Mathare United vs Tusker Prediction, Live H2H & Live Stats | 14 February 2026

Mathare United
14th place in VĐQG Kenya
2
3-1
FT
14/02/2026 06:00
Tusker
9th place in VĐQG Kenya
MATCH INTRO

Mathare United vs Tusker takes place on 14 February 2026 in. Betiball's match analysis compares recent form, home and away performance, scoring records, defensive numbers and head-to-head data to estimate the most likely outcome.

Explore the latest Mathare United vs Tusker prediction, including 1X2 probabilities, expected score, Under/Over 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score and key match statistics. Kick-off is scheduled for 06:00.

  • Mathare United are currently 14th with 41 points after 34 matches.
  • Tusker sit 9th with 45 points from 34 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Tusker to win with probability 40%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Tusker, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Mathare United have one win, while one match ended in a draw.
favorite match
06:00

2026-02-14

Mathare United vs Tusker - Prediction & Odds

Mathare United
Mathare United
Tusker
Tusker
2026-02-14 06:00
29
31
40
2
1 - 1
1 - 1
1.75
2.25
FT
3-1 0-1
-
weather
27°C
STANDINGS UP TO 14/02/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia
69 34 20 9 5 50 22 28
02 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
64 34 19 7 8 44 28 16
03 Kenya Police FC Kenya Police FC
55 34 13 16 5 31 21 10
04 Nairobi United Nairobi United
53 34 14 11 9 44 34 10
05 Shabana FC Shabana FC
52 34 14 10 10 35 34 1
06 Kakamega Homeboyz Kakamega Homeboyz
49 34 12 13 9 47 37 10
07 KCB SC KCB SC
48 34 13 9 12 36 37 -1
08 Muranga Seal Muranga Seal
47 34 13 8 13 42 42 0
09 Tusker Tusker
45 34 13 6 15 27 32 -5
10 APS Bomet APS Bomet
44 34 11 11 12 37 35 2
11 Mara Sugar FC Mara Sugar FC
44 34 10 14 10 30 30 0
12 Bandari Bandari
44 34 9 17 8 26 26 0
13 Ulinzi Stars Nakuru Ulinzi Stars Nakuru
41 34 11 8 15 35 37 -2
14 Mathare United Mathare United
41 34 11 8 15 31 35 -4
15 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers
40 34 9 13 12 31 40 -9
16 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
38 34 8 14 12 30 33 -3
17 Bidco United Bidco United
27 34 5 12 17 19 40 -21
18 Sofapaka FC Sofapaka FC
19 34 3 10 21 19 51 -32
Head To Head
01/10/2025 05:00
Tusker Tusker
0 - 0
Mathare United Mathare United
KEN D1
27/04/2025 03:00
Mathare United Mathare United
2 - 1
Tusker Tusker
KEN D1
07/12/2024 05:00
Tusker Tusker
2 - 0
Mathare United Mathare United
KEN D1
12/04/2023 05:15
Mathare United Mathare United
0 - 2
Tusker Tusker
KEN D1
18/02/2023 05:00
Tusker Tusker
2 - 1
Mathare United Mathare United
KEN D1
28/05/2022 05:00
Mathare United Mathare United
0 - 2
Tusker Tusker
KEN D1
Mathare United
1
17%
Draw
1
17%
Tusker
4
67%
Mathare United Mathare United Last 6 matches
31/01/2026 04:00
Mathare United 1 - 2 KCB SC KEN D1
24/01/2026 05:00
Posta Rangers 1 - 1 Mathare United KEN D1
16/01/2026 06:00
Mathare United 1 - 0 Ulinzi Stars Nakuru KEN D1
10/01/2026 05:00
Mathare United 0 - 2 Muranga Seal KEN D1
21/12/2025 05:00
Bandari 1 - 0 Mathare United KEN D1
17/12/2025 05:00
Mathare United 1 - 0 Sofapaka FC KEN D1
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Tusker Tusker
31/01/2026 05:00
Tusker 1 - 1 Posta Rangers KEN D1
25/01/2026 05:00
KCB SC 1 - 2 Tusker KEN D1
17/01/2026 05:00
Tusker 1 - 2 Bandari KEN D1
11/01/2026 06:00
Tusker 0 - 4 AFC Leopards KEN D1
21/12/2025 04:00
APS Bomet 0 - 1 Tusker KEN D1
17/12/2025 04:00
Tusker 0 - 1 Nairobi United KEN D1
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Goals
Scored
30
Avg. per game
0.91
Conceded
33
Avg. per game
1.00
Scored
27
Avg. per game
0.82
Conceded
30
Avg. per game
0.91
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 33 matches
YesNo
21 (64%)12 (36%)
In last 33 matches
NoYes
21 (64%)12 (36%)
Mathare United

Mathare United

Recent matches

Tusker

Tusker

Under /Over

(58%)19 14(42%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(48%)16 17(52%)

Under /Over

(9%)3 30(91%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(21%)7 26(79%)

Under /Over

(42%)14 19(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(21%)7 26(79%)

/Yes

(36%)12 21(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)11 22(67%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Mathare United Mathare United
Tusker Tusker
Shots
Mathare United
Mathare United
Total shots
11.38 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Tusker
Tusker
Total shots
10.91 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Total passes
Avg. — / game
Accurate
Ball possession
51%
Total passes
Avg. — / game
Accurate
Ball possession
50%
OTHERS
Mathare United
Mathare United
33
Played games
Tusker
Tusker
33
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.36
12
Clean sheets
12
0.36
4.09
135
Corners
129
3.91
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.91
30
Offsides
45
1.36
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Mathare United
Mathare United
DISCIPLINARY
Tusker
Tusker
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.18
39
Yellow card
60
1.82
0.00
0
Red card
1
0.03
5.97
197
Fouls
255
7.73
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00