Lugano vs Thun: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 July

Lugano
WLDDW
3rd place in League
1
1-2
FT
27/07/2025 10:00
Thun
DWWLL
1st place in League
Swiss Super League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lugano vs Thun on 27 July 2025 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lugano vs Thun preview before placing your bet.

  • Lugano will face Thun in Swiss Super League on July 27, 2025 at 10:00.
  • Lugano are currently 3rd with 57 points after 33 matches.
  • Thun sit 1st with 74 points from 33 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.55.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
10:00

2025-07-27

Lugano vs Thun - Prediction & Odds

Lugano
Lugano
Thun
Thun
2025-07-27 10:00
56
22
22
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
3.00
1.55
FT
1-2 1-0
-
weather
17℃～18℃
STANDINGS UP TO 27/07/2025
League PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Thun Thun
74 33 24 2 7 75 37 38
02 St. Gallen St. Gallen
60 33 17 9 7 64 40 24
03 Lugano Lugano
57 33 16 9 8 50 38 12
04 Basel Basel
53 33 15 8 10 51 45 6
05 FC Sion FC Sion
52 33 13 13 7 51 35 16
06 Young Boys Young Boys
48 33 13 9 11 65 60 5
07 Luzern Luzern
40 33 10 10 13 64 61 3
08 Servette Servette
40 33 9 13 11 57 57 0
09 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports
39 33 10 9 14 47 57 -10
10 FC Zurich FC Zurich
34 33 10 4 19 45 63 -18
11 Grasshopper Grasshopper
27 33 6 9 18 40 65 -25
12 Winterthur Winterthur
19 33 4 7 22 35 86 -51
Championship Group PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Thun Thun
75 5 0 1 4 5 15 -10
02 St. Gallen St. Gallen
70 5 3 1 1 8 7 1
03 Lugano Lugano
67 5 3 1 1 9 4 5
04 FC Sion FC Sion
63 5 3 2 0 12 5 7
05 Basel Basel
56 5 1 0 4 4 13 -9
06 Young Boys Young Boys
55 5 2 1 2 15 9 6
Relegation PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Servette Servette
53 5 4 1 0 14 6 8
02 Luzern Luzern
53 5 4 1 0 12 5 7
03 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports
42 5 1 0 4 6 10 -4
04 FC Zurich FC Zurich
38 5 1 1 3 4 9 -5
05 Grasshopper Grasshopper
33 5 2 0 3 8 9 -1
06 Winterthur Winterthur
23 5 1 1 3 9 14 -5
Head To Head
11/07/2025 08:00
Lugano Lugano
2 - 3
Thun Thun
INT CF
10/02/2022 13:30
Thun Thun
3 - 4
Lugano Lugano
SUI Cup
15/07/2020 14:30
Lugano Lugano
1 - 1
Thun Thun
SUI SL
09/02/2020 11:00
Thun Thun
3 - 2
Lugano Lugano
SUI SL
24/11/2019 11:00
Thun Thun
0 - 3
Lugano Lugano
SUI SL
28/07/2019 10:00
Lugano Lugano
0 - 0
Thun Thun
SUI SL
Lugano
1
17%
Draw
2
33%
Thun
3
50%
Lugano Lugano Last 6 matches
24/07/2025 14:30
Lugano 0 - 0 CFR Cluj
UEFA EL
19/07/2025 14:30
Lugano 2 - 0 Pro Vercelli
INT CF
18/07/2025 05:00
Lugano 4 - 2 FC Paradiso
INT CF
11/07/2025 08:00
Lugano 2 - 3 Thun
INT CF
05/07/2025 05:15
Lugano 2 - 1 FC Rapperswil-Jona
INT CF
24/05/2025 12:00
Lugano 1 - 1 Young Boys
SUI SL
Win
50%
Draw
33%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Thun Thun
19/07/2025 10:30
Thun 4 - 1 Aarau
INT CF
11/07/2025 08:00
Lugano 2 - 3 Thun
INT CF
04/07/2025 10:30
FC Sion 1 - 1 Thun
INT CF
21/06/2025 09:00
Thun 3 - 4 Kriens
INT CF
23/05/2025 14:15
Thun 1 - 0 Etoile Carouge
SUI CL
16/05/2025 14:15
Bellinzona 3 - 1 Thun
SUI CL
Win
50%
Draw
17%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Swiss Super League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Lugano
Lugano
38
 Thun
Thun
38
Goals
Scored
33
Avg. per game
0.87
Conceded
27
Avg. per game
0.71
Scored
46
Avg. per game
1.21
Conceded
27
Avg. per game
0.71
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
6 (100%)0 (0%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 38 matches
YesNo
26 (68%)12 (32%)
In last 38 matches
NoYes
27 (71%)11 (29%)
Lugano

Lugano

Recent matches

Thun

Thun

Under /Over

(71%)27 11(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)32 6(16%)

Under /Over

(29%)11 27(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(50%)19 19(50%)

Under /Over

(47%)18 20(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(55%)21 17(45%)

/Yes

(61%)23 15(39%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)27 11(29%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Lugano Lugano
Thun Thun
Shots
Lugano
Lugano
Total shots
13.19 avg / game
Blocked
139 total
Avg. 3.76
Thun
Thun
Total shots
17.14 avg / game
Blocked
172 total
Avg. 4.78
Lugano Lugano Pass Thun Thun
Total passes
17656
Avg. 477 / game
Accurate
85%
Ball possession
57%
Total passes
11723
Avg. 317 / game
Accurate
71%
Ball possession
46%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Lugano
Lugano
3230
Avg. 85.00 / game
 Thun
Thun
3231
Avg. 85.03 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Lugano
Lugano
1686
Avg. 44.37 / game
 Thun
Thun
2090
Avg. 55.00 / game
OTHERS
Lugano
Lugano
38
Played games
Thun
Thun
38
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.32
12
Clean sheets
6
0.16
3.82
145
Corners
218
5.74
16.95
644
Throw-ins
800
21.05
2.03
77
Offsides
79
2.08
3.61
137
GK saves
121
3.18
Lugano
Lugano
DISCIPLINARY
Thun
Thun
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.24
85
Yellow card
87
2.29
0.13
5
Red card
4
0.11
11.74
446
Fouls
578
15.21
9.34
355
Tackles
419
11.03
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How We Build the Lugano vs Thun Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lugano vs Thun on 27 July 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Super League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lugano vs Thun Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lugano's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Thun's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Super League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Super League standings and the Swiss Super League form table to understand exactly where Lugano and Thun sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Super League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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