Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 10 November

Melbourne Victory

D W W L D

3rd place in Australia A-League

1-1

10/11/2023 04:45

Wellington Phoenix

W W L W D

2nd place in Australia A-League

Australia A-League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix on 10 November 2023 (kick-off: 04:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix preview before placing your bet.

Melbourne Victory are currently 3rd with 42 points after 27 matches.
Wellington Phoenix sit 2nd with 53 points from 27 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Melbourne Victory to win with probability 55%.
Head-to-head history favors Melbourne Victory, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Wellington Phoenix have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

04:45

2023-11-10

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix - Prediction & Odds

Melbourne Victory

Wellington Phoenix

2023-11-10 04:45

STANDINGS UP TO 10/11/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Central Coast Mariners	55	27	17	4	6	49	27	22
02 Wellington Phoenix	53	27	15	8	4	42	26	16
03 Melbourne Victory	42	27	10	12	5	43	33	10
04 Sydney FC	41	27	12	5	10	52	41	11
05 FC Macarthur	41	27	11	8	8	45	48	-3
06 Melbourne City	39	27	11	6	10	50	38	12
07 Western Sydney	37	27	11	4	12	44	48	-4
08 Adelaide United	32	27	9	5	13	52	53	-1
09 Brisbane Roar	30	27	8	6	13	42	55	-13
10 Newcastle Jets	28	27	6	10	11	39	47	-8
11 Western United FC	26	27	7	5	15	36	55	-19
12 Perth Glory	22	27	5	7	15	46	69	-23

Head To Head

31/03/2023 22:00

Wellington Phoenix

1 - 2

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

03/02/2023 04:45

Melbourne Victory

3 - 1

Wellington Phoenix

AUS D1

29/04/2022 05:45

Melbourne Victory

3 - 1

Wellington Phoenix

AUS D1

09/02/2022 04:05

Wellington Phoenix

1 - 0

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

29/01/2022 02:35

Melbourne Victory

4 - 1

Wellington Phoenix

A FFA Cup

24/03/2021 04:05

Wellington Phoenix

4 - 1

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

Melbourne Victory

67%

Draw

Wellington Phoenix

33%

Melbourne Victory Last 6 matches

04/11/2023 04:45

Melbourne Victory 1 - 1 Adelaide United AUS D1

29/10/2023 02:00

Melbourne Victory 5 - 3 Newcastle Jets AUS D1

21/10/2023 04:45

Sydney FC 0 - 2 Melbourne Victory AUS D1

04/10/2023 07:00

Perth Glory 0 - 4 Melbourne Victory INT CF

17/07/2023 05:30

Newcastle Jets 2 - 2 Melbourne Victory A FFA Cup

29/04/2023 05:45

Melbourne Victory 0 - 1 Brisbane Roar AUS D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Wellington Phoenix

04/11/2023 00:30

Wellington Phoenix 5 - 2 Brisbane Roar AUS D1

28/10/2023 00:30

Wellington Phoenix 2 - 1 Perth Glory AUS D1

22/10/2023 00:00

Western Sydney 0 - 0 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1

27/08/2023 00:00

Melbourne City 3 - 0 Wellington Phoenix A FFA Cup

04/08/2023 05:30

Peninsula Power 1 - 1 Wellington Phoenix A FFA Cup

05/05/2023 05:45

Adelaide United 2 - 0 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Australia A-League

Played games

Melbourne Victory

Wellington Phoenix

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.07

Scored

Avg. per game

1.71

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 15 home matches

YesNo

11 (73%)4 (27%)

In last 15 home matches

NoYes

12 (86%)2 (14%)

Melbourne Victory

Recent matches

Wellington Phoenix

Under /Over

(73%)11 4(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)10 4(29%)

Under /Over

(40%)6 9(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(21%)3 11(79%)

Under /Over

(33%)5 10(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)7 7(50%)

/Yes

(60%)9 6(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(43%)6 8(57%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Melbourne Victory

Wellington Phoenix

Shots

Melbourne Victory

Total shots

18.40 avg / game

Blocked

70 total

Avg. 5.38

Wellington Phoenix

Total shots

12.21 avg / game

Blocked

28 total

Avg. 2.33

Melbourne Victory Pass Wellington Phoenix

Total passes

7193

Avg. 480 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

7532

Avg. 538 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Melbourne Victory

Played games

Wellington Phoenix

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.50

7.80

117

Corners

5.29

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

2.20

Offsides

2.21

2.53

GK saves

3.29

Melbourne Victory

DISCIPLINARY

Wellington Phoenix

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.07

1.29

0.33

0.14

10.80

162

Fouls

133

9.50

16.87

253

Tackles

245

17.50

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix on 10 November 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Australia A-League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Melbourne Victory's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Wellington Phoenix's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Australia A-League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Australia A-League standings and the Australia A-League form table to understand exactly where Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Australia A-League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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