Madagascar vs Mozambique: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 January

Madagascar

L D W W L

1st place in Group C

3 - 1

28/01/2023 11:59

Mozambique

L L L L W

2nd place in Group A

African Nations Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Madagascar vs Mozambique on 28 January 2023 (kick-off: 11:59) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Madagascar vs Mozambique preview before placing your bet.

Madagascar are currently 1st with 6 points after 2 matches.
Mozambique sit 2nd with 4 points from 3 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 28/01/2023

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Algeria	9	3	3	0	0	3	0	3
02 Mozambique	4	3	1	1	1	3	3	0
03 Libya	3	3	1	0	2	5	5	0
04 Ethiopia	1	3	0	1	2	1	4	-3

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Madagascar	6	2	2	0	0	5	1	4
02 Ghana	3	2	1	0	1	4	3	1
03 Morocco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
04 Sudan	0	2	0	0	2	1	6	-5

Madagascar Last 6 matches

03/06/2026 00:00

Morocco 4 - 0 Madagascar International Friendly

31/03/2026 16:00

Equatorial Guinea 1 - 1 Madagascar International Friendly

28/03/2026 21:00

Kyrgyzstan 2 - 5 Madagascar International Friendly

17/11/2025 21:00

Equatorial Guinea 0 - 2 Madagascar International Friendly

13/10/2025 02:00

Mali 4 - 1 Madagascar FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)

08/10/2025 23:00

Comoros 1 - 2 Madagascar FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Mozambique

09/06/2026 20:00

Indonesia 1 - 0 Mozambique International Friendly

07/06/2026 20:00

Oman 4 - 1 Mozambique International Friendly

06/01/2026 02:00

Nigeria 4 - 0 Mozambique Africa Cup of Nations

01/01/2026 02:00

Mozambique 1 - 2 Cameroon Africa Cup of Nations

28/12/2025 19:30

Gabon 2 - 3 Mozambique Africa Cup of Nations

25/12/2025 00:30

Ivory Coast 1 - 0 Mozambique Africa Cup of Nations

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Champi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Madagascar

Mozambique

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.55

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.64

Scored

Avg. per game

0.56

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 75 matches

YesNo

31 (41%)44 (59%)

In last 75 matches

NoYes

41 (46%)49 (54%)

Madagascar

Recent matches

Mozambique

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Madagascar

Mozambique

Shots

Madagascar

Total shots

9.14 avg / game

Blocked

37 total

Avg. 3.36

Mozambique

Total shots

7.67 avg / game

Blocked

14 total

Avg. 1.27

Madagascar Pass Mozambique

Total passes

5847

Avg. 325 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

7193

Avg. 343 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Madagascar

Played games

Mozambique

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.28

2.32

174

Corners

293

3.26

5.39

404

Throw-ins

373

4.14

0.40

Offsides

0.47

1.31

GK saves

115

1.28

Madagascar

DISCIPLINARY

Mozambique

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.24

118

1.31

0.08

0.02

5.21

391

Fouls

334

3.71

2.64

198

Tackles

212

2.36

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Madagascar vs Mozambique Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Madagascar vs Mozambique on 28 January 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Madagascar vs Mozambique Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Madagascar's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mozambique's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Championship standings and the African Nations Championship form table to understand exactly where Madagascar and Mozambique sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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