls
39
9.75
6.50
26
Tackles
42
10.50
NEXT MATCHES
07/05
Mexico
VS
England
WOR
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Mexico vs Ecuador Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mexico vs Ecuador on 30 June 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this FIFA World Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mexico vs Ecuador Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mexico's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Ecuador's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

FIFA World Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live FIFA World Cup standings and the FIFA World Cup form table to understand exactly where Mexico and Ecuador sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our FIFA World Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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