Mali vs Zambia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 December

Mali

D W W L W

1st place in Group I

1-1

22/12/2025 10:00

Zambia

L L L L W

1st place in Group G

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mali vs Zambia on 22 December 2025 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mali vs Zambia preview before placing your bet.

Mali are currently 1st with 14 points after 6 matches.
Zambia sit 1st with 13 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Mali to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Mali and Zambia have each won 1 of the last 3 meetings, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2025-12-22

Mali vs Zambia - Prediction & Odds

Mali

Zambia

2025-12-22 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 22/12/2025

Group G	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Zambia	13	6	4	1	1	7	4	3
02 Ivory Coast	12	6	4	0	2	12	3	9
03 Sierra Leone	5	6	1	2	3	5	10	-5
04 Chad	3	6	0	3	3	1	8	-7

Group I	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Mali	14	6	4	2	0	10	1	9
02 Mozambique	11	6	3	2	1	9	5	4
03 Guinea Bissau	5	6	1	2	3	4	6	-2
04 Eswatini	2	6	0	2	4	2	13	-11

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Morocco	7	3	2	1	0	6	1	5
02 Mali	3	3	0	3	0	2	2	0
03 Comoros	2	3	0	2	1	0	2	-2
04 Zambia	2	3	0	2	1	1	4	-3

Head To Head

23/09/2022 15:00

Mali

1 - 0

Zambia

INT FRL

27/01/2016 10:00

Zambia

0 - 0

Mali

CAF SC

18/06/2005 09:00

Zambia

2 - 1

Mali

WCPAF

Mali

33%

Draw

33%

Zambia

33%

Mali Last 6 matches

18/11/2025 14:00

Jordan 0 - 0 Mali INT FRL

12/10/2025 15:00

Mali 4 - 1 Madagascar WCPAF

08/10/2025 12:00

Chad 0 - 2 Mali WCPAF

08/09/2025 15:00

Ghana 1 - 0 Mali WCPAF

04/09/2025 15:00

Mali 3 - 0 Comoros WCPAF

05/06/2025 14:00

Democratic Rep Congo 1 - 0 Mali INT FRL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Zambia

16/12/2025 11:00

Democratic Rep Congo 2 - 0 Zambia INT FRL

18/11/2025 12:00

Angola 3 - 2 Zambia INT FRL

15/11/2025 09:00

South Africa 3 - 1 Zambia INT FRL

12/10/2025 09:00

Zambia 0 - 1 Niger WCPAF

08/10/2025 15:00

Tanzania 0 - 1 Zambia WCPAF

08/09/2025 09:00

Zambia 0 - 2 Morocco WCPAF

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Mali

Zambia

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.37

Scored

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 79 matches

YesNo

36 (46%)43 (54%)

In last 79 matches

NoYes

50 (54%)43 (46%)

Mali

Recent matches

Zambia

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Mali

Zambia

Shots

Mali

Total shots

10.73 avg / game

Blocked

64 total

Avg. 3.05

Zambia

Total shots

9.17 avg / game

Blocked

28 total

Avg. 1.65

Mali Pass Zambia

Total passes

11716

Avg. 418 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

8525

Avg. 371 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Mali

Played games

Zambia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.54

Clean sheets

0.24

3.61

285

Corners

358

3.85

5.57

440

Throw-ins

355

3.82

1.04

Offsides

0.59

1.06

GK saves

0.90

Mali

DISCIPLINARY

Zambia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.42

112

141

1.52

0.13

0.05

7.16

566

Fouls

421

4.53

4.72

373

Tackles

235

2.53

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Mali vs Zambia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mali vs Zambia on 22 December 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mali vs Zambia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mali's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Zambia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Mali and Zambia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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