Marseille vs AEK Athens: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 October

Marseille

L W D L L

2nd place in Group B

3-1

26/10/2023 12:45

AEK Athens

W W D L W

4th place in Group B

UEFA Europa League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Marseille vs AEK Athens on 26 October 2023 (kick-off: 12:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Marseille vs AEK Athens preview before placing your bet.

Marseille are currently 2nd with 11 points after 6 matches.
AEK Athens sit 4th with 4 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Marseille to win with probability 56%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:45

2023-10-26

Marseille vs AEK Athens - Prediction & Odds

Marseille

AEK Athens

2023-10-26 12:45

STANDINGS UP TO 26/10/2023

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Brighton Hove Albion	13	6	4	1	1	10	5	5
02 Marseille	11	6	3	2	1	14	10	4
03 AFC Ajax	5	6	1	2	3	10	13	-3
04 AEK Athens	4	6	1	1	4	6	12	-6

Marseille Last 6 matches

21/10/2023 15:00

Nice 1 - 0 Marseille FRA D1

08/10/2023 07:00

Marseille 3 - 0 Le Havre FRA D1

05/10/2023 12:45

Marseille 2 - 2 Brighton Hove Albion UEFA EL

30/09/2023 15:00

Monaco 3 - 2 Marseille FRA D1

24/09/2023 14:45

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 4 - 0 Marseille FRA D1

21/09/2023 15:00

AFC Ajax 3 - 3 Marseille UEFA EL

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches AEK Athens

22/10/2023 09:00

Asteras Tripolis 0 - 3 AEK Athens GRE D1

08/10/2023 12:30

AEK Athens 3 - 0 Panaitolikos Agrinio GRE D1

05/10/2023 12:45

AEK Athens 1 - 1 AFC Ajax UEFA EL

02/10/2023 13:00

OFI Crete 2 - 0 AEK Athens GRE D1

28/09/2023 14:00

AEK Athens 2 - 1 Atromitos Athens GRE D1

25/09/2023 14:00

Panathinaikos 1 - 2 AEK Athens GRE D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Europa League

Played games

Goals

Scored

525

Avg. per game

1.75

Conceded

364

Avg. per game

1.21

Scored

512

Avg. per game

1.71

Conceded

292

Avg. per game

0.97

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

239 (80%)61 (20%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

248 (83%)52 (17%)

Marseille

Recent matches

AEK Athens

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Marseille

AEK Athens

Shots

Marseille

Total shots

13.16 avg / game

Blocked

797 total

Avg. 3.51

AEK Athens

Total shots

14.80 avg / game

Blocked

473 total

Avg. 4.19

Marseille Pass AEK Athens

Total passes

139301

Avg. 540 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

72983

Avg. 459 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Marseille

300

Played games

AEK Athens

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

131

0.44

5.36

1608

Corners

1702

5.67

14.94

4482

Throw-ins

2400

8.00

1.57

472

Offsides

468

1.56

2.31

692

GK saves

573

1.91

Marseille

DISCIPLINARY

AEK Athens

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.85

555

674

2.25

0.12

0.07

10.53

3159

Fouls

3778

12.59

12.97

3890

Tackles

1682

5.61

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Marseille vs AEK Athens Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Marseille vs AEK Athens on 26 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Europa League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Marseille vs AEK Athens Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Marseille's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AEK Athens's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Europa League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Europa League standings and the UEFA Europa League form table to understand exactly where Marseille and AEK Athens sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Europa League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More UEFA Europa League Predictions

Find every upcoming UEFA Europa League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less