Marseille vs Toulouse: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 September

Marseille

D D W W L

8th place in France Ligue 1

0-0

17/09/2023 11:05

Toulouse

W D W L W

11th place in France Ligue 1

France Ligue 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Marseille vs Toulouse on 17 September 2023 (kick-off: 11:05) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Marseille vs Toulouse preview before placing your bet.

Marseille are currently 8th with 50 points after 34 matches.
Toulouse sit 11th with 43 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Marseille to win with probability 65%.
Head-to-head history favors Marseille, who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. Toulouse have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:05

2023-09-17

Marseille vs Toulouse - Prediction & Odds

Marseille

Toulouse

2023-09-17 11:05

STANDINGS UP TO 17/09/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	76	34	22	10	2	81	33	48
02 Monaco	67	34	20	7	7	68	42	26
03 Stade Brestois	61	34	17	10	7	53	34	19
04 Lille	59	34	16	11	7	52	34	18
05 Nice	55	34	15	10	9	40	29	11
06 Lyon	53	34	16	5	13	49	55	-6
07 Lens	51	34	14	9	11	45	37	8
08 Marseille	50	34	13	11	10	52	41	11
09 Reims	47	34	13	8	13	42	47	-5
10 Rennes	46	34	12	10	12	53	46	7
11 Toulouse	43	34	11	10	13	42	46	-4
12 Montpellier	41	34	10	12	12	43	48	-5
13 Strasbourg	39	34	10	9	15	38	50	-12
14 Nantes	33	34	9	6	19	30	55	-25
15 Le Havre	32	34	7	11	16	34	45	-11
16 Metz	29	34	8	5	21	35	58	-23
17 Lorient	29	34	7	8	19	43	66	-23
18 Clermont	25	34	5	10	19	26	60	-34

Head To Head

19/02/2023 15:45

Toulouse

2 - 3

Marseille

FRA D1

29/12/2022 16:00

Marseille

6 - 1

Toulouse

FRA D1

08/02/2020 12:30

Marseille

1 - 0

Toulouse

FRA D1

24/11/2019 16:00

Toulouse

0 - 2

Marseille

FRA D1

18/05/2019 15:00

Toulouse

2 - 5

Marseille

FRA D1

10/08/2018 14:45

Marseille

4 - 0

Toulouse

FRA D1

Marseille

100%

Draw

Toulouse

Marseille Last 6 matches

01/09/2023 15:00

Nantes 1 - 1 Marseille FRA D1

26/08/2023 13:00

Marseille 2 - 0 Stade Brestois FRA D1

18/08/2023 15:00

Metz 2 - 2 Marseille FRA D1

15/08/2023 15:00

Marseille 2 - 1 Panathinaikos UEFA CL

12/08/2023 11:00

Marseille 2 - 1 Reims FRA D1

09/08/2023 14:00

Panathinaikos 1 - 0 Marseille UEFA CL

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Toulouse

03/09/2023 07:00

Toulouse 2 - 2 Clermont FRA D1

27/08/2023 09:00

Strasbourg 2 - 0 Toulouse FRA D1

19/08/2023 15:00

Toulouse 1 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1

13/08/2023 09:00

Nantes 1 - 2 Toulouse FRA D1

06/08/2023 13:30

Toulouse 2 - 1 AS Roma INT CF

29/07/2023 06:00

Toulouse 2 - 1 Osasuna INT CF

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 1

Played games

Goals

Scored

525

Avg. per game

1.75

Conceded

364

Avg. per game

1.21

Scored

464

Avg. per game

1.61

Conceded

365

Avg. per game

1.26

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

239 (80%)61 (20%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

223 (77%)66 (23%)

Marseille

Recent matches

Toulouse

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Marseille

Toulouse

Shots

Marseille

Total shots

13.20 avg / game

Blocked

796 total

Avg. 3.52

Toulouse

Total shots

11.65 avg / game

Blocked

544 total

Avg. 3.18

Marseille Pass Toulouse

Total passes

138946

Avg. 541 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

87470

Avg. 437 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Marseille

300

Played games

Toulouse

289

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.31

5.37

1612

Corners

1282

4.44

14.86

4458

Throw-ins

2950

10.21

1.57

471

Offsides

457

1.58

2.30

689

GK saves

621

2.15

Marseille

DISCIPLINARY

Toulouse

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.84

552

488

1.69

0.12

0.08

10.46

3137

Fouls

3502

12.12

12.89

3867

Tackles

3125

10.81

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Marseille vs Toulouse on 17 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Marseille vs Toulouse Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Marseille's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toulouse's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Marseille and Toulouse sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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