Mbarara City vs NEC FC Bugolobi Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – April 30

Mbarara City

L L L L D

No standing data

1-2

30/04/2025 09:00

NEC FC Bugolobi

W L W D W

No standing data

Uganda Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mbarara City vs NEC FC Bugolobi on April 30, 2025 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mbarara City vs NEC FC Bugolobi preview before placing for you.

Our algorithm prediction: NEC FC Bugolobi to win with probability 55%.
Head-to-head history favors NEC FC Bugolobi, who have won 3 of the last 5 meetings. Mbarara City have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2025-04-30

Mbarara City vs NEC FC Bugolobi - Prediction & Odds

Mbarara City

NEC FC Bugolobi

2025-04-30 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 30/04/2025

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Mbarara City and NEC FC Bugolobi in the Uganda Premier League football standings for the 2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

04/01/2025 12:00

NEC FC Bugolobi

1 - 0

Mbarara City

UPL

09/02/2024 11:59

NEC FC Bugolobi

2 - 0

Mbarara City

UPL

15/09/2023 09:30

Mbarara City

0 - 1

NEC FC Bugolobi

UPL

02/03/2023 09:10

Mbarara City

1 - 1

NEC FC Bugolobi

Uganda D 2

03/11/2022 07:25

NEC FC Bugolobi

0 - 0

Mbarara City

Uganda D 2

Mbarara City

Draw

40%

NEC FC Bugolobi

60%

Mbarara City Last 6 matches

26/04/2025 12:00

Kampala City Council FC 1 - 0 Mbarara City UPL

16/04/2025 09:00

Mbarara City 0 - 2 SC Villa UPL

10/04/2025 09:00

Uganda Police FC 2 - 0 Mbarara City UPL

04/04/2025 09:00

Mbarara City 0 - 2 URA Kampala UPL

29/03/2025 09:00

Mbarara City 0 - 0 BUL FC UPL

14/03/2025 09:00

Airtel Kitara FC 1 - 1 Mbarara City UPL

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches NEC FC Bugolobi

25/04/2025 12:00

NEC FC Bugolobi 2 - 0 Mbale Heroes UPL

17/04/2025 12:00

Vipers 3 - 1 NEC FC Bugolobi UPL

10/04/2025 12:00

NEC FC Bugolobi 2 - 1 Airtel Kitara FC UPL

04/04/2025 09:00

defense forces 0 - 0 NEC FC Bugolobi UPL

27/03/2025 12:00

NEC FC Bugolobi 3 - 1 Express FC UPL

14/03/2025 09:00

Ma Lu 1 - 3 NEC FC Bugolobi UPL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uganda Premier League

Played games

Mbarara City

NEC FC Bugolobi

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.57

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored

Avg. per game

1.42

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 14 home matches

YesNo

7 (50%)7 (50%)

In last 14 home matches

NoYes

11 (92%)1 (8%)

Mbarara City

Recent matches

NEC FC Bugolobi

Under /Over

(57%)8 6(43%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(75%)9 3(25%)

Under /Over

(14%)2 12(86%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(25%)3 9(75%)

Under /Over

(36%)5 9(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(25%)3 9(75%)

/Yes

(29%)4 10(71%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)6 6(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Mbarara City

NEC FC Bugolobi

Shots

Mbarara City

Total shots

9.54 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

NEC FC Bugolobi

Total shots

11.00 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Mbarara City Pass NEC FC Bugolobi

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Mbarara City

Played games

NEC FC Bugolobi

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

Clean sheets

0.42

4.00

Corners

4.08

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.93

Offsides

0.83

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Mbarara City

DISCIPLINARY

NEC FC Bugolobi

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.07

1.92

0.07

0.08

3.14

Fouls

5.25

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Mbarara City vs NEC FC Bugolobi Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mbarara City vs NEC FC Bugolobi on 30 April 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uganda Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mbarara City vs NEC FC Bugolobi Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mbarara City's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against NEC FC Bugolobi's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uganda Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uganda Premier League standings and the Uganda Premier League form table to understand exactly where Mbarara City and NEC FC Bugolobi sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uganda Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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