Mali vs Burkina Faso: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 January

Mali

D D W W D

1st place in Group G

2-1

30/01/2024 13:00

Burkina Faso

L D W W L

1st place in Group B

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mali vs Burkina Faso on 30 January 2024 (kick-off: 13:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mali vs Burkina Faso preview before placing your bet.

Mali will face Burkina Faso in African Nations Cup on January 30, 2024 at 13:00.
Mali are currently 1st with 15 points after 6 matches.
Burkina Faso sit 1st with 11 points from 6 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.18.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:00

2024-01-30

Mali vs Burkina Faso - Prediction & Odds

Mali

Burkina Faso

2024-01-30 13:00

STANDINGS UP TO 30/01/2024

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Burkina Faso	11	6	3	2	1	8	5	3
02 Cape Verde	10	6	3	1	2	8	6	2
03 Togo	8	6	2	2	2	8	8	0
04 Eswatini	3	6	0	3	3	3	8	-5

Group G	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Mali	15	6	5	0	1	15	2	13
02 Gambia	10	6	3	1	2	7	7	0
03 Congo	7	6	2	1	3	5	10	-5
04 South Sudan	3	6	1	0	5	5	13	-8

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Angola	7	3	2	1	0	6	3	3
02 Burkina Faso	4	3	1	1	1	3	4	-1
03 Mauritania	3	3	1	0	2	3	4	-1
04 Algeria	2	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1

Group E	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Mali	5	3	1	2	0	3	1	2
02 South Africa	4	3	1	1	1	4	2	2
03 Namibia	4	3	1	1	1	1	4	-3
04 Tunisia	2	3	0	2	1	1	2	-1

Head To Head

16/01/2021 15:00

Mali

1 - 0

Burkina Faso

CAF SC

07/01/2017 07:00

Mali

1 - 2

Burkina Faso

INT CF

08/10/2015 14:45

Burkina Faso

1 - 4

Mali

INT FRL

11/11/2011 12:20

Burkina Faso

1 - 1

Mali

INT CF

12/08/2009 13:00

Mali

3 - 0

Burkina Faso

INT CF

30/01/2004 14:00

Burkina Faso

1 - 3

Mali

CAF NC

Mali

33%

Draw

17%

Burkina Faso

50%

Mali Last 6 matches

24/01/2024 13:00

Namibia 0 - 0 Mali

CAF NC

20/01/2024 16:00

Tunisia 1 - 1 Mali

CAF NC

16/01/2024 16:00

Mali 2 - 0 South Africa

CAF NC

06/01/2024 15:00

Mali 6 - 2 Guinea Bissau

INT FRL

20/11/2023 15:00

Mali 1 - 1 Central African Republic

WCPAF

17/11/2023 15:00

Mali 3 - 1 Chad

WCPAF

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Last 6 matches Burkina Faso

23/01/2024 16:00

Angola 2 - 0 Burkina Faso

CAF NC

20/01/2024 10:00

Algeria 2 - 2 Burkina Faso

CAF NC

16/01/2024 10:00

Burkina Faso 1 - 0 Mauritania

CAF NC

10/01/2024 10:00

Democratic Rep Congo 1 - 2 Burkina Faso

INT FRL

05/01/2024 10:30

Iran 2 - 1 Burkina Faso

INT FRL

21/11/2023 09:00

Ethiopia 0 - 3 Burkina Faso

WCPAF

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Played games

Mali

Burkina Faso

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.91

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.45

Scored

Avg. per game

1.20

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.10

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 11 matches

YesNo

9 (82%)2 (18%)

In last 11 matches

NoYes

8 (80%)2 (20%)

Mali

Recent matches

Burkina Faso

Under /Over

(82%)9 2(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(70%)7 3(30%)

Under /Over

(27%)3 8(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)2 8(80%)

Under /Over

(55%)6 5(45%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)5 5(50%)

/Yes

(36%)4 7(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)5 5(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Mali

Burkina Faso

Shots

Mali

Total shots

12.18 avg / game

Blocked

20 total

Avg. 2.86

Burkina Faso

Total shots

10.00 avg / game

Blocked

19 total

Avg. 3.17

Mali Pass Burkina Faso

Total passes

4425

Avg. 492 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

3261

Avg. 408 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Mali

Played games

Burkina Faso

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.55

Clean sheets

0.40

4.09

Corners

3.70

9.73

107

Throw-ins

9.60

1.64

Offsides

2.70

1.27

GK saves

2.60

Mali

DISCIPLINARY

Burkina Faso

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.27

2.30

0.18

0.00

15.18

167

Fouls

158

15.80

14.09

155

Tackles

104

10.40

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Mali vs Burkina Faso Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mali vs Burkina Faso on 30 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mali vs Burkina Faso Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mali's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Burkina Faso's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Mali and Burkina Faso sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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