Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – November 04

Melbourne Victory

D W W L D

3rd place in Australia A-League

1-1

04/11/2023 04:45

Adelaide United

W W L D W

8th place in Australia A-League

Australia A-League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United on November 04, 2023 (kick-off: 04:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United preview before placing for you.

Melbourne Victory are currently 3rd with 42 points after 27 matches.
Adelaide United sit 8th with 32 points from 27 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Melbourne Victory to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Melbourne Victory, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Adelaide United have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

04:45

2023-11-04

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United - Prediction & Odds

Melbourne Victory

Adelaide United

2023-11-04 04:45

STANDINGS UP TO 04/11/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Central Coast Mariners	55	27	17	4	6	49	27	22
02 Wellington Phoenix	53	27	15	8	4	42	26	16
03 Melbourne Victory	42	27	10	12	5	43	33	10
04 Sydney FC	41	27	12	5	10	52	41	11
05 FC Macarthur	41	27	11	8	8	45	48	-3
06 Melbourne City	39	27	11	6	10	50	38	12
07 Western Sydney	37	27	11	4	12	44	48	-4
08 Adelaide United	32	27	9	5	13	52	53	-1
09 Brisbane Roar	30	27	8	6	13	42	55	-13
10 Newcastle Jets	28	27	6	10	11	39	47	-8
11 Western United FC	26	27	7	5	15	36	55	-19
12 Perth Glory	22	27	5	7	15	46	69	-23

Head To Head

26/02/2023 00:00

Melbourne Victory

1 - 1

Adelaide United

AUS D1

14/01/2023 04:45

Adelaide United

1 - 1

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

11/11/2022 04:45

Adelaide United

3 - 0

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

02/04/2022 04:45

Adelaide United

0 - 1

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

08/01/2022 04:45

Melbourne Victory

1 - 1

Adelaide United

AUS D1

05/01/2022 04:45

Adelaide United

1 - 2

Melbourne Victory

A FFA Cup

Melbourne Victory

33%

Draw

50%

Adelaide United

17%

Melbourne Victory Last 6 matches

29/10/2023 02:00

Melbourne Victory 5 - 3 Newcastle Jets AUS D1

21/10/2023 04:45

Sydney FC 0 - 2 Melbourne Victory AUS D1

04/10/2023 07:00

Perth Glory 0 - 4 Melbourne Victory INT CF

17/07/2023 05:30

Newcastle Jets 2 - 2 Melbourne Victory A FFA Cup

29/04/2023 05:45

Melbourne Victory 0 - 1 Brisbane Roar AUS D1

23/04/2023 01:00

Melbourne Victory 2 - 1 FC Macarthur AUS D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Adelaide United

29/10/2023 04:00

Adelaide United 6 - 0 Melbourne City AUS D1

20/10/2023 04:45

Adelaide United 3 - 0 Central Coast Mariners AUS D1

29/08/2023 05:30

Western Sydney 5 - 1 Adelaide United A FFA Cup

14/08/2023 05:30

Northcote City 0 - 2 Adelaide United A FFA Cup

20/05/2023 05:45

Central Coast Mariners 2 - 0 Adelaide United AUS D1

13/05/2023 05:45

Adelaide United 1 - 2 Central Coast Mariners AUS D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Australia A-League

Played games

Melbourne Victory

Adelaide United

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.07

Scored

Avg. per game

2.14

Conceded

Avg. per game

2.00

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 15 home matches

YesNo

11 (73%)4 (27%)

In last 15 home matches

NoYes

12 (86%)2 (14%)

Melbourne Victory

Recent matches

Adelaide United

Under /Over

(73%)11 4(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(100%)14 0(0%)

Under /Over

(40%)6 9(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(57%)8 6(43%)

Under /Over

(33%)5 10(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(79%)11 3(21%)

/Yes

(60%)9 6(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)10 4(29%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Melbourne Victory

Adelaide United

Shots

Melbourne Victory

Total shots

18.40 avg / game

Blocked

70 total

Avg. 5.38

Adelaide United

Total shots

20.00 avg / game

Blocked

66 total

Avg. 5.08

Melbourne Victory Pass Adelaide United

Total passes

7193

Avg. 480 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

6270

Avg. 448 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Melbourne Victory

Played games

Adelaide United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.14

7.80

117

Corners

111

7.93

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

2.20

Offsides

2.00

2.53

GK saves

4.29

Melbourne Victory

DISCIPLINARY

Adelaide United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.07

1.50

0.33

0.14

10.80

162

Fouls

150

10.71

16.87

253

Tackles

254

18.14

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United on 04 November 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Australia A-League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Melbourne Victory's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Adelaide United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Australia A-League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Australia A-League standings and the Australia A-League form table to understand exactly where Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Australia A-League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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