Merida AD vs Real Madrid Castilla: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 10 May

Merida AD

D W L D W

5th place in Group B

0-0

10/05/2025 10:00

Real Madrid Castilla

W L W D W

6th place in Group B

Spain Primera Division RFEF

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Merida AD vs Real Madrid Castilla on 10 May 2025 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Merida AD vs Real Madrid Castilla preview before placing your bet.

Merida AD will face Real Madrid Castilla in Spain Primera Division RFEF on May 10, 2025 at 10:00.
Merida AD are currently 5th with 58 points after 38 matches.
Real Madrid Castilla sit 6th with 54 points from 38 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 2.11.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2025-05-10

Merida AD vs Real Madrid Castilla - Prediction & Odds

Merida AD

Real Madrid Castilla

2025-05-10 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 10/05/2025

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Ponferradina	65	38	19	8	11	59	41	18
02 Cultural Leonesa	65	38	18	11	9	55	43	12
03 Real Sociedad B	62	38	17	11	10	51	33	18
04 Andorra FC	60	38	16	12	10	49	38	11
05 Gimnastic Tarragona	59	38	16	11	11	59	43	16
06 SD Tarazona	54	38	14	12	12	41	34	7
07 Athletic Bilbao B	54	38	15	9	14	49	45	4
08 Zamora CF	53	38	14	11	13	44	35	9
09 Celta vigo b	53	38	15	8	15	54	50	4
10 Ourense CF	51	38	13	12	13	35	44	-9
11 Barakaldo CF	49	38	13	10	15	49	44	5
12 CD Arenteiro	48	38	12	12	14	40	42	-2
13 Unionistas de Salamanca	46	38	10	16	12	42	46	-4
14 Osasuna B	46	38	12	10	16	47	59	-12
15 CD Lugo	46	38	12	10	16	35	47	-12
16 Barcelona B	45	38	10	15	13	53	57	-4
17 Sestao	45	38	11	12	15	40	45	-5
18 Real Union Irun	44	38	12	8	18	43	58	-15
19 G. Segoviana	42	38	9	15	14	43	69	-26
20 SD Amorebieta	41	38	10	11	17	42	57	-15

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 AD Ceuta	67	38	17	16	5	46	35	11
02 Real Murcia	64	38	18	10	10	47	31	16
03 Ibiza Eivissa	63	38	18	9	11	51	33	18
04 Antequera CF	58	38	14	16	8	54	49	5
05 Merida AD	58	38	15	13	10	52	52	0
06 Real Madrid Castilla	54	38	12	18	8	58	36	22
07 Atletico de Madrid B	54	38	13	15	10	42	35	7
08 Sevilla Atletico	53	38	14	11	13	40	43	-3
09 Algeciras	52	38	12	16	10	46	46	0
10 AD Alcorcon	51	38	14	9	15	52	51	1
11 Villarreal B	49	38	11	16	11	51	41	10
12 Hercules	47	38	13	8	17	48	49	-1
13 UD Marbella	46	38	12	10	16	51	58	-7
14 Atletico Sanluqueno	46	38	10	16	12	41	51	-10
15 Real Betis B	46	38	11	13	14	44	59	-15
16 Yeclano Deportivo	43	38	9	16	13	36	34	2
17 Fuenlabrada	43	38	10	13	15	43	48	-5
18 CD Alcoyano	42	38	10	12	16	32	47	-15
19 Recreativo Huelva	37	38	7	16	15	32	52	-20
20 CF Intercity	35	38	8	11	19	37	53	-16

Head To Head

30/11/2024 16:30

Real Madrid Castilla

6 - 0

Merida AD

SPA D3

11/02/2024 15:00

Real Madrid Castilla

0 - 1

Merida AD

SPA D3

23/09/2023 11:59

Merida AD

0 - 1

Real Madrid Castilla

SPA D3

19/03/2023 07:00

Real Madrid Castilla

0 - 0

Merida AD

SPA D3

15/10/2022 13:00

Merida AD

1 - 1

Real Madrid Castilla

SPA D3

10/08/2016 14:30

Merida AD

1 - 0

Real Madrid Castilla

INT CF

Real Madrid Castilla

33%

Draw

33%

Merida AD

33%

Merida AD Last 6 matches

03/05/2025 10:00

AD Ceuta 1 - 0 Merida AD

SPA D3

27/04/2025 09:30

Merida AD 3 - 0 Antequera CF

SPA D3

20/04/2025 09:30

Fuenlabrada 1 - 1 Merida AD

SPA D3

13/04/2025 06:00

Hercules 0 - 0 Merida AD

SPA D3

06/04/2025 09:30

Merida AD 2 - 1 Sevilla Atletico

SPA D3

30/03/2025 11:30

CD Alcoyano 2 - 3 Merida AD

SPA D3

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Real Madrid Castilla

27/04/2025 06:00

Real Madrid Castilla 0 - 1 AD Ceuta

SPA D3

20/04/2025 09:30

Recreativo Huelva 1 - 4 Real Madrid Castilla

SPA D3

12/04/2025 12:00

Real Madrid Castilla 1 - 1 Atletico de Madrid B

SPA D3

06/04/2025 06:00

Ibiza Eivissa 0 - 0 Real Madrid Castilla

SPA D3

28/03/2025 15:30

Yeclano Deportivo 1 - 1 Real Madrid Castilla

SPA D3

21/03/2025 15:30

Real Madrid Castilla 0 - 0 Real Murcia

SPA D3

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spain Primera Division...

Played games

Merida AD

Real Madrid Castilla

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.33

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored

Avg. per game

1.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.95

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 40 matches

YesNo

29 (73%)11 (28%)

In last 40 matches

NoYes

28 (74%)10 (26%)

Merida AD

Recent matches

Real Madrid Castilla

Under /Over

(70%)28 12(30%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)27 11(29%)

Under /Over

(33%)13 27(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)16 22(58%)

Under /Over

(43%)17 23(57%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)18 20(53%)

/Yes

(53%)21 19(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)22 16(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Merida AD

Real Madrid Castilla

Shots

Merida AD

Total shots

10.03 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Real Madrid Castilla

Total shots

11.54 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Merida AD Pass Real Madrid Castilla

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Merida AD

Played games

Real Madrid Castilla

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.32

4.48

179

Corners

183

4.82

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Merida AD

DISCIPLINARY

Real Madrid Castilla

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.45

2.13

0.15

0.08

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/30

Merida AD

Deportivo La Coruna B

NEXT MATCHES

Juventud Torremolinos CF

How We Build the Merida AD vs Real Madrid Castilla Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Merida AD vs Real Madrid Castilla on 10 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spain Primera Division RFEF fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Merida AD vs Real Madrid Castilla Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Merida AD's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Real Madrid Castilla's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spain Primera Division RFEF Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spain Primera Division RFEF standings and the Spain Primera Division RFEF form table to understand exactly where Merida AD and Real Madrid Castilla sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spain Primera Division RFEF predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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