Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 February

Melbourne Victory

L W W L W

5th place in Australia A-League

1-0

14/02/2025 04:35

Wellington Phoenix

D W L L L

11th place in Australia A-League

Australia A-League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix on 14 February 2025 (kick-off: 04:35) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix preview before placing your bet.

Melbourne Victory are currently 5th with 43 points after 26 matches.
Wellington Phoenix sit 11th with 24 points from 26 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Melbourne Victory to win with probability 64%.
Head-to-head history favors Wellington Phoenix, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Melbourne Victory have no wins, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

04:35

2025-02-14

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix - Prediction & Odds

Melbourne Victory

Wellington Phoenix

2025-02-14 04:35

STANDINGS UP TO 14/02/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Auckland FC	53	26	15	8	3	49	27	22
02 Melbourne City	48	26	14	6	6	41	25	16
03 Western United FC	47	26	14	5	7	55	37	18
04 Western Sydney	46	26	13	7	6	58	40	18
05 Melbourne Victory	43	26	12	7	7	44	36	8
06 Adelaide United	38	26	10	8	8	53	55	-2
07 Sydney FC	37	26	10	7	9	53	46	7
08 FC Macarthur	33	26	9	6	11	50	45	5
09 Newcastle Jets	30	26	8	6	12	43	44	-1
10 Central Coast Mariners	26	26	5	11	10	29	51	-22
11 Wellington Phoenix	24	26	6	6	14	27	43	-16
12 Brisbane Roar	21	26	5	6	15	32	51	-19
13 Perth Glory	17	26	4	5	17	22	56	-34

Head To Head

23/11/2024 22:30

Wellington Phoenix

1 - 0

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

18/05/2024 02:30

Wellington Phoenix

1 - 1

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

12/05/2024 02:00

Melbourne Victory

0 - 0

Wellington Phoenix

AUS D1

12/04/2024 03:00

Wellington Phoenix

1 - 0

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

19/01/2024 02:00

Wellington Phoenix

1 - 1

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

10/11/2023 04:45

Melbourne Victory

1 - 1

Wellington Phoenix

AUS D1

Melbourne Victory

Draw

67%

Wellington Phoenix

33%

Melbourne Victory Last 6 matches

08/02/2025 02:00

Newcastle Jets 3 - 0 Melbourne Victory AUS D1

01/02/2025 06:45

Perth Glory 0 - 2 Melbourne Victory AUS D1

24/01/2025 04:35

Melbourne Victory 2 - 0 Sydney FC AUS D1

18/01/2025 04:35

Adelaide United 3 - 2 Melbourne Victory AUS D1

10/01/2025 04:35

Melbourne Victory 3 - 4 Western United FC AUS D1

04/01/2025 04:35

Melbourne Victory 2 - 2 Western Sydney AUS D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Wellington Phoenix

06/02/2025 00:00

Wellington Phoenix 1 - 1 Brisbane Roar AUS D1

25/01/2025 00:00

Wellington Phoenix 0 - 0 Central Coast Mariners AUS D1

20/01/2025 04:00

FC Macarthur 1 - 2 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1

15/01/2025 02:00

Wellington Phoenix 0 - 0 Sydney FC AUS D1

11/01/2025 00:00

Wellington Phoenix 1 - 2 Adelaide United AUS D1

03/01/2025 02:00

Melbourne City 2 - 0 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Australia A-League

Played games

Melbourne Victory

Wellington Phoenix

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.86

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.21

Scored

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.31

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 14 home matches

YesNo

12 (86%)2 (14%)

In last 14 home matches

NoYes

8 (62%)5 (38%)

Melbourne Victory

Recent matches

Wellington Phoenix

Under /Over

(86%)12 2(14%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)9 4(31%)

Under /Over

(36%)5 9(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(23%)3 10(77%)

Under /Over

(50%)7 7(50%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(46%)6 7(54%)

/Yes

(50%)7 7(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(54%)7 6(46%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Melbourne Victory

Wellington Phoenix

Shots

Melbourne Victory

Total shots

16.93 avg / game

Blocked

21 total

Avg. 4.20

Wellington Phoenix

Total shots

9.46 avg / game

Blocked

12 total

Avg. 3.00

Melbourne Victory Pass Wellington Phoenix

Total passes

6404

Avg. 457 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

6138

Avg. 472 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Melbourne Victory

Played games

Wellington Phoenix

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

Clean sheets

0.23

6.14

Corners

3.77

21.79

305

Throw-ins

246

18.92

0.14

Offsides

0.62

2.07

GK saves

3.77

Melbourne Victory

DISCIPLINARY

Wellington Phoenix

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.21

0.69

0.00

0.00

8.57

120

Fouls

7.38

14.00

196

Tackles

211

16.23

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix on 14 February 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Australia A-League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Melbourne Victory's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Wellington Phoenix's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Australia A-League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Australia A-League standings and the Australia A-League form table to understand exactly where Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Australia A-League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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