Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 03 February

Melbourne Victory

W L D L W

11th place in Australia A-League

3 - 1

03/02/2023 04:45

Wellington Phoenix

L L L D L

6th place in Australia A-League

Australia A-League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix on 03 February 2023 (kick-off: 04:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix preview before placing your bet.

Melbourne Victory are currently 11th with 28 points after 26 matches.
Wellington Phoenix sit 6th with 35 points from 26 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 03/02/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Melbourne City	55	26	16	7	3	61	32	29
02 Central Coast Mariners	44	26	13	5	8	55	35	20
03 Adelaide United	42	26	11	9	6	53	46	7
04 Western Sydney	41	26	11	8	7	43	27	16
05 Sydney FC	38	26	11	5	10	40	39	1
06 Wellington Phoenix	35	26	9	8	9	39	45	-6
07 Western United FC	32	26	9	5	12	34	47	-13
08 Brisbane Roar	30	26	7	9	10	26	33	-7
09 Perth Glory	29	26	7	8	11	36	46	-10
10 Newcastle Jets	29	26	8	5	13	30	45	-15
11 Melbourne Victory	28	26	8	4	14	29	34	-5
12 FC Macarthur	26	26	7	5	14	31	48	-17

Melbourne Victory Last 6 matches

26/07/2026 14:00

Kingborough Lions 0 - 4 Melbourne Victory Australia Cup

02/05/2026 16:40

Melbourne Victory 0 - 1 Sydney FC Australia A-League

25/04/2026 16:50

Western Sydney 0 - 2 Melbourne Victory Australia A-League

17/04/2026 16:35

Melbourne Victory 2 - 2 Newcastle Jets Australia A-League

11/04/2026 12:00

Auckland FC 2 - 2 Melbourne Victory Australia A-League

05/04/2026 12:00

Melbourne Victory 0 - 1 Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Wellington Phoenix

24/04/2026 16:45

FC Macarthur 4 - 0 Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League

18/04/2026 12:00

Wellington Phoenix 2 - 1 Western Sydney Australia A-League

12/04/2026 12:00

Melbourne City 2 - 0 Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League

05/04/2026 12:00

Melbourne Victory 0 - 1 Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League

21/03/2026 11:00

Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League

14/03/2026 09:00

Wellington Phoenix 2 - 0 Perth Glory Australia A-League

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Australia A-League

Played games

Goals

Scored

304

Avg. per game

1.54

Conceded

269

Avg. per game

1.36

Scored

240

Avg. per game

1.36

Conceded

267

Avg. per game

1.52

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 198 matches

YesNo

147 (74%)51 (26%)

In last 198 matches

NoYes

137 (78%)39 (22%)

Melbourne Victory

Recent matches

Wellington Phoenix

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Melbourne Victory

Wellington Phoenix

Shots

Melbourne Victory

Total shots

13.92 avg / game

Blocked

479 total

Avg. 4.32

Wellington Phoenix

Total shots

11.58 avg / game

Blocked

324 total

Avg. 3.12

Melbourne Victory Pass Wellington Phoenix

Total passes

70326

Avg. 460 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

65606

Avg. 462 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Melbourne Victory

198

Played games

Wellington Phoenix

176

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.24

5.57

1102

Corners

833

4.73

9.04

1789

Throw-ins

1560

8.86

1.23

244

Offsides

266

1.51

2.56

506

GK saves

672

3.82

Melbourne Victory

DISCIPLINARY

Wellington Phoenix

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.77

351

305

1.73

0.11

0.07

10.39

2057

Fouls

1692

9.61

10.93

2164

Tackles

1755

9.97

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix on 03 February 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Australia A-League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Melbourne Victory's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Wellington Phoenix's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Australia A-League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Australia A-League standings and the Australia A-League form table to understand exactly where Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Australia A-League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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