Mali vs South Africa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 January

Mali

W D W W W

1st place in Group G

2-0

16/01/2024 16:00

South Africa

D L W D D

2nd place in Group K

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mali vs South Africa on 16 January 2024 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mali vs South Africa preview before placing your bet.

Mali are currently 1st with 15 points after 6 matches.
South Africa sit 2nd with 7 points from 4 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Mali to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors South Africa, who have won 2 of the last 4 meetings. Mali have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2024-01-16

Mali vs South Africa - Prediction & Odds

Mali

South Africa

2024-01-16 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/01/2024

Group G	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Mali	15	6	5	0	1	15	2	13
02 Gambia	10	6	3	1	2	7	7	0
03 Congo	7	6	2	1	3	5	10	-5
04 South Sudan	3	6	1	0	5	5	13	-8

Group K	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Morocco	9	4	3	0	1	8	3	5
02 South Africa	7	4	2	1	1	7	6	1
03 Liberia	1	4	0	1	3	3	9	-6
04 Zimbabwe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Group E	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Mali	5	3	1	2	0	3	1	2
02 South Africa	4	3	1	1	1	4	2	2
03 Namibia	4	3	1	1	1	1	4	-3
04 Tunisia	2	3	0	2	1	1	2	-1

Head To Head

13/10/2019 09:00

South Africa

2 - 1

Mali

INT FRL

14/01/2015 10:00

Mali

0 - 3

South Africa

INT FRL

15/01/2014 11:00

South Africa

1 - 1

Mali

CAF SC

02/02/2013 14:30

South Africa

1 - 1

Mali

CAF NC

Mali

Draw

50%

South Africa

50%

Mali Last 6 matches

06/01/2024 15:00

Mali 6 - 2 Guinea Bissau INT FRL

20/11/2023 15:00

Mali 1 - 1 Central African Republic WCPAF

17/11/2023 15:00

Mali 3 - 1 Chad WCPAF

17/10/2023 11:00

Saudi Arabia 1 - 3 Mali INT FRL

13/10/2023 15:00

Mali 1 - 0 Uganda INT FRL

08/09/2023 15:00

Mali 4 - 0 South Sudan CAF NC

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches South Africa

10/01/2024 09:00

South Africa 0 - 0 Lesotho INT FRL

21/11/2023 09:00

Rwanda 2 - 0 South Africa WCPAF

18/11/2023 09:00

South Africa 2 - 1 Benin WCPAF

17/10/2023 15:00

Ivory Coast 1 - 1 South Africa INT FRL

13/10/2023 11:59

South Africa 0 - 0 Eswatini INT FRL

12/09/2023 11:00

South Africa 1 - 0 Democratic Rep Congo INT FRL

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Played games

Mali

South Africa

104

Goals

Scored

105

Avg. per game

1.33

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored

134

Avg. per game

1.29

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.87

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 79 matches

YesNo

53 (67%)26 (33%)

In last 79 matches

NoYes

71 (68%)33 (32%)

Mali

Recent matches

South Africa

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Mali

South Africa

Shots

Mali

Total shots

10.73 avg / game

Blocked

64 total

Avg. 3.05

South Africa

Total shots

10.54 avg / game

Blocked

90 total

Avg. 2.50

Mali Pass South Africa

Total passes

11716

Avg. 418 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

23859

Avg. 477 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Mali

Played games

South Africa

104

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.54

Clean sheets

0.44

3.61

285

Corners

427

4.11

5.57

440

Throw-ins

701

6.74

1.04

Offsides

126

1.21

1.06

GK saves

125

1.20

Mali

DISCIPLINARY

South Africa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.42

112

150

1.44

0.13

0.05

7.16

566

Fouls

730

7.02

4.72

373

Tackles

593

5.70

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Mali vs South Africa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mali vs South Africa on 16 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mali vs South Africa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mali's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against South Africa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Mali and South Africa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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