Marseille vs Lens: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 April

Marseille
DDWWL
8th place in France Ligue 1
1
2-1
FT
28/04/2024 15:00
Lens
LWLWD
7th place in France Ligue 1
France Ligue 1
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Marseille vs Lens on 28 April 2024 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Marseille vs Lens preview before placing your bet.

  • Marseille will face Lens in France Ligue 1 on April 28, 2024 at 15:00.
  • Marseille are currently 8th with 50 points after 34 matches.
  • Lens sit 7th with 51 points from 34 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.27.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
15:00

2024-04-28

Marseille vs Lens - Prediction & Odds

Marseille
Marseille
Lens
Lens
2024-04-28 15:00
40
27
33
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.50
2.27
FT
2-1 1-0
-
weather
15℃～16℃
STANDINGS UP TO 28/04/2024
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
76 34 22 10 2 81 33 48
02 Monaco Monaco
67 34 20 7 7 68 42 26
03 Stade Brestois Stade Brestois
61 34 17 10 7 53 34 19
04 Lille Lille
59 34 16 11 7 52 34 18
05 Nice Nice
55 34 15 10 9 40 29 11
06 Lyon Lyon
53 34 16 5 13 49 55 -6
07 Lens Lens
51 34 14 9 11 45 37 8
08 Marseille Marseille
50 34 13 11 10 52 41 11
09 Reims Reims
47 34 13 8 13 42 47 -5
10 Rennes Rennes
46 34 12 10 12 53 46 7
11 Toulouse Toulouse
43 34 11 10 13 42 46 -4
12 Montpellier Montpellier
41 34 10 12 12 43 48 -5
13 Strasbourg Strasbourg
39 34 10 9 15 38 50 -12
14 Nantes Nantes
33 34 9 6 19 30 55 -25
15 Le Havre Le Havre
32 34 7 11 16 34 45 -11
16 Metz Metz
29 34 8 5 21 35 58 -23
17 Lorient Lorient
29 34 7 8 19 43 66 -23
18 Clermont Clermont
25 34 5 10 19 26 60 -34
Head To Head
12/11/2023 15:45
Lens Lens
1 - 0
Marseille Marseille
FRA D1
06/05/2023 15:00
Lens Lens
2 - 1
Marseille Marseille
FRA D1
22/10/2022 15:00
Marseille Marseille
0 - 1
Lens Lens
FRA D1
22/01/2022 16:00
Lens Lens
0 - 2
Marseille Marseille
FRA D1
26/09/2021 14:45
Marseille Marseille
2 - 3
Lens Lens
FRA D1
03/02/2021 16:00
Lens Lens
2 - 2
Marseille Marseille
FRA D1
Lens
2
33%
Draw
1
17%
Marseille
3
50%
Marseille Marseille Last 6 matches
21/04/2024 13:15
Toulouse 2 - 2 Marseille
FRA D1
18/04/2024 15:00
Marseille 1 - 0 Benfica
UEFA EL
11/04/2024 15:00
Benfica 2 - 1 Marseille
UEFA EL
05/04/2024 15:00
Lille 3 - 1 Marseille
FRA D1
31/03/2024 14:45
Marseille 0 - 2 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
FRA D1
17/03/2024 12:05
Rennes 2 - 0 Marseille
FRA D1
Win
17%
Draw
17%
Lost
67%
Last 6 matches Lens Lens
20/04/2024 15:00
Lens 1 - 0 Clermont
FRA D1
12/04/2024 15:00
Metz 2 - 1 Lens
FRA D1
06/04/2024 11:00
Lens 1 - 1 Le Havre
FRA D1
29/03/2024 16:00
Lille 2 - 1 Lens
FRA D1
16/03/2024 16:00
Lens 1 - 3 Nice
FRA D1
09/03/2024 16:00
Lens 1 - 0 Stade Brestois
FRA D1
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Marseille
Marseille
34
 Lens
Lens
34
Goals
Scored
29
Avg. per game
0.85
Conceded
18
Avg. per game
0.53
Scored
20
Avg. per game
0.59
Conceded
18
Avg. per game
0.53
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 34 matches
YesNo
20 (59%)14 (41%)
In last 34 matches
NoYes
17 (50%)17 (50%)
Marseille

Marseille

Recent matches

Lens

Lens

Under /Over

(79%)27 7(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)25 9(26%)

Under /Over

(41%)14 20(59%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(26%)9 25(74%)

Under /Over

(32%)11 23(68%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)15 19(56%)

/Yes

(56%)19 15(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)16 18(53%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Marseille Marseille
Lens Lens
Shots
Marseille
Marseille
Total shots
14.15 avg / game
Blocked
108 total
Avg. 3.38
Lens
Lens
Total shots
14.71 avg / game
Blocked
118 total
Avg. 3.81
Marseille Marseille Pass Lens Lens
Total passes
16455
Avg. 484 / game
Accurate
84%
Ball possession
54%
Total passes
16452
Avg. 484 / game
Accurate
83%
Ball possession
53%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Marseille
Marseille
3570
Avg. 105.00 / game
 Lens
Lens
3750
Avg. 110.29 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Marseille
Marseille
1751
Avg. 51.50 / game
 Lens
Lens
1738
Avg. 51.12 / game
OTHERS
Marseille
Marseille
34
Played games
Lens
Lens
34
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.21
7
Clean sheets
14
0.41
5.41
184
Corners
176
5.18
18.38
625
Throw-ins
635
18.68
2.03
69
Offsides
74
2.18
2.79
95
GK saves
103
3.03
Marseille
Marseille
DISCIPLINARY
Lens
Lens
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.79
61
Yellow card
76
2.24
0.15
5
Red card
4
0.12
10.97
373
Fouls
444
13.06
17.79
605
Tackles
563
16.56
NEXT MATCHES
07/25
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VS
Nice Nice
INT
08/23
Marseille Marseille
VS
Strasbourg Strasbourg
FRA
08/29
Monaco Monaco
VS
Marseille Marseille
FRA
09/05
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VS
Paris FC Paris FC
FRA
09/12
Rennes Rennes
VS
Marseille Marseille
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NEXT MATCHES
07/25
Lens Lens
VS
Charleroi Charleroi
INT
08/16
Lens Lens
VS
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
FRA
08/23
Lens Lens
VS
AJ Auxerre AJ Auxerre
FRA
08/29
Strasbourg Strasbourg
VS
Lens Lens
FRA
09/05
Lens Lens
VS
Lorient Lorient
FRA

How We Build the Marseille vs Lens Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Marseille vs Lens on 28 April 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Marseille vs Lens Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Marseille's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lens's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Marseille and Lens sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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