Malaga vs Castellon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 January

Malaga

D L D D W

3rd place in Group B

0-1

21/01/2024 15:00

Castellon

W W W L D

1st place in Group B

Spain Primera Division RFEF

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Malaga vs Castellon on 21 January 2024 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Malaga vs Castellon preview before placing your bet.

Malaga are currently 3rd with 70 points after 38 matches.
Castellon sit 1st with 82 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Malaga to win with probability 47%.
Head-to-head history favors Malaga, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Castellon have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2024-01-21

Malaga vs Castellon - Prediction & Odds

Malaga

Castellon

2024-01-21 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/01/2024

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Deportivo La Coruna	78	38	22	12	4	64	27	37
02 Barcelona B	70	38	21	7	10	59	42	17
03 Gimnastic Tarragona	70	38	20	10	8	40	24	16
04 Celta vigo b	65	38	19	8	11	67	38	29
05 Ponferradina	64	38	17	13	8	38	26	12
06 Cultural Leonesa	60	38	15	15	8	35	26	9
07 Unionistas de Salamanca	58	38	15	13	10	40	29	11
08 CD Arenteiro	52	38	13	13	12	43	40	3
09 Real Sociedad B	51	38	12	15	11	43	41	2
10 CD Lugo	50	38	13	11	14	39	46	-7
11 Osasuna B	45	38	11	12	15	47	53	-6
12 Sestao	45	38	11	12	15	37	48	-11
13 SD Tarazona	44	38	10	14	14	29	34	-5
14 Fuenlabrada	44	38	10	14	14	32	39	-7
15 Real Union Irun	43	38	11	10	17	46	53	-7
16 Sabadell	42	38	11	9	18	38	57	-19
17 Teruel	38	38	6	20	12	32	41	-9
18 UE Cornella	35	38	8	11	19	30	44	-14
19 SD Logrones	35	38	9	8	21	27	55	-28
20 CF Rayo Majadahonda	30	38	5	15	18	29	52	-23

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Castellon	82	38	26	4	8	74	39	35
02 Cordoba	77	38	23	8	7	66	32	34
03 Malaga	70	38	19	13	6	51	25	26
04 Ibiza Eivissa	68	38	19	11	8	57	34	23
05 AD Ceuta	62	38	17	11	10	55	40	15
06 Recreativo Huelva	61	38	17	10	11	44	37	7
07 Real Murcia	58	38	16	10	12	38	38	0
08 Antequera CF	56	38	16	8	14	47	47	0
09 Atletico de Madrid B	53	38	13	14	11	53	45	8
10 Real Madrid Castilla	51	38	13	12	13	44	43	1
11 CD Alcoyano	51	38	14	9	15	38	38	0
12 Merida AD	47	38	12	11	15	37	45	-8
13 Algeciras	46	38	11	13	14	39	43	-4
14 Atletico Sanluqueno	45	38	11	12	15	34	41	-7
15 CF Intercity	45	38	12	9	17	37	49	-12
16 C.D. San Fernando Isleno	42	38	11	9	18	36	48	-12
17 CD Linares Deportivo	39	38	10	9	19	33	51	-18
18 UD Melilla	34	38	9	7	22	26	52	-26
19 Baleares	29	38	7	8	23	23	59	-36
20 Granada CF B	27	38	7	6	25	30	56	-26

Head To Head

26/08/2023 15:30

Castellon

2 - 1

Malaga

SPDRFEF

30/05/2021 15:00

Malaga

3 - 0

Castellon

SPA D2

19/09/2020 12:15

Castellon

0 - 1

Malaga

SPA D2

17/02/2008 07:00

Malaga

3 - 1

Castellon

SPA D2

16/09/2007 06:00

Castellon

2 - 3

Malaga

SPA D2

16/06/2007 11:30

Castellon

0 - 1

Malaga

SPA D2

Malaga

83%

Draw

Castellon

17%

Malaga Last 6 matches

14/01/2024 07:00

AD Ceuta 3 - 2 Malaga SPDRFEF

07/01/2024 16:00

Malaga 0 - 1 Real Sociedad SPA CUP

02/01/2024 16:00

CF Intercity 2 - 2 Malaga SPDRFEF

17/12/2023 15:00

Malaga 2 - 1 Algeciras SPDRFEF

10/12/2023 13:00

Merida AD 1 - 2 Malaga SPDRFEF

06/12/2023 11:59

Malaga 1 - 0 Eldense SPA CUP

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Castellon

13/01/2024 13:00

Castellon 2 - 1 Algeciras SPDRFEF

07/01/2024 11:00

Castellon 0 - 0 Osasuna SPA CUP

03/01/2024 11:00

Atletico Sanluqueno 0 - 2 Castellon SPDRFEF

17/12/2023 13:00

Castellon 2 - 1 Real Murcia SPDRFEF

09/12/2023 15:00

Cordoba 2 - 0 Castellon SPDRFEF

05/12/2023 16:00

Castellon 2 - 1 Real Oviedo SPA CUP

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spain Primera Division...

Played games

Malaga

Castellon

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.33

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored

Avg. per game

2.45

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.25

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 21 home matches

YesNo

17 (81%)4 (19%)

In last 21 home matches

NoYes

19 (95%)1 (5%)

Malaga

Recent matches

Castellon

Under /Over

(62%)13 8(38%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(85%)17 3(15%)

Under /Over

(33%)7 14(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(55%)11 9(45%)

Under /Over

(14%)3 18(86%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(55%)11 9(45%)

/Yes

(43%)9 12(57%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(70%)14 6(30%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Malaga

Castellon

Shots

Malaga

Total shots

12.33 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Castellon

Total shots

11.16 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Malaga Pass Castellon

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Malaga

Played games

Castellon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.52

Clean sheets

0.25

6.05

127

Corners

4.90

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Malaga

DISCIPLINARY

Castellon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.43

2.40

0.19

0.15

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Malaga vs Castellon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Malaga vs Castellon on 21 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spain Primera Division RFEF fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Malaga vs Castellon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Malaga's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Castellon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spain Primera Division RFEF Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spain Primera Division RFEF standings and the Spain Primera Division RFEF form table to understand exactly where Malaga and Castellon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spain Primera Division RFEF predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Spain Primera Division RFEF Predictions

Find every upcoming Spain Primera Division RFEF fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less