Mazatlan FC vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 April

Betiball's prediction for Mazatlan FC vs Toluca on 22 April 2026 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mazatlan FC vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Mazatlan FC vs Toluca: Starting Lineups Time : 22/04/2026 21:00

Mazatlan FC
4 - 3
Finished
Toluca
90+5' event Gabriel Lopez
88' event Daniel Hernandez
87' event Billy Arce / Brian Rubio
86' event Daniel Hernandez / Josue Ovalle
75' event Gabriel Lopez
72' event Gabriel Lopez / Jair Diaz
72' event Mauro Lainez / Mauro Zaleta
72' event Fabio Roberto Gomes Netto / Said Godinez
69' event Yoel Barcenas
64' event Facundo Ezequiel Almada Penalty awarded
49' event Brian Rubio
23' event Jair Diaz
15' event Lucas Merolla
event 87' Nicolás Castro
event 81' Oswaldo Virgen / Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas
event 81' Nicolás Castro / Mauricio Isais
event 60' Marcello Ruiz
event 59' Marcello Ruiz Card changed
event 57' Bruno Mendez Cittadini / Franco Rossi
event 54' Antonio Briseno
event 46' Jesus Angulo / Jorge Santiago Diaz Mendez
event 45+5' Everardo Del Villar
event 26' Everardo Del Villar
event 12' Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas
90+5' event Gabriel Lopez
event 87' Nicolás Castro
88' event Daniel Hernandez
event 81' Oswaldo Virgen / Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas
87' event Billy Arce / Brian Rubio
event 81' Nicolás Castro / Mauricio Isais
86' event Daniel Hernandez / Josue Ovalle
event 60' Marcello Ruiz
75' event Gabriel Lopez
event 59' Marcello Ruiz Card changed
72' event Gabriel Lopez / Jair Diaz
event 57' Bruno Mendez Cittadini / Franco Rossi
72' event Mauro Lainez / Mauro Zaleta
event 54' Antonio Briseno
72' event Fabio Roberto Gomes Netto / Said Godinez
event 46' Jesus Angulo / Jorge Santiago Diaz Mendez
69' event Yoel Barcenas
event 45+5' Everardo Del Villar
64' event Facundo Ezequiel Almada Penalty awarded
event 26' Everardo Del Villar
49' event Brian Rubio
event 12' Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas
23' event Jair Diaz
15' event Lucas Merolla
Mazatlan FC Mazatlan FC
Substitutions
#20 Mauro Lainez
#90 Fabio Roberto Gomes Netto
#193 Gabriel Lopez
#28 Daniel Hernandez
#9 Billy Arce
#13 Victor Andre Alcaraz Diaz
#26 Angel Leyva
#16 Jose Esquivel
#31 Angel Antonio Saavedra Nevarez
#27 Gilberto Adame
Mazatlan FC Mazatlan FC Toluca Toluca
16Shots13
6Shots on Goal8
12Fouls18
3Corner Kick8
17Free kick12
3Offside0
3Yellow card2
0Red card1
1Aerial1
4Save2
26Successful Tackles27
9Interceptions8
26Long pass21
3Assist3
3Successful center2
7Shots off goal1
3Blocked4
26Tackle14
7Dribbles8
17Throw-in24
328Passes465
98Attacks106
29Dangerous attacks49
2Corner Kicks(HT)1
6BigChances2
3BigChancesMissed1
7ShotsInsideBox6
9ShotsOutsideBox7
66DuelsWon58
2.01ExpectedGoals1.58
0.95xGOpenPlay1.21
1.22xGNonPenalty1.58
2.35xGOT2.46
18Touches In Opposition Box16
11AccurateCrosses16
54GroundDuelsWon45
12AerialDuelsWon13
19Clearances17
Toluca Toluca
Substitutions
#10 Jesus Angulo
#4 Bruno Mendez Cittadini
#8 Nicolás Castro
#23 Oswaldo Virgen
#22 Luis Manuel Garcia Palomera
#206 Erick Orta
#7 Francisco Sebastian Cordova Reyes
#33 Victor Arteaga
#19 Santiago Simon
#5 Franco Agustin Romero
Commentary
90+5' Gabriel Lopez - Mazatlan FC receive a yellow card
88' Goal! Daniel Hernandez - Mazatlan FC
87' Mazatlan FC — substitution: Billy Arce / Brian Rubio
87' Goal! Nicolás Castro - Toluca
86' Mazatlan FC — substitution: Daniel Hernandez / Josue Ovalle
81' Toluca — substitution: Oswaldo Virgen / Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas
81' Toluca — substitution: Nicolás Castro / Mauricio Isais
75' Goal! Gabriel Lopez - Mazatlan FC
72' Mazatlan FC — substitution: Gabriel Lopez / Jair Diaz
72' Mazatlan FC — substitution: Mauro Lainez / Mauro Zaleta
72' Mazatlan FC — substitution: Fabio Roberto Gomes Netto / Said Godinez
69' Penalty scored! Yoel Barcenas - Mazatlan FC
64' VAR review - Mazatlan FC
60' Marcello Ruiz - Toluca receive a red card
59' VAR review - Toluca
57' Toluca — substitution: Bruno Mendez Cittadini / Franco Rossi
54' Goal! Antonio Briseno - Toluca
49' Goal! Brian Rubio - Mazatlan FC
46' Toluca — substitution: Jesus Angulo / Jorge Santiago Diaz Mendez
45+5' Goal! Everardo Del Villar - Toluca
26' Everardo Del Villar - Toluca receive a yellow card
23' Jair Diaz - Mazatlan FC receive a yellow card
15' Lucas Merolla - Mazatlan FC receive a yellow card
12' Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas - Toluca receive a yellow card

How We Build the Mazatlan FC vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mazatlan FC vs Toluca on 22 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mazatlan FC vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mazatlan FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Mazatlan FC and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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