Manchester City vs Newcastle United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 March

Manchester City

W W W W D

1st place in English Premier League

2-0

04/03/2023 08:30

Newcastle United

W L D W D

4th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Manchester City vs Newcastle United on 04 March 2023 (kick-off: 08:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Manchester City vs Newcastle United preview before placing your bet.

Manchester City are currently 1st with 89 points after 38 matches.
Newcastle United sit 4th with 71 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Manchester City to win with probability 65%.
Head-to-head history favors Manchester City, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Newcastle United have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:30

2023-03-04

Manchester City vs Newcastle United - Prediction & Odds

Manchester City

Newcastle United

2023-03-04 08:30

STANDINGS UP TO 04/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	89	38	28	5	5	94	33	61
02 Arsenal	84	38	26	6	6	88	43	45
03 Manchester United	75	38	23	6	9	58	43	15
04 Newcastle United	71	38	19	14	5	68	33	35
05 Liverpool	67	38	19	10	9	75	47	28
06 Brighton Hove Albion	62	38	18	8	12	72	53	19
07 Aston Villa	61	38	18	7	13	51	46	5
08 Tottenham Hotspur	60	38	18	6	14	70	63	7
09 Brentford	59	38	15	14	9	58	46	12
10 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	55	53	2
11 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	40	49	-9
12 Chelsea	44	38	11	11	16	38	47	-9
13 Wolves	41	38	11	8	19	31	58	-27
14 West Ham United	40	38	11	7	20	42	55	-13
15 AFC Bournemouth	39	38	11	6	21	37	71	-34
16 Nottingham Forest	38	38	9	11	18	38	68	-30
17 Everton	36	38	8	12	18	34	57	-23
18 Leicester City	34	38	9	7	22	51	68	-17
19 Leeds United	31	38	7	10	21	48	78	-30
20 Southampton	25	38	6	7	25	36	73	-37

Head To Head

21/08/2022 11:30

Newcastle United

3 - 3

Manchester City

ENG PR

08/05/2022 11:30

Manchester City

5 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

19/12/2021 10:00

Newcastle United

0 - 4

Manchester City

ENG PR

14/05/2021 15:00

Newcastle United

3 - 4

Manchester City

ENG PR

26/12/2020 16:00

Manchester City

2 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

08/07/2020 13:00

Manchester City

5 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

Manchester City

83%

Draw

17%

Newcastle United

Manchester City Last 6 matches

22/02/2023 16:00

RB Leipzig 1 - 1 Manchester City UEFA CL

18/02/2023 11:00

Nottingham Forest 1 - 1 Manchester City ENG PR

15/02/2023 15:30

Arsenal 1 - 3 Manchester City ENG PR

12/02/2023 12:30

Manchester City 3 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

05/02/2023 12:30

Tottenham Hotspur 1 - 0 Manchester City ENG PR

27/01/2023 16:00

Manchester City 1 - 0 Arsenal ENG FAC

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Newcastle United

18/02/2023 13:30

Newcastle United 0 - 2 Liverpool ENG PR

11/02/2023 13:30

AFC Bournemouth 1 - 1 Newcastle United ENG PR

04/02/2023 13:30

Newcastle United 1 - 1 West Ham United ENG PR

31/01/2023 16:00

Newcastle United 2 - 1 Southampton ENG LC

24/01/2023 16:00

Southampton 0 - 1 Newcastle United ENG LC

21/01/2023 13:30

Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Manchester City

Newcastle United

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored

Avg. per game

0.95

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

26 (68%)12 (32%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

20 (53%)18 (47%)

Manchester City

Recent matches

Newcastle United

Under /Over

(82%)31 7(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)28 10(26%)

Under /Over

(55%)21 17(45%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(37%)14 24(63%)

Under /Over

(45%)17 21(55%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)18 20(53%)

/Yes

(58%)22 16(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)20 18(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Manchester City

Newcastle United

Shots

Manchester City

Total shots

15.79 avg / game

Blocked

153 total

Avg. 4.37

Newcastle United

Total shots

15.03 avg / game

Blocked

160 total

Avg. 4.44

Manchester City Pass Newcastle United

Total passes

24799

Avg. 653 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

65%

Total passes

15822

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Manchester City

Played games

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.37

6.29

239

Corners

270

7.11

16.11

612

Throw-ins

728

19.16

1.39

Offsides

1.95

1.66

GK saves

2.61

Manchester City

DISCIPLINARY

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.16

1.58

0.03

0.03

9.13

347

Fouls

405

10.66

12.21

464

Tackles

610

16.05

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Manchester City vs Newcastle United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Manchester City vs Newcastle United on 04 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Manchester City vs Newcastle United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Manchester City's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Newcastle United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Manchester City and Newcastle United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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