Marseille vs Lorient: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 12 May

Marseille
DDWWL
8th place in France Ligue 1
1
3-1
FT
12/05/2024 15:00
Lorient
LLLLL
17th place in France Ligue 1
France Ligue 1
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Marseille vs Lorient on 12 May 2024 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Marseille vs Lorient preview before placing your bet.

  • Marseille will face Lorient in France Ligue 1 on May 12, 2024 at 15:00.
  • Marseille are currently 8th with 50 points after 34 matches.
  • Lorient sit 17th with 29 points from 34 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.35.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
15:00

2024-05-12

Marseille vs Lorient - Prediction & Odds

Marseille
Marseille
Lorient
Lorient
2024-05-12 15:00
67
19
14
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
3.00
1.35
FT
3-1 2-1
-
weather
19℃～20℃
STANDINGS UP TO 12/05/2024
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
76 34 22 10 2 81 33 48
02 Monaco Monaco
67 34 20 7 7 68 42 26
03 Stade Brestois Stade Brestois
61 34 17 10 7 53 34 19
04 Lille Lille
59 34 16 11 7 52 34 18
05 Nice Nice
55 34 15 10 9 40 29 11
06 Lyon Lyon
53 34 16 5 13 49 55 -6
07 Lens Lens
51 34 14 9 11 45 37 8
08 Marseille Marseille
50 34 13 11 10 52 41 11
09 Reims Reims
47 34 13 8 13 42 47 -5
10 Rennes Rennes
46 34 12 10 12 53 46 7
11 Toulouse Toulouse
43 34 11 10 13 42 46 -4
12 Montpellier Montpellier
41 34 10 12 12 43 48 -5
13 Strasbourg Strasbourg
39 34 10 9 15 38 50 -12
14 Nantes Nantes
33 34 9 6 19 30 55 -25
15 Le Havre Le Havre
32 34 7 11 16 34 45 -11
16 Metz Metz
29 34 8 5 21 35 58 -23
17 Lorient Lorient
29 34 7 8 19 43 66 -23
18 Clermont Clermont
25 34 5 10 19 26 60 -34
Head To Head
10/12/2023 15:45
Lorient Lorient
2 - 4
Marseille Marseille
FRA D1
09/04/2023 14:45
Lorient Lorient
0 - 0
Marseille Marseille
FRA D1
14/01/2023 14:00
Marseille Marseille
3 - 1
Lorient Lorient
FRA D1
08/05/2022 11:05
Lorient Lorient
0 - 3
Marseille Marseille
FRA D1
17/10/2021 14:45
Marseille Marseille
4 - 1
Lorient Lorient
FRA D1
17/04/2021 11:00
Marseille Marseille
3 - 2
Lorient Lorient
FRA D1
Lorient
3
50%
Draw
1
17%
Marseille
2
33%
Marseille Marseille Last 6 matches
02/05/2024 15:00
Marseille 1 - 1 Atalanta
UEFA EL
28/04/2024 15:00
Marseille 2 - 1 Lens
FRA D1
24/04/2024 15:00
Marseille 2 - 2 Nice
FRA D1
21/04/2024 13:15
Toulouse 2 - 2 Marseille
FRA D1
18/04/2024 15:00
Marseille 1 - 0 Benfica
UEFA EL
11/04/2024 15:00
Benfica 2 - 1 Marseille
UEFA EL
Win
33%
Draw
50%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Lorient Lorient
03/05/2024 15:00
Lens 2 - 0 Lorient
FRA D1
28/04/2024 09:00
Lorient 1 - 2 Toulouse
FRA D1
24/04/2024 13:00
Lorient 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
FRA D1
19/04/2024 15:00
Nice 3 - 0 Lorient
FRA D1
07/04/2024 09:00
Montpellier 2 - 0 Lorient
FRA D1
31/03/2024 07:00
Lorient 0 - 1 Stade Brestois
FRA D1
Win
0%
Draw
0%
Lost
100%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Marseille
Marseille
34
 Lorient
Lorient
34
Goals
Scored
23
Avg. per game
0.68
Conceded
23
Avg. per game
0.68
Scored
24
Avg. per game
0.71
Conceded
40
Avg. per game
1.18
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 34 matches
YesNo
18 (53%)16 (47%)
In last 34 matches
NoYes
16 (47%)18 (53%)
Marseille

Marseille

Recent matches

Lorient

Lorient

Under /Over

(79%)27 7(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)28 6(18%)

Under /Over

(41%)14 20(59%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)15 19(56%)

Under /Over

(32%)11 23(68%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(68%)23 11(32%)

/Yes

(56%)19 15(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)18 16(47%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Marseille Marseille
Lorient Lorient
Shots
Marseille
Marseille
Total shots
14.15 avg / game
Blocked
108 total
Avg. 3.38
Lorient
Lorient
Total shots
10.97 avg / game
Blocked
87 total
Avg. 2.72
Marseille Marseille Pass Lorient Lorient
Total passes
16455
Avg. 484 / game
Accurate
84%
Ball possession
54%
Total passes
14958
Avg. 440 / game
Accurate
83%
Ball possession
46%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Marseille
Marseille
3570
Avg. 105.00 / game
 Lorient
Lorient
3179
Avg. 93.50 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Marseille
Marseille
1751
Avg. 51.50 / game
 Lorient
Lorient
1482
Avg. 43.59 / game
OTHERS
Marseille
Marseille
34
Played games
Lorient
Lorient
34
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.21
7
Clean sheets
4
0.12
5.41
184
Corners
135
3.97
18.38
625
Throw-ins
555
16.32
2.03
69
Offsides
57
1.68
2.79
95
GK saves
144
4.24
Marseille
Marseille
DISCIPLINARY
Lorient
Lorient
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.79
61
Yellow card
66
1.94
0.15
5
Red card
1
0.03
10.97
373
Fouls
402
11.82
17.79
605
Tackles
538
15.82
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How We Build the Marseille vs Lorient Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Marseille vs Lorient on 12 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Marseille vs Lorient Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Marseille's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lorient's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Marseille and Lorient sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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