Manchester City vs Chelsea: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 January

Manchester City

W D W W D

2nd place in English Premier League

1-1

04/01/2026 13:30

Chelsea

L L L D W

10th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Manchester City vs Chelsea on 04 January 2026 (kick-off: 13:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Manchester City vs Chelsea preview before placing your bet.

Manchester City are currently 2nd with 78 points after 38 matches.
Chelsea sit 10th with 52 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Manchester City to win with probability 54%.
Head-to-head history favors Manchester City, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Chelsea have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:30

2026-01-04

Manchester City vs Chelsea - Prediction & Odds

Manchester City

Chelsea

2026-01-04 13:30

STANDINGS UP TO 04/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	85	38	26	7	5	71	27	44
02 Manchester City	78	38	23	9	6	77	35	42
03 Manchester United	71	38	20	11	7	69	50	19
04 Aston Villa	65	38	19	8	11	56	49	7
05 Liverpool	60	38	17	9	12	63	53	10
06 AFC Bournemouth	57	38	13	18	7	58	54	4
07 Sunderland A.F.C	54	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6
08 Brighton Hove Albion	53	38	14	11	13	52	46	6
09 Brentford	53	38	14	11	13	55	52	3
10 Chelsea	52	38	14	10	14	58	52	6
11 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	47	51	-4
12 Newcastle United	49	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2
13 Everton	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
14 Leeds United	47	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7
15 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	41	51	-10
16 Nottingham Forest	44	38	11	11	16	48	51	-3
17 Tottenham Hotspur	41	38	10	11	17	48	57	-9
18 West Ham United	39	38	10	9	19	46	65	-19
19 Burnley	22	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37
20 Wolves	20	38	3	11	24	27	68	-41

Head To Head

25/01/2025 13:30

Manchester City

3 - 1

Chelsea

ENG PR

18/08/2024 11:30

Chelsea

0 - 2

Manchester City

ENG PR

03/08/2024 17:30

Manchester City

4 - 2

Chelsea

INT CF

20/04/2024 12:15

Manchester City

1 - 0

Chelsea

ENG FAC

17/02/2024 13:30

Manchester City

1 - 1

Chelsea

ENG PR

12/11/2023 12:30

Chelsea

4 - 4

Manchester City

ENG PR

Manchester City

67%

Draw

33%

Chelsea

Manchester City Last 6 matches

01/01/2026 16:00

Sunderland A.F.C 0 - 0 Manchester City ENG PR

27/12/2025 08:30

Nottingham Forest 1 - 2 Manchester City ENG PR

20/12/2025 11:00

Manchester City 3 - 0 West Ham United ENG PR

17/12/2025 15:30

Manchester City 2 - 0 Brentford ENG LC

14/12/2025 10:00

Crystal Palace 0 - 3 Manchester City ENG PR

10/12/2025 16:00

Real Madrid 1 - 2 Manchester City UEFA CL

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Chelsea

30/12/2025 15:30

Chelsea 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

27/12/2025 13:30

Chelsea 1 - 2 Aston Villa ENG PR

20/12/2025 08:30

Newcastle United 2 - 2 Chelsea ENG PR

16/12/2025 16:00

Cardiff City 1 - 3 Chelsea ENG LC

13/12/2025 11:00

Chelsea 2 - 0 Everton ENG PR

09/12/2025 16:00

Atalanta 2 - 1 Chelsea UEFA CL

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Manchester City

Chelsea

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.95

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.74

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

21 (55%)17 (45%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

21 (55%)17 (45%)

Manchester City

Recent matches

Chelsea

Under /Over

(87%)33 5(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)33 5(13%)

Under /Over

(42%)16 22(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(34%)13 25(66%)

Under /Over

(47%)18 20(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(55%)21 17(45%)

/Yes

(50%)19 19(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(63%)24 14(37%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Manchester City

Chelsea

Shots

Manchester City

Total shots

15.70 avg / game

Blocked

172 total

Avg. 4.65

Chelsea

Total shots

13.39 avg / game

Blocked

166 total

Avg. 4.37

Manchester City Pass Chelsea

Total passes

21199

Avg. 573 / game

Accurate

88%

Ball possession

60%

Total passes

20170

Avg. 531 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Manchester City

Played games

Chelsea

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.42

Clean sheets

0.24

6.18

235

Corners

227

5.97

16.76

637

Throw-ins

600

15.79

1.16

Offsides

1.55

2.37

GK saves

106

2.79

Manchester City

DISCIPLINARY

Chelsea

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.74

2.58

0.00

0.21

9.39

357

Fouls

419

11.03

8.84

336

Tackles

336

8.84

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Manchester City vs Chelsea on 04 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Manchester City vs Chelsea Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Manchester City's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Chelsea's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Manchester City and Chelsea sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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