Manchester City vs Newcastle United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 February

Manchester City

W D W W D

2nd place in English Premier League

2-1

21/02/2026 16:00

Newcastle United

L L W D W

12th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Manchester City vs Newcastle United on 21 February 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Manchester City vs Newcastle United preview before placing your bet.

Manchester City are currently 2nd with 78 points after 38 matches.
Newcastle United sit 12th with 49 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Manchester City to win with probability 64%.
Head-to-head history favors Manchester City, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Newcastle United have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2026-02-21

Manchester City vs Newcastle United - Prediction & Odds

Manchester City

Newcastle United

2026-02-21 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	85	38	26	7	5	71	27	44
02 Manchester City	78	38	23	9	6	77	35	42
03 Manchester United	71	38	20	11	7	69	50	19
04 Aston Villa	65	38	19	8	11	56	49	7
05 Liverpool	60	38	17	9	12	63	53	10
06 AFC Bournemouth	57	38	13	18	7	58	54	4
07 Sunderland A.F.C	54	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6
08 Brighton Hove Albion	53	38	14	11	13	52	46	6
09 Brentford	53	38	14	11	13	55	52	3
10 Chelsea	52	38	14	10	14	58	52	6
11 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	47	51	-4
12 Newcastle United	49	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2
13 Everton	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
14 Leeds United	47	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7
15 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	41	51	-10
16 Nottingham Forest	44	38	11	11	16	48	51	-3
17 Tottenham Hotspur	41	38	10	11	17	48	57	-9
18 West Ham United	39	38	10	9	19	46	65	-19
19 Burnley	22	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37
20 Wolves	20	38	3	11	24	27	68	-41

Head To Head

04/02/2026 16:00

Manchester City

3 - 1

Newcastle United

ENG LC

13/01/2026 16:00

Newcastle United

0 - 2

Manchester City

ENG LC

22/11/2025 13:30

Newcastle United

2 - 1

Manchester City

ENG PR

15/02/2025 11:00

Manchester City

4 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

28/09/2024 07:30

Newcastle United

1 - 1

Manchester City

ENG PR

16/03/2024 13:30

Manchester City

2 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG FAC

Manchester City

67%

Draw

17%

Newcastle United

17%

Manchester City Last 6 matches

14/02/2026 11:00

Manchester City 2 - 0 Salford City ENG FAC

11/02/2026 15:30

Manchester City 3 - 0 Fulham ENG PR

08/02/2026 12:30

Liverpool 1 - 2 Manchester City ENG PR

04/02/2026 16:00

Manchester City 3 - 1 Newcastle United ENG LC

01/02/2026 12:30

Tottenham Hotspur 2 - 2 Manchester City ENG PR

28/01/2026 16:00

Manchester City 2 - 0 Galatasaray UEFA CL

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Newcastle United

14/02/2026 13:45

Aston Villa 1 - 3 Newcastle United ENG FAC

10/02/2026 15:30

Tottenham Hotspur 1 - 2 Newcastle United ENG PR

07/02/2026 13:30

Newcastle United 2 - 3 Brentford ENG PR

04/02/2026 16:00

Manchester City 3 - 1 Newcastle United ENG LC

31/01/2026 16:00

Liverpool 4 - 1 Newcastle United ENG PR

28/01/2026 16:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 1 - 1 Newcastle United UEFA CL

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Manchester City

Newcastle United

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.95

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.89

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

21 (55%)17 (45%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

18 (47%)20 (53%)

Manchester City

Recent matches

Newcastle United

Under /Over

(87%)33 5(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)29 9(24%)

Under /Over

(42%)16 22(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(34%)13 25(66%)

Under /Over

(47%)18 20(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(58%)22 16(42%)

/Yes

(50%)19 19(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(66%)25 13(34%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Manchester City

Newcastle United

Shots

Manchester City

Total shots

15.70 avg / game

Blocked

172 total

Avg. 4.65

Newcastle United

Total shots

13.00 avg / game

Blocked

145 total

Avg. 3.82

Manchester City Pass Newcastle United

Total passes

21199

Avg. 573 / game

Accurate

88%

Ball possession

60%

Total passes

16767

Avg. 441 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Manchester City

Played games

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.42

Clean sheets

0.21

6.18

235

Corners

231

6.08

16.76

637

Throw-ins

692

18.21

1.16

Offsides

1.29

2.37

GK saves

113

2.97

Manchester City

DISCIPLINARY

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.74

1.76

0.00

0.08

9.39

357

Fouls

378

9.95

8.84

336

Tackles

349

9.18

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Manchester City vs Newcastle United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Manchester City vs Newcastle United on 21 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Manchester City vs Newcastle United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Manchester City's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Newcastle United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Manchester City and Newcastle United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More English Premier League Predictions

Find every upcoming English Premier League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less