Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 January

Betiball's prediction for Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao on 17 January 2026 (kick-off: 11:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao preview before placing your bet.

Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao: Starting Lineups Time : 17/01/2026 11:15

Mallorca
3 - 2
Finished
Athletic Bilbao
90+2' event Javi Llabres / Sergi Darder
83' event Pablo Torre / Jan Virgili
83' event Johan Andres Mojica Palacio / Antonio Latorre Grueso
73' event Antonio Sanchez Navarro / Mateo Joseph
69' event Vedat Muriqi
66' event Vedat Muriqi Penalty awarded
42' event Vedat Muriqi
42' event Vedat Muriqi
39' event Mateo Joseph Penalty awarded
18' event Marash Kumbulla
5' event Vedat Muriqi
event 76' Gorosabel / Jesus Areso
event 76' Urko Izeta / Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria
event 73' Oihan Sancet
event 72' Robert Navarro / Nico Williams
event 70' Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez
event 59' Oihan Sancet / Unai Gomez
event 59' Inaki Williams Dannis / Alejandro Berenguer Remiro
event 45+5' Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez
event 45+4' Jesus Areso
event 45' Nico Williams
event 40' Daniel Vivian Moreno
event 8' Unai Gomez
90+2' event Javi Llabres / Sergi Darder
event 76' Gorosabel / Jesus Areso
83' event Pablo Torre / Jan Virgili
event 76' Urko Izeta / Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria
83' event Johan Andres Mojica Palacio / Antonio Latorre Grueso
event 73' Oihan Sancet
73' event Antonio Sanchez Navarro / Mateo Joseph
event 72' Robert Navarro / Nico Williams
69' event Vedat Muriqi
event 70' Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez
66' event Vedat Muriqi Penalty awarded
event 59' Oihan Sancet / Unai Gomez
42' event Vedat Muriqi
event 59' Inaki Williams Dannis / Alejandro Berenguer Remiro
42' event Vedat Muriqi
event 45+5' Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez
39' event Mateo Joseph Penalty awarded
event 45+4' Jesus Areso
18' event Marash Kumbulla
event 45' Nico Williams
5' event Vedat Muriqi
event 40' Daniel Vivian Moreno
event 8' Unai Gomez
Mallorca Mallorca
Substitutions
#22 Johan Andres Mojica Palacio
#6 Antonio Sanchez Navarro
#19 Javi Llabres
#20 Pablo Torre
#13 Lucas Bergstrom
#30 Justin Noel Kalumba
#26 Iliesse Salhi
#11 Takuma Asano
#21 Antonio Jose Raillo Arenas
#9 Abdon Prats Bastidas
#25 Ivan Cuellar Sacristan
#27 David Lopez
Mallorca Mallorca Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
18Shots21
9Shots on Goal11
10Fouls10
3Corner Kick7
8Free kick10
2Offside0
1Yellow card5
0Red card1
44Aerial48
9Save6
18Successful Tackles10
8Interceptions9
31Long pass26
1Assist2
4Successful center8
4Substitution5
8Shots off goal5
28Head Success18
1Blocked5
11Tackle4
6Dribbles7
16Throw-in22
473Passes434
79Attacks139
26Dangerous attacks63
0Corner Kicks(HT)3
5BigChances4
2BigChancesMissed3
13ShotsInsideBox16
4ShotsOutsideBox5
61DuelsWon45
2.59ExpectedGoals2.13
0.65xGOpenPlay1.9
1.02xGNonPenalty2.13
3.66xGOT3.82
18Touches In Opposition Box28
6AccurateCrosses26
33GroundDuelsWon28
28AerialDuelsWon17
37Clearances14
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
Substitutions
#9 Inaki Williams Dannis
#2 Gorosabel
#8 Oihan Sancet
#23 Robert Navarro
#25 Urko Izeta
#15 Inigo Lekue Martinez
#27 Alex Padilla
#19 Adama Boiro
#30 Alejandro Rego
#47 Iker Monreal
#44 Selton Sanchez
Commentary
90+2' Mallorca — substitution: Javi Llabres / Sergi Darder
83' Mallorca — substitution: Pablo Torre / Jan Virgili
83' Mallorca — substitution: Johan Andres Mojica Palacio / Antonio Latorre Grueso
76' Athletic Bilbao — substitution: Gorosabel / Jesus Areso
76' Athletic Bilbao — substitution: Urko Izeta / Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria
73' Mallorca — substitution: Antonio Sanchez Navarro / Mateo Joseph
73' Oihan Sancet - Athletic Bilbao receive a yellow card
72' Athletic Bilbao — substitution: Robert Navarro / Nico Williams
70' Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez - Athletic Bilbao receive second yellow card
69' Penalty scored! Vedat Muriqi - Mallorca
66' VAR review - Mallorca
59' Athletic Bilbao — substitution: Oihan Sancet / Unai Gomez
59' Athletic Bilbao — substitution: Inaki Williams Dannis / Alejandro Berenguer Remiro
45+5' Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez - Athletic Bilbao receive a yellow card
45+4' Jesus Areso - Athletic Bilbao receive a yellow card
45' Goal! Nico Williams - Athletic Bilbao
42' Penalty missed! Vedat Muriqi - Mallorca
42' Goal! Vedat Muriqi - Mallorca
40' Daniel Vivian Moreno - Athletic Bilbao receive a yellow card
39' VAR review - Mallorca
18' Marash Kumbulla - Mallorca receive a yellow card
8' Goal! Unai Gomez - Athletic Bilbao
5' Goal! Vedat Muriqi - Mallorca

How We Build the Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao on 17 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mallorca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Athletic Bilbao's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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